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πŸ“˜ NIFTY Camarilla Levels & 200Β± Straddle Study – 20th June 2025

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  • SANTANU BEZ Offline
    SANTANU BEZ-1707666167730S Offline
    SANTANU BEZ

    Pro User

    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    Screenshot 2025-06-20 135327.png

    🧠 H4 Break & Premium Sync – The Controlled Expansion Day

    πŸ“ Opening Setup:

    NIFTY Futures opened around 24,800

    Camarilla Levels:

    H3 near open,

    H4 just above,

    PDH also near H4 β†’ strong combined breakout zone

    πŸ•’ First 15-30 Minutes:

    Market showed mild consolidation

    Then clean breakout above H4 + PDH

    Strong up-move followed, confirming intraday momentum

    πŸ” Now Let’s Decode with Structure Tools:
    βœ… VWAP Slope – The First Confirmation
    Post-breakout, VWAP sharply sloped upward
    β†’ Confirmed strength behind price – not just random spike

    πŸ“Œ VWAP stayed below price all day
    β†’ Writers didn’t trap buyers β€” they adjusted to trend

    βœ… 200Β± Straddles – Not Range, but Directional Participation
    20.jpg

    25,000 Straddle (+200 Zone):

    CE leg inflated strongly with price move

    Premium expanded and held β†’ Confirmed buying strength

    24,600 Straddle (–200 Zone):

    PE leg collapsed fast

    No attempt to recover = no downside interest
    β†’ Writers supported directional flow by abandoning PE defense

    βœ… 24,800 ATM Straddle – The Day's True Pulse
    24.8k.png

    Post-breakout, ATM straddle shifted from theta zone to expansion mode

    Both CE & total straddle premium expanded in sync with price

    No flattening or crush = Not a trap, but real follow-through

    🎯 Conclusion
    Tool What It Told Me
    VWAP Slope Strong, supportive β†’ directional uptrend
    +200 Straddle CE expanded with price β†’ strength, not trap
    –200 Straddle PE crushed fast β†’ no reversal pressure
    ATM Straddle Shifted from decay to expansion = true trend

    β€œPrice broke H4, and for once, premiums agreed. VWAP didn’t fight the move, it flowed with it. ATM Straddles didn’t decayβ€”they evolved. This was not a trap; this was a signal.”

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