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πŸššπŸ“ˆ NIFTY Transport & Logistic vs NIFTY 500 – RS Chart Signals Fresh Outperformance πŸš€

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  • SANTANU BEZ Offline
    SANTANU BEZ-1707666167730S Offline
    SANTANU BEZ

    Pro User

    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    Capture.PNG


    1. Chart Type & Parameters

    • Type: Point & Figure (P&F) Relative Strength chart
    • Box Size: 0.25% x 3 reversal
    • Comparison: NIFTY Transport & Logistic index vs. NIFTY 500 index
    • Interpretation Goal: Identify whether Transport & Logistic is outperforming or underperforming the broader market.

    2. Key Observations

    Trend Structure

    • Long-term uptrend intact: The lower part of the chart (left to middle) shows a series of higher bottoms and higher tops, confirming strong RS momentum in past months.
    • Recent correction phase: Multiple red bearish trendlines (MT) show that the RS strength faced consolidation/decline recently.
    • Current breakout attempt: The latest X-column has broken the immediate bearish resistance (red trendline), showing signs of fresh outperformance.

    Support & Resistance

    • Support zones:

      • 955–960: Strong horizontal & upward trendline confluence (blue lines) – key RS support.
      • 978–980: Minor support zone where last pullback held.
    • Resistance zones:

      • 1050: Major RS resistance from multiple previous tops.
      • 1075–1080: Strongest RS resistance (past highs).

    Pattern

    • Multiple Low Pole (LP) and High Pole (HP) formations indicating RS volatility.
    • Recent MB (Multiple Bottom) and trendline breakout suggests early phase of relative strength recovery.

    3. Strength Reading

    • The RS chart being above key blue bullish trendlines means Transport & Logistic is still in structural RS uptrend vs. NIFTY 500.
    • Breaking past NT (near-term resistance) would confirm a continuation phase toward 1050.
    • If RS holds above 979 after breakout, it’s a healthy sign for sustained outperformance.

    4. Tactical Interpretation

    • Bullish bias as long as RS stays above 955.
    • Watch for decisive breakout above 1050 β†’ signals strong sector outperformance ahead.
    • If RS falls below 955, expect relative underperformance.

    πŸ’‘ Trader’s Note:
    When RS chart is strong like this, it means money flow is favoring this sector over the broader market. Any bullish setup in individual Transport & Logistic stocks will have higher odds of success when RS is trending up.



    5. Theoretical View

    In a Relative Strength (RS) chart, the numerator (NIFTY Transport & Logistic) shows its performance relative to the denominator (NIFTY 500).

    • Current RS Trend: The Transport & Logistic sector is already in a structural RS uptrend, showing that it has been outperforming the broader market.

    • Impact of Denominator Recovery: If the denominator (NIFTY 500) begins to recover strongly, it can have two possible effects:

      1. Positive Amplification – If the Transport & Logistic sector rallies faster than the NIFTY 500, RS will accelerate upward, leading to a sharper outperformance signal.
      2. Neutralization – If both rise at the same pace, RS may move sideways, but sector momentum remains intact.
    • Why This Matters: A recovering NIFTY 500 often attracts broader market buying interest. In such an environment, already strong RS sectors like Transport & Logistic tend to attract disproportionate capital flow, which could push RS above the critical 1050 breakout level and potentially toward 1075+.


    2.PNG


    Nifty Transportation & Logistics vs Nifty 500 – RS Stock-Level Analysis

    1. Sector Snapshot

    • Outperformance (Performance Trend): 46.67%
    • Underperformance: 53.33%
    • Ranking Trend: 40% outperforming, 56.67% underperforming.
    • Insight: Sector RS is positive but leadership is concentrated in a few strong stocks.

    2. Top RS Leaders (Likely to Benefit Most if Nifty 500 Recovers)

    Rank Stock Performance Score Ranking Score Comment
    1 TVSMOTOR-EQ 8 44.75 Sector RS leader, strong across all timeframes. πŸš€
    2 HEROMOTOCO-EQ 8 45.25 Strong momentum and ranking stability.
    3 INDIGO-EQ 7 18.00 Good RS even in a choppy market.
    4 EICHERMOT-EQ 6 31.75 Steady RS trend; watch for breakout.
    5 HYUNDAI-EQ 6 25.75 Healthy RS, could accelerate on sector strength.
    6 BOSCHLTD-EQ 6 21.75 Consistent outperformer, defensive in corrections.

    3. Neutral RS Stocks

    Stock Performance Score Ranking Score Comment
    BAJAJ-AUTO-EQ 4 4.50 Needs ranking improvement.
    UNOMINDA-EQ 4 29.75 Solid RS, close to leadership zone.
    M&M-EQ 4 16.25 Holding up, watch for momentum shift.
    MRF-EQ 4 28.25 Positive RS but slower pace.
    MARUTI-EQ 3 -2.00 Needs sector tailwind.

    4. RS Weak Laggards (Avoid Until Clear Turnaround)

    Stock Performance Score Ranking Score
    ESCORTS-EQ -1 -17.25
    APOLLOTYRE-EQ -4 -26.25
    ASHOKLEY-EQ -4 -24.00
    SKFNINDIA-EQ -4 -26.00
    AIAENG-EQ -3 -23.50

    5. Theoretical Note

    In an RS setup:

    • Numerator = Nifty Transportation & Logistics
    • Denominator = Nifty 500

    If Nifty 500 recovers and the Transport & Logistics index rises faster than it, RS will accelerate upward.
    Current leaders are already outperforming in a weak market, so they could gain disproportionately in a broad market recovery.


    πŸ“œ Disclaimer

    This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. Market conditions can change quickly, and past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. You are solely responsible for your own risk management and capital protection.


    Santanu Bez | NIFTY Straddle Trader βš–οΈ | P&F Chartist πŸ“ˆ |
    Disciple of AP Sir πŸ™ | Poet ✍️ | Ancient Wisdom Seeker πŸ“š | Soul-Tech Thinker 🌌
    "Discipline is the real alpha. Structure is my silence. Execution is my poetry."

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Shashank Jain

    Pro User

    wrote on last edited by
    #2

    Excellent Analysis !! Sir.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1


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