The primary objective of the Vriddhi strategy is to identify and capitalize on bullish opportunities in the stock market. The strategy focuses on stocks in a bullish trend by meeting two critical criteria: being above their long-term 200-Day Exponential Moving Average (200DEMA) and signalling bullish momentum through a positive crossover of the Adaptive Relative Strength Index (ARSI).

Here is the backtesting result on the current Nifty50 stocks:

Source: Definedge Scanner

This scanner will be available soon to existing Definedge Securities users.

Traders are often engrossed in perfecting their trading strategies, honing risk management techniques, and optimizing position sizing. It's an essential aspect of the trading world.

The cornerstone of technical analysis teaches us that history repeats itself in the market. Yet, if traders neglect to delve into their own trading history, they miss out on a valuable opportunity to enhance their most critical asset—their capital account.

The often-overlooked asset I'm referring to is your own trading journal. This journal not only captures your trading history but serves as a treasure trove of insights and lessons that can ultimately lead to more informed and profitable trading decisions.

A trade journal is important to review for several reasons:

1. Track Progress: It allows you to track your progress over time. By regularly reviewing your trade journal, you can see how your trading strategies are performing and identify patterns or trends in your trading activity.

2. Learn from Mistakes: It helps you learn from your mistakes. When you document your trades, you can analyze what went wrong when you incur losses, helping you avoid making the same errors in the future.

3. Develop and Refine Strategies: It aids in strategy development and refinement. You can assess which trading strategies are most effective and make adjustments based on your journal's data.

4. Emotional Control: It promotes emotional control. Trading can be emotionally charged, and a journal can help you identify emotional triggers that may lead to impulsive decisions.

5. Risk Management: It assists in risk management. You can review your position sizes, stop-loss levels, and risk-reward ratios to ensure you are managing your risk effectively.

6. Accountability: It holds you accountable for your decisions. When you have a record of your trades, you're less likely to deviate from your trading plan.

7. Tax and Compliance: It can be crucial for tax and regulatory compliance. Accurate record-keeping is essential for reporting capital gains or losses and ensuring compliance with tax laws.

8. Performance Evaluation: It provides a basis for evaluating your overall trading performance and making informed decisions about whether to continue or adjust your trading activities.

In summary, a trade journal is a valuable tool for traders to track their performance, learn from their experiences, and make data-driven decisions to improve their trading strategies and results.

Gratitude to all the participants of DECMA2023 who are following my Heikin Ashi Strategy.

My motto in developing trading strategies is to #KeepItSimple. I'm glad that some of the DECMA2023 participants are following my Heikin Ashi strategy and coming up with different time-frame ideas, we discussed them in detail.

The Last Nifty Short Trade of 719 points

The reason I'm writing this today is to highlight the last trade of over 700 points in Nifty Futures short.

I have no shame in admitting that my discretionary style was unable to catch this fall, but discipline and confidence in the Heikin Ashi system helped me to profit from the recent decline. I watched the decline unfold without any short trades in my discretionary view. Yes, you read it right, not a single short trade in my discretionary view.

Here is the trade as per the HeikinAshi System (refer chart below):

• Went short on 18th October 2023 at 19,730 in October Futures.

• The open position was rolled over to the November series at a premium of 100 points. Net Sell Price is 19,830.

• The stop-loss triggered today at 19,111.

This trade resulted in a profit of 719 points.

The Heikin Ashi strategy is a simple and effective way to trade. It is a disciplined approach that can help traders to avoid emotional trading and to make consistent profits.

I want to emphasize the importance of discipline and confidence in trading. Even though I had no discretionary short trades in this case, I was able to profit from the decline because I had confidence in the Heikin Ashi system.

If you have doubts about the Heikin Ashi strategy, feel free to connect.

How about a strategy with a bullish stock trend and higher volumes that push the price higher?

I have created a system based on Trend and Volumes - Volume Weighted Trend Rider (VWTR),

Here is the list of stocks from Nifty50 as of yesterday.

Should I record a video on this strategy?

Tata products, from humble toothbrushes to luxurious linens, have become an integral part of our daily lives. This legacy traces back to 1868 when the visionary Late Shri Jamsetji Nusserwanji Tata established the Tata Group with a modest investment of Rs.21,000 in Mumbai, India's financial hub.

I am a book reader and would urge everyone to read the book "The Tata Group - From Torchbearers to Trailblazers" which will take you to the history of Tata Group and how they built this empire in the 150 years.

Today, Tata Group presents an enticing investment opportunity for savvy investors – the Initial Public Offering (IPO) of Tata Technologies. This venture, aiming to raise Rs. 3,042.51 crores, marks the group's triumphant return to the IPO arena after a 19-year hiatus.

Tata Technologies, a leading player in the Engineering Research and Development (ER&D) sector within the automotive domain, is poised to revolutionize the future of mobility. This IPO offers a unique opportunity for investors to become stakeholders in this dynamic and innovative company.

As an investor, you might be contemplating this investment's viability and potential profitability. Rest assured, Definedge cares for its clients.

Our expert analyst, @Prasiddh-Shroff , has written a comprehensive report encompassing the industry landscape, a company SWOT analysis, and insightful company's global offerings. This report empowers you with the knowledge to make informed decisions and confidently navigate the investment realm.

To access this valuable report, log in with your Definedge Securities client code and password. Click here https://insight.definedgesecurities.com/research/tata-technologies-ipo-notes/

Whether you've been a loyal consumer of Tata products or are a seasoned investor seeking a promising opportunity, now is the time to explore the potential that Tata Technologies' IPO brings to the table.

We're excited to share some updates and an exclusive offer with our esteemed forum community.

As many of you know, I have been consistently posting the stocks list related to the Laidback Strategy on the Definedge Telegram group since its recording in May 2023. Watch the strategy video here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=opYHnfDP6l8&t=76s

Now, as part of Definedge, we will be sharing the stocks list on our forum: https://forum.definedgesecurities.com

Why should boys have all the fun?
The Laidback Strategy has proven to be quite rewarding for many as markets are trending bullish, and we hope all our forum members are enjoying the benefits. Now, we encourage you to spread the wealth of knowledge by sharing this strategy with your friends and family so that they can have some fun too.

Our forum is open to everyone, and we invite you to register to actively participate in discussions and seek clarification on any queries you may have.

Returning to the Laidback Strategy, @AP and I have recorded a new video to address some of the commonly asked questions:

1. Navigating a bull market: How to choose among the 3-5 stocks in the scanner every week?
2. A case study on a stock that remained stagnant for years but signalled a buy after 15 years, showcasing remarkable performance.
3. Insights into the Laidback Strategy applied to trending stocks like JP Power and Idea.
4. A detailed explanation of pyramid strategy, a topic many of you have expressed interest in.
5. An enhanced EXIT criteria featuring a unique indicator available exclusively in Trade Point and RZone by Definedge.

And now, for our forum users, we have a special surprise! We are offering you 24-hour early access to the upcoming video.

You just need to bookmark this article and comeback on November 25th, 2023, at 11 am; the video will be published exclusively for you. It will be available to the general public on November 26th, 2023.

If you received this link from a friend, we invite you to register and join us for exciting offers and enriching learning experiences.

Thank you for being a valued member of our community. We look forward to your active participation and hope you enjoy the exclusive early access!

Related article on Laidback Strategy https://forum.definedgesecurities.com/topic/810/why-i-trust-my-laidback-strategy

The Laidback Strategy has gained significant traction among Definedge users, and I am writing here to share new opportunities that align with this strategy.

A recent video highlighted the successful application of the Laidback Strategy on Suzlon over the past decade.

You can watch both videos by clicking here: Video1 Video2

Now, we've identified three stocks that meet the strategy's entry criteria:

1. HeroMotoCorp - The leading motorcycle manufacturer

2. Bosch Ltd - A global leader in automotive technology

3. IOC Ltd - A prominent player in the oil and gas sector

To effectively scan for Laidback Stocks, follow these simple steps:

Go to RZone > Scanners > Candlestick Scanner > Select your Markets and Groups > In Conditions, Select Public > Find "The Laidback Strategy (Entry)" > Change Time Frame to Weekly

This scanner is exclusively available in Trade Point and RZone.

Remember, the Laidback Strategy is designed for long-term investors seeking stocks with the potential for steady growth and minimal risk. By carefully evaluating these potential Laidback Stocks, you can make informed investment decisions that align with your risk tolerance and financial goals.

The Nifty had a correction of 400 points from the high today, triggering a wave of reactions across social media platforms. The online financial community is immersed in discussions about overbought breadth, overbought Relative Strength Index (RSI), and various other technical indicators that enthusiasts believe shed light on the market's health.

Is it necessary to find the reason for every move that happens in the stock market?
Some argue that understanding the cause behind market movements is crucial, while others assert that successful trading is about anticipating moves rather than playing detective after the fact.

If I ask you, "Are you a Trader or a Forensic expert?" - What is your answer...

The Trader's Approach:
For a trader, success lies in making informed decisions based on analysis and strategy before market moves unfold. Traders must set predefined levels, establish entry and exit points, and employ technical and fundamental analysis to anticipate future price actions.

The trader's mindset revolves around proactive decision-making. Before executing a trade, a trader formulates a hypothesis based on market trends, economic indicators, and other relevant factors. The emphasis is on staying ahead of the curve and making strategic moves that align with a well-thought-out plan. Traders thrive on disciplined execution and risk management, minimizing the need to find the reason behind every market swing.

The Forensic Expert's Perspective:
On the other hand, a forensic expert in the stock market is someone who deep dives into the reasons behind price movements after they occur. This retrospective analysis involves scrutinizing news, financial reports, geopolitical events, and other factors that may have influenced the market. While understanding the root causes of past movements can provide valuable insights, it may not be the primary focus of a trader.

They aim to decipher the narrative of the market, unravelling the mysteries left behind by past events. This approach can be informative but may not be as actionable for those seeking to trade in real-time actively.

The Balance between Trading and Forensic Expertise:
In reality, successful market participants may incorporate trading and forensic expertise elements. While traders focus on proactive decision-making, understanding the broader market context and the reasons behind historical movements can enhance their overall market awareness.

The key lies in finding a balance that aligns with individual goals and preferences. Traders may incorporate forensic analysis elements into their strategy to better understand market dynamics. Likewise, forensic experts may adopt a more forward-looking approach to complement their retrospective analysis.

Whether you consider yourself a trader or a forensic expert, the stock market offers a diverse playground for those seeking to navigate its complexities. While traders prioritise anticipating moves based on proactive analysis, forensic experts uncover the reasons behind market actions after the fact. Ultimately, the ideal approach may involve a blend of both perspectives, striking a balance that enhances one's ability to navigate the ever-evolving landscape of the stock market.

In the dynamic world of stock trading and investment, finding a strategy that consistently delivers results can feel like searching for a needle in a haystack.

Over the years, I've had countless discussions about the Laidback Strategy with subscribers of Definedge, whether it's been online through WhatsApp, Telegram, or in person at Manthan, DECMA, or DECNOCH.

My conviction in this strategy has grown over time, fueled by its consistent performance and the multiplier effect it offers in certain market conditions.

The current market environment has been characterized by a stellar rally in midcap and smallcap stocks, attracting the attention of system traders and investors alike.

It's worth acknowledging and commending the well-timed release of the video presentation on the Laidback Strategy by @AP sir.

The strategy aligns perfectly with the ongoing market trends, making it especially relevant and attractive.

If you haven’t watched the video yet, Click here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=opYHnfDP6l8&t=76s

One of the primary reasons for my conviction in the Laidback Strategy is its remarkable ability to harness the multiplier effect during favourable market trends.

Having employed this strategy for many years, I can confidently assert that such opportunities arise only 2-3 times in a decade and this rally is one of them.

While predicting market rallies is not always possible, having a reliable system in place simplifies the process allowing the rally itself to generate substantial profits. With each profitable rally, my conviction in the Laidback Strategy multiplies and it surprises me with its potential.

As part of my regular stock updates on the strategy in the Definedge Telegram Group, Suzlon was highlighted during the week ending June 9, 2023. This stock holds a special place in trader's and investor's discussions due to its fascinating history. As highlighted in the video, this system helps to eliminate the toxic stocks and Suzlon serves as a prime example of how this strategy helps eliminate toxic stocks.

Interestingly, Suzlon had not given a buy signal since 2008 until June 2023, when the Laidback Strategy finally triggered a buy signal at Rs.14.xx, after a 15-year gap. This extraordinary event is a testament to the strategy's prowess.

Acting on this signal without hesitation, I invested, and within a few months, the stock had doubled in value. It is currently trading at Rs.29 with no exit plan in place.

This is not the first time such a setup has been highlighted by Laidback Strategy.

I've encountered a similar setup in Tata Teleservices (TTML), which presented a buying opportunity at Rs.9 in January 2021. Remarkably, this marked the first long signal for the stock since 2007. What followed is now history, as the stock surged to over Rs.200.

Let's not set our expectations too high for Suzlon

The key takeaway from these experiences is the importance of remaining loyal to a single system over the years and comprehending its integral components. This steadfast approach can unveil the full potential of the system, consistently multiplying conviction with every successful trades.

I firmly believe that the success of any trading system hinges on the discipline with which its rules are followed. The Laidback Strategy, with its well-defined principles and ability to adapt to market conditions, exemplifies the importance of disciplined execution.

The Laidback Strategy continues to be a source of surprises which raise the conviction bar and profitability in my trading journey, and I encourage all traders and investors to explore its potential.

Warning - Long Piece, but Worth Reading

Chart patterns are a cornerstone for any technical analyst, regardless of the asset class they are analysing. Whether it's stocks, currencies, or interest rates, chart patterns are crucial in predicting future price movements. However, the effectiveness of technical analysis patterns can vary across asset classes or market segments, such as large-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap stocks.

Technical analysis is a versatile tool traders use to analyse historical price movements and identify potential future trends. It involves studying charts and patterns to predict where prices may move next. However, the success of technical analysis is often debated, with some arguing that it may not work uniformly across all asset classes.

When I was learning technical analysis, my mentor emphasised the importance of objectivity. He used to say, "Cover the name of the left top and give your view." This approach encourages analysts to focus on the chart patterns rather than being influenced by the name or reputation of the asset being analysed.

I am writing this today because there has been a lot of buzz as Reliance's share price gained 7%.

Despite scepticism among traders, a chart analysis posted on a forum indicated a breakout above 2,640. The stock broke above a crucial resistance zone and exhibited a classic pattern of rallying, retesting, and then resuming its bullish trend.

The lesson is that chart patterns are universal, and their effectiveness is not limited to specific stocks or market segments. Whether analysing large-cap, mid-cap, or small-cap stocks, the principles of technical analysis remain consistent.

The key to successful technical analysis is how traders perceive and interpret chart patterns. The name of the stock, especially in the top left corner, should be irrelevant when conducting technical analysis. The patterns, trends, and support/resistance levels matter most.

Confidence in trading these patterns comes from understanding the historical performance of specific patterns and the associated risk management strategies. While technical analysis is not foolproof, having a well-defined stop-loss in place helps mitigate potential losses.

Although the basic principles of technical analysis remain constant, there are nuances to consider when applying them to different market capitalisations. Large-cap stocks, for instance, may be less volatile and follow trends more smoothly, making specific patterns more reliable. On the other hand, mid-cap and small-cap stocks can exhibit greater volatility, requiring traders to adjust their risk management strategies accordingly.

The recent rally in Reliance Industries serves as a reminder that successful analysis depends on understanding and interpreting chart patterns rather than getting swayed by the instrument's name.

Small Cap Index has experienced a remarkable rally in 2023, achieving a significant gain of over 30%. However, this surge has prompted investors to question whether this represents a market top. Recent profit-taking activity has pushed the index down by more than 5% from its peak of 13,148. This report aims to assess whether the Small Cap Index has reached its peak and to provide insights into its current status.

At the outset of this week, the market witnessed broad-based selling, leading to concerns among traders and investors about the possibility of a market top. It is crucial to evaluate whether this recent downturn is indicative of a more significant trend reversal.

Small Cap Index currently stands above a crucial support zone from 11,600 to 12,000. While recent events may have caused anxiety, it is essential to consider the index's position within this range. As long as the index maintains its position above this support zone, it is more likely to experience a time correction rather than a significant price correction.

Despite short-term fluctuations, there is reason to remain optimistic about the Small Cap Index's performance. The potential for the index to reach levels of 16,000 by the second quarter of 2024 remains a plausible scenario.

On a technical note, the Sine Wave on the weekly chart indicates a bullish scenario. This suggests that the recent dip to 12,000 can be viewed as an opportunity for investors to accumulate shares of small-cap stocks that are outperforming the market or those with strong fundamentals.

One of the red flags that has caught the attention of market participants is the overbought Relative Strength Index (RSI). It is essential to acknowledge that the RSI appears stretched now. However, it is crucial to emphasize that a possibility exists for a time correction rather than a significant price correction. This could bring the RSI back within the 50-60 range in the coming weeks, thereby reducing concerns about overbought conditions.

While it may be premature to declare that the Small Cap Index has reached its peak at the current market price of 12,500, a cautious approach is advisable. Instead of calling a top, it may be prudent to consider buying opportunities on dips to 12,000, given the index's strong position within the 11,600-12,000 support zone. Traders and investors should closely monitor the market, considering the potential for a time correction and the bullish signals from the Sine Wave, which could support further upside potential in the small-cap segment.

Happy Valentine's Day Dosto 🥰

As a family of traders here at the forum, I Wish A Happy Valentine's Day to every member of our forum.

As Cupid's arrows pierce hearts worldwide, traders, too, find themselves navigating the markets with a unique lens on Valentine's Day. While the traditional festivities may seem a world apart from the trading floor, parallels can be drawn between matters of the heart and trading in stock markets. Here's a trader's take on Valentine's Day:

1. Timing is Everything:
In both love and trading, timing plays a critical role. Traders closely monitor market movements, identifying optimal entry and exit points to capitalise on opportunities. Similarly, in matters of the heart, seizing the right moment can make all the difference between success and missed connections.

2. Emotional Resilience:
Emotions run high in both trading and matters of love. Traders must maintain a level head in market fluctuations, avoiding impulsive decisions driven by fear or greed. Similarly, in relationships, emotional resilience is crucial to weathering challenges and nurturing long-term bonds.

3. Adaptability:
Flexibility is a trait shared by successful traders and partners alike. Just as traders adjust their strategies in response to changing market conditions, individuals in relationships must adapt to the evolving needs and dynamics of their partners.

4. Long-Term Vision:
Both trading and relationships require a long-term perspective. Traders focus on building sustainable growth over time, while couples invest in nurturing their bond for a fulfilling future together. Patience, commitment, and perseverance are essential virtues on both fronts.

5. Finding Balance:
Achieving a balance between work and personal life is a common challenge for traders and professionals. Just as traders strive to maintain a healthy work-life balance, individuals in relationships must prioritise quality time with their loved ones amidst the demands of daily life.

6. Celebrating Successes:
In trading, as in life, it's important to celebrate achievements along the way. Whether hitting a profit target or reaching a relationship milestone, acknowledging and commemorating successes fosters a sense of fulfilment and motivation to strive for excellence.

While the trading world may seem far removed from the sentimentality of Valentine's Day, the underlying principles of timing the markets, emotional resilience, adaptability, long-term vision, balance, and celebrating successes resonate in both domains. So, as traders navigate the markets with precision and poise, they can also appreciate the nuances of love and relationships, recognising that, in matters of the heart, as in the markets, a strategic approach yields the most significant rewards.

Making decisions about which stocks to swap within your investment portfolio is never a simple task. It involves careful evaluation of various factors, including past performance, future potential, and broader market trends.

Among the tools and techniques available to investors, one of the most insightful is ratio analysis. By assessing the relative performance of different assets through ratios, you can gain valuable insights that inform your stock-swapping decisions.
It's not just about what you buy or sell; it's also about when you do it.

Today, I am sharing a compelling strategy: Buy TCS - Sell HDFCBANK Bank

Understanding the Ratio Chart:
A ratio chart is a powerful tool that allows investors to assess the relative performance between two assets, making it easier to identify trends and potential investment opportunities. In our case, we'll focus on the TCS/HDFCBANKBANK ratio chart to help shed light on the decision to rebalance portfolios.

1. Higher Highs and Higher Lows:
The weekly ratio chart for TCS/HDFCBANK exhibits a fascinating pattern - the "higher high - higher low" structure. This structure suggests that TCS has consistently outperformed HDFCBANK over the given timeframe. In simpler terms, TCS's performance is on an upward trajectory compared to HDFCBANK, indicating that it might be time to reduce your portfolio's weight in HDFCBANK and consider reallocating those resources to TCS.

2. TCS/BANKNIFTY Ratio:
Another essential ratio chart to consider is TCS in comparison to the BANKNIFTY index. This ratio chart depicts a long-term rising trendline, hinting at the possibility of a reversal. In other words, it suggests that TCS is poised to outperform the broader BANKNIFTY index in the foreseeable future.

3. Impact on Sector Weightage:
HDFCBANK carries a substantial weight in the BANKNIFTY index. With a growing presence of the IT sector in the market, spearheaded by TCS, it's becoming increasingly clear that banking stocks, including HDFCBANK, may face competition. As the weightage of HDFCBANK decreases in the index, the influence of the IT sector is rising, and this transition has the potential to impact the overall sector dynamics.

Leveraging Ratio Charts on TradePoint:
The ratio charts in TradePoint and RZONE have made it easier for investors to make data-driven decisions. With these charts, you can compare various instruments, such as stocks, indexes, commodities, and bonds, to evaluate their relative performance.

Are You Ready to Make the Swap?
The question on every investor's mind is, "Are you prepared to transition from HDFCBANK Bank to TCS?"
The answer depends on your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and belief in the trends revealed by ratio charts. It's crucial to consult with your financial advisor before making any substantial changes to your portfolio.

We encourage you to share your thoughts and insights in the comments section below.

Investing in the stock market is akin to navigating a labyrinth of opportunities and risks. It requires a keen eye for trends, an understanding of market dynamics, and the ability to decipher complex charts.

I recently met with my stock market friends on the weekend and discussed the cautious approach investors should take towards private banks.

Let me write my thoughts on analysis and the quest for the right investment moves.

Me: Hey there! Have you ever considered why some investors avoid private banks in their portfolios?

Trader Dost: Well, not really. I've always considered banks as a stable investment. What's the deal?

Me: It's interesting. I've been looking at the BankNifty/Nifty50 ratio chart, and it's telling me a compelling story.

Trader Dost: Ratio chart? What's that?

Me: It's a chart that compares the performance of two indices, in this case, BankNifty and Nifty50. Lately, the ratio has resisted at the breakdown level, suggesting that Nifty50 is gaining strength and outperforming BankNifty. Banking stocks weigh 36% in Nifty50 and if they underperform, other sectors may lead the Nifty higher.

Trader Dost: So, what does that mean for private banks?

Me: Well, the series of breakdowns and lower highs/lows indicate an underperformance of BankNifty compared to Nifty50. It might be time to switch out of banking stocks.

Trader Dost: How and where are you making this analysis?

Me: I'm using the TradePoint ratio chart, which allows me to add indicators like the Double-Moving Average of 50EMA and 200EMA. The Death Cross between these moving averages is a signal that BankNifty might underperform Nifty50.

Trader Dost: Death Cross? That sounds ominous. What is it?

Me: It's when the short-term moving average crosses below the long-term moving average, indicating a potential downward trend. In our case, it suggests an underperformance of BankNifty.

Trader Dost: Wow, that's a powerful analysis tool. Why haven't I used this before?

Me: Exactly! It adds more conviction to your analysis. I'm betting on this to guide my investment decisions.

Trader Dost: So, if not banks, where are you looking to invest?

Me: Funny you ask. I recently suggested selling HDFC Bank and buying TCS. If that pans out, it could support the theory of BankNifty underperforming Nifty50. Read here https://forum.definedgesecurities.com/topic/1042/buy-tcs-sell-hdfc-bank-a-sound-decision

Trader Dost: Interesting move. What's your take on this?

Me: I'd love to hear what others think. The comment section is open for discussions. What's your view on the current state of private banks and alternative investment options?

Trader Dost: I'm intrigued. I'll definitely share my thoughts. Let's keep the conversation going!

Adani Group stocks as they surge with bullish momentum, triggered by the recent Supreme Court development in the Adani-Hindenburg case. As of 10:00 am, Adani Stocks dominates the Top 10 gainers for the day, showcasing a promising start.

Source: Rzone, TradePoint

Our Leading Indicators Says.....
Our cutting-edge proprietary indicator, the Adaptive RSI, points towards a renewed bullish wave across most Adani Stocks. Exclusively available to our Definedge clients in the indicator section, this tool sets the stage for informed investment decisions. Signup here for Definedge Securities

We're thrilled to offer our existing Definedge clients to access to this exclusive indicator. Elevate your trading experience – it's available now in the indicator section.

Let's dissect the charts of Adani Enterprises (top left), Adani Ports (top right), Adani Green (bottom left), and ATGL (bottom right).

Observe the two lines on the chart? That's the Adaptive RSI (ARSI) indicator, a unique feature available only on TradePoint. Ready to leverage this powerful tool for your trades? Just open an account with us.

The ARSI isn't your typical indicator – it factors in both momentum and volatility in its calculations. A bullish crossover coupled with widening indicates the emergence of a strong bullish trend, and it's unfolding in Adani Group stocks. Seize this opportunity, as highlighted by our distinctive indicator.

Don't miss out on the potential gains – ride the Adani wave with confidence and TradePoint's exclusive Adaptive RSI indicator.

Note: We are highlighting the emerging trend, as signalled by the indicator, and this should not be considered as a recommendation.

The Indian stock market recently witnessed a bullish surge following the Federal Reserve’s indication of potential rate cuts in 2024. This positive sentiment reverberated globally, with the Dow Jones reaching a historic high of 37,094. The Nifty and Sensex also opened with a substantial gap, signalling a buoyant market atmosphere.

In the middle of this excitement, one stock that caught the attention of hot stock chasers is NBCC India Ltd.

NBCC India Ltd: A Hot Stock in the Headlines
NBCC India Ltd made headlines by securing a significant order worth Rs. 1,500 crores, propelling its stock to a 52-week high with an impressive gain of over 3%. For hot stock chasers eager to capitalize on the news, assessing whether it’s the right time to enter the market or if they might already be late to the party is crucial.

NBCC Weekly Heikin Ashi Chart

Source: TradePoint

For a more informed decision, let’s turn our attention to technical indicators, specifically the Adaptive Relative Strength Index (ARSI) and Heikin Ashi. These tools provide valuable insights into the stock’s current trend and potential future movements.

1. Adaptive Relative Strength Index (ARSI):
The ARSI, available exclusively in TradePoint by Definedge, evaluates both strength and volatility, resembling a moving average. Observing the chart, the ARSI has been in a bullish mode since the stock was at Rs. 36. The positive crossover at this level indicated a bullish scenario, while the breakout above Rs. 44 confirmed a bottoming structure on the chart.

2. Heikin Ashi:
Heikin Ashi, a popular trend-following indicator, displays candlestick patterns that help identify the strength and direction of a trend. Remarkably, since the bullish crossover and breakout, there hasn’t been a single bearish Heikin Ashi candle on the chart, reinforcing the sustained bullish sentiment.

As tempting as it might be for hot stock chasers to jump in based on recent positive news, it’s crucial to heed the signals provided by technical indicators. In the case of NBCC India Ltd, the Adaptive RSI and Heikin Ashi have consistently shown bullish trends, with no signs of a reversal.

The chart speaks volumes, and hot stock chasers should consider these indicators before making hasty decisions. Timing is everything in the stock market, and understanding the signals can help traders make more informed and strategic investment choices.

So, are you a hot stock chaser? Don’t let the charts leave you behind – pay attention, analyse, and make decisions wisely.

In yesterday's session, the Nifty index witnessed a momentum shift as bearish forces led by the banking sector.

A glance at the daily chart of Nifty reveals concerning indicators for bulls. The emergence of a doji candlestick pattern, coupled with a bearish momentum, paints a gloomy picture for those who were hoping for a sustained upward trend. Furthermore, the Bearish Three Line Strike candlestick pattern yesterday that followed is a clear signal of an impending bearish reversal.

Adding to the bearish outlook is the convergence observed on the Adaptive Relative Strength Index (RSI). This technical indicator, which measures the trend's strength and momentum, shows signs that the once-dominant bullish sentiment is fading. If the bearish crossover on the Adaptive RSI triggers, it will be the icing on the cake for bears.

The primary driver behind this bearish momentum is the banking sector. As a leading indicator for the overall market sentiment, the weakness in banking stocks is a cause for concern.

Are You Trading Nifty or Focusing on Individual Stocks?

The complexity often reigns supreme; I have found refuge in simplicity's soothing embrace. It's not just a hashtag I throw around on social media; it's a philosophy of my trading soul - #KeepItSimple

You've likely noticed my commitment to simplicity as you follow me on social media. But it's not a mere digital slogan; it reflects how I approach life beyond the screens. I enjoy keeping things simple, letting the essence shine through the noise.

Amidst the cacophony of candlesticks and oscillators, one chart stands out with its simplicity – Biocon.

On the weekly chart, my eyes are drawn to the minimalist elegance of trendlines and the heartbeat of the market, the volumes.

The falling trendline, a humble stroke on the chart, speaks volumes about the market's mood. It's not about complicated patterns or convoluted indicators; it's about recognising the artistry in simplicity. Paired with volumes, each bar is a note in the melody of market dynamics.

If you're a fellow learner, the chart isn't just data; it's the strokes of your understanding. And, oh, the joy of witnessing you opening your chart – a sign of your hunger for knowledge and a great learner.

Yet, another character in our financial tale seeks ideas for profits, the one yearning for quick wins. I understand the temptation to skip the verses and seek the chorus. However, my heart resonates with the first kind – the perpetual learner who revels in the long-term symphony of knowledge.

So, here we stand at the crossroads of simplicity and complexity. I urge you to be the learner who seeks understanding, for in the long term learning lies the true magic of the market and life itself.

#KeepItSimple, and let the charts sing the ballad of simplicity in the grand opera of the markets.

Stock List - 13th Jan 2024

ApolloHsp 6750CE @ 155 SL 120

(From Left) 1. 6750CE 1Min 6750CE Chart,
2. Apollo Hsp Futures Chart
3. ApolloHsp Cash Chart with Volumes

Unusual Options Activity

Strategy Video - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0pWqZcI_kMc&t=37s

Stock List 17th Feb 2024

The volatility of General Election results was at it's best as we witnessed the roller coaster Monday and Tuesday.

The bulls managed to regain the momentum today as well but the real struggle for them begins now.

The index has entered into the major resistance zone of gap and if bulls pull this out, the index can witness a major short-covering rally towards 24,000.

But if they fail, the FIIs are waiting for the opportunity, and then Monday's high will be marked as a Fakeout, as per Wyckoff's theory. Also, it will be the index's lower high.

If this is marked as a Fakeout, then the Tuesday fall may be the first Sign of Weakness (SOW) as per Wyckoff—a bearish structure.

What are you trading - Longs or Shorts?

Source: TradePoint

Since the pandemic-induced market in 2020, PSU banks have been on a remarkable run, consistently outperforming their private counterparts. The ratio chart of the Nifty Private Bank Index to the Nifty PSU Bank Index peaked in 2020, signalling a significant advantage for PSU banks over private banks during this period. Among the underperformers was the behemoth, HDFC Bank, which struggled to keep pace.

However, recent trends suggest a shift in momentum. The metaphorical elephant, HDFC Bank, has awakened, and private banks are beginning to regain footing. But how long can this resurgence last?

Nifty Pvt Bank/Nifty PSU Bank Ratio Chart

Source: TradePoint

An analysis of the ratio chart reveals a promising development. The slope is turning northwards from the support zone established in 2016-2017, hinting that PSU banks may soon start to underperform relative to private banks. This trend suggests that now might be an opportune moment to refocus on private banking institutions.

Moreover, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator adds to the optimism. It has turned positive and crossed above the median line of 50, a bullish signal indicating that private banks may outperform PSU banks in the coming months.

We ran the "All Chart Matrix" in RZone to check the stock trend on Multi-Chart and Multi-Timeframe.

Source: RZone

In conclusion, the four-year drought for private banks could be nearing its end. With favourable technical indicators and a shift in market sentiment, private banks appear poised for a potential resurgence.

The Rising Three Candlestick is a bullish continuation pattern found in candlestick charting. It signifies that despite short-term bearish movements, the overall trend remains upward. This pattern typically forms over five days and consists of the following components:

1. First Candle: A strong bullish (green) candlestick indicating a continuation of the current uptrend.
2. Middle Three Candles: These are smaller range candlesticks that move within the range of the first bullish candle. They indicate a temporary consolidation but do not surpass the low of the first bullish candle.
3. Fifth Candle: A bullish candlestick that closes above the close of the first bullish candle, confirming the continuation of the upward trend.

Steps to Identify the Rising Three Methods Pattern Using Zone Mobile

To find stocks that qualify for the Rising Three Methods candlestick pattern using Zone Mobile, follow these steps:

1. Open Zone Mobile: Launch the Zone Mobile app and log in to your account.
2. Select Scanners
3. Select Candlesticks
4. Select The Rising Three Pattern
5. The stocklist that qualify's from Nifty500 groups is ready.

Stocks to Keep on Radar
A list of stocks you can monitor for bullish momentum.

Market breadth is a crucial aspect of analyzing equity markets. It provides valuable insights into the overall health and direction of a stock market index or the broader economy.

Market breadth refers to the measurement of the number of stocks advancing or declining within a particular stock market index. It serves as an indicator of the overall strength or weakness of the market and provides essential context for traders and investors.

Market breadth indicators include metrics such as the advance-decline ratio, new highs vs. new lows, and the percentage of stocks trading above their moving averages. These indicators help investors assess market sentiment, identify potential reversals, and make informed trading decisions.

By examining the significance and limitations of market breadth, we can arrive at a more informed perspective on its role in the analysis of equity markets.

Significance of Market Breadth

1. Broad Market Overview: Market breadth offers a comprehensive view of market dynamics beyond the performance of a few prominent stocks.
   A market may appear bullish based on the performance of a few blue-chip stocks, but a deeper analysis of breadth indicators can reveal underlying weaknesses or strengths.

2. Confirmation of Trends: Market breadth can confirm or diverge from the primary trend of a market index as we witnessed in the last few months.
   When most stocks participate in an uptrend (positive breadth), it confirms a bullish market. Conversely, when more stocks are declining (negative breadth), it can signal a bearish market.

3. Early Warning Signals: Breadth indicators can be early warning signals for potential market reversals. Looking at today's market breadth, is it reasonable to consider whether the top is in place?
   Divergences between market indices and market breadth can indicate an impending shift in sentiment and help investors prepare for market corrections.

4. Risk Management: The inclusion of market breadth analysis in investment strategies enhances risk management. A diversified portfolio that considers the breadth of the market is less susceptible to the adverse impacts of isolated stock underperformance.

5. Contrarian Opportunities: Extreme market breadth readings can present contrarian investment opportunities. When market sentiment becomes overly bullish or bearish, it can lead to reversals, allowing contrarian investors to profit.

Weightage Considerations

The weightage assigned to market breadth indicators should be considered within the broader context of equity market analysis. Several factors should influence the decision on how much weight to give to market breadth:

1. Market Conditions: Market breadth is more relevant during volatile or uncertain market conditions. In stable and predictable markets, other fundamental and technical factors may carry more weight.

2. Investment Horizon: Short-term traders may place higher importance on market breadth, as it can provide insights for quick trading decisions. Long-term investors may prioritize fundamental analysis and economic indicators over daily market breadth fluctuations.

3. Risk Tolerance: Risk tolerance varies among investors. Those with lower risk tolerance may pay more attention to market breadth for risk management, while high-risk tolerance investors might rely more on individual stock analysis.

4. Complementary Analysis: Market breadth analysis should complement other forms of analysis, including fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and macroeconomic analysis. A holistic approach is often the most effective.

Limitations of Market Breadth

While market breadth is a valuable tool, it has its limitations:

1. Lack of Specificity: Market breadth indicators do not provide detailed information about individual stocks. They convey the overall market sentiment but may not pinpoint specific investment opportunities.

2. Noise and False Signals: Breadth indicators can produce false signals, especially during short-term fluctuations. A single outlier stock can distort the overall breadth readings.

3. Macro Factors: Market breadth may not account for macroeconomic factors, geopolitical events, or central bank policies that can significantly impact equity markets.

4. Timing: It may not always provide precise timing for market entry or exit. Investors should use it in conjunction with other timing indicators.

Market breadth is a vital component of equity market analysis, offering insights into market sentiment and overall health. The weightage assigned to market breadth indicators should be flexible and dependent on various factors, including market conditions, investment horizon, risk tolerance, and the need for complementary analysis. While market breadth has limitations, it is a valuable tool when used in conjunction with other forms of analysis, helping investors make more informed decisions and manage risk effectively in the ever-changing world of equity markets.

Reliance Industries, a giant in the Indian market, has been instrumental in supporting the recent rally in the Nifty index.

The stock price is currently poised to break out of a 62-week channel, indicating a potential shift in its stock price trajectory. According to the Fibonacci time cycle theory, the 62-week mark is considered a crucial breakout point.

If the stock price successfully closes above the 2,700 level, it is expected to further enhance the bullish sentiment in the market. This impending breakout has garnered significant attention, as it aligns with the key time cycle identified by the Fibonacci theory.

The breakout has the potential to fuel the Nifty rally, propelling it towards the 20,000 mark.

What are you buying in this rally?

Charlie Munger, the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and longtime business partner of Warren Buffett, is renowned for his wisdom, wit, and insightful approach to investing and life.

With a heavy heart, we bid farewell to one of the finest financial minds of our time, Mr. Charlie Munger at the age of 99.

Charlie Munger's legacy extends far beyond the balance sheets and market dynamics. His keen intellect, multidisciplinary thinking, and unwavering principles have shaped the way we approach not just investments, but life itself. He was more than a financial wizard; he was a mentor to countless aspiring minds, a beacon of rationality in a world often driven by speculation.

Do you know Charlie Munger's investing style?

1. Value Investing:
Like Warren Buffett, Munger is a proponent of value investing. This involves identifying undervalued companies with strong fundamentals and holding them for the long term. The focus is on the intrinsic value of a business rather than short-term market trends.

2. Quality Businesses:
Munger emphasizes the importance of investing in high-quality businesses with durable competitive advantages. Such companies, often referred to as "moats," have a strong market position that protects them from competition and allows them to generate consistent returns over time.

3. Long-Term Perspective:
Munger's investing style is characterized by a long-term perspective. He believes in the power of compounding and favors investments that can grow steadily over many years. This patient approach aligns with the idea of holding onto quality businesses through market ups and downs.

4. Conservative Investing:
Munger and Buffett are known for their conservative approach to investing. They prefer businesses with a history of stable earnings, strong management, and a track record of prudent capital allocation.

5. Concentrated Portfolio:
While diversification is a common strategy for reducing risk, Munger and Buffett take a different approach. They believe in concentrating their investments on a few businesses they thoroughly understand. This strategy requires in-depth research and a high level of conviction in their investment choices.

Here are some key lessons to learn from Charlie Munger:

1. Multidisciplinary Thinking:
   Munger emphasizes the importance of being well-versed in various disciplines. He advocates for a broad mental model incorporating insights from multiple fields, including psychology, economics, physics, and biology. This multidisciplinary approach helps in making more informed and nuanced decisions.

2. Circle of Competence:
   Munger advises investors to operate within their "circle of competence." This means sticking to areas where you have expertise and understanding. It's about knowing your limitations and not venturing into complex areas you don't understand. This principle aligns with Warren Buffett's famous saying, "Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing."

3. Invert, Always Invert:
   Munger often suggests solving problems by thinking backward. Instead of focusing on how to achieve success, consider what might lead to failure. By inverting the problem, you can uncover hidden risks and avoid potential pitfalls. This approach is a cornerstone of Munger's critical thinking process.

4. Lifelong Learning:
   Munger is a strong advocate for continuous learning. He believes in developing a latticework of mental models over time. Reading extensively and learning from various sources contribute to intellectual growth and better decision-making.

5. Independent Thinking:
   Munger encourages individuals to think independently and avoid being swayed by popular opinion. Being a contrarian thinker can lead to unique insights and opportunities that the crowd may overlook. This aligns with Buffett's advice to "be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

6. Patience and Temperament:
   Munger stresses the importance of patience in investing. He believes in waiting for the right opportunities and not being swayed by short-term market fluctuations. Additionally, maintaining emotional discipline and a calm temperament are crucial for long-term success.

7. Avoiding Cognitive Biases:
   Munger is known for his deep understanding of human psychology and the impact of cognitive biases on decision-making. He advises investors to be aware of these biases, such as overconfidence and confirmation bias, and work to minimise their influence.

In summary, learning from Charlie Munger involves adopting a multidisciplinary approach, staying within one's circle of competence, thinking independently, and practising patience in investing and life. His investing style, closely aligned with Warren Buffett's, emphasises value, quality, a long-term perspective, and a concentrated portfolio of carefully selected businesses.

The book Munger, The Complete Investor and Poor’s Charlie Almanack is a must-read.

RIP The Legend Charlie Munger

Indian investors have embraced Mutual Funds, particularly through Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs), showcasing disciplined investment strategies. The Indian Mutual Fund Industry has experienced remarkable growth, with the Assets Under Management (AUM) reaching ₹46.72 trillion as of October 31, 2023, witnessing a more than 5-fold increase in the past decade from ₹8.34 trillion in 2013.

Opportunity Spotlight: Kotak Healthcare Fund (NFO):
I wish to bring attention to an exciting investment opportunity in the healthcare sector through the ongoing New Fund Offer (NFO) of Kotak Healthcare Fund. The healthcare sector is showing promising signs of a bullish trend as highlighted by the charts utilizing a top-down approach to support this claim. Click here

1. Nifty Monthly Chart:

The Nifty Monthly Chart reveals a compelling rising three-candlestick pattern, signalling the resumption of a bullish trend. This pattern, occurring on a monthly timeframe, suggests a long-term breakout, making investments in mutual funds a prudent choice.

The rising three-candlestick pattern is a bullish continuation pattern that consists of a long bullish candle, followed by three smaller bearish candles, and concluded with another long bullish candle. This pattern indicates a brief consolidation before the prevailing uptrend resumes, affirming a potential long-term bullish trajectory.

2. Nifty Weekly Chart:
The Nifty Weekly Chart provides additional confirmation of the bullish trend, with two significant candlestick patterns:

a. Bullish Engulfing:
- A bullish engulfing pattern occurs when a small bearish candle is followed by a larger bullish candle that engulfs the preceding one.
- This signals a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish, often indicating the start of an upward trend.

b. Three White Soldiers:
- The three white soldiers pattern consists of three consecutive long bullish candles, reflecting a strong upward momentum.
- This pattern is a robust indicator of a bullish reversal, suggesting a potential trend change from bearish to bullish.

Investment Platform: Definedge Securities:
At Definedge Securities, our commitment is to educate and empower our clients to make informed investment decisions. We offer a comprehensive investment platform, including a dedicated Mutual Fund Zone with advanced charting tools such as Point and Figure charts. This unique feature enables investors to conduct in-depth research on various Mutual Funds before making investment decisions.

The Nifty Monthly and Weekly Charts analysis strongly suggests the resumption of a long-term bullish trend. The ongoing NFO of Kotak Healthcare Fund presents a compelling opportunity to invest in a sector poised for significant growth.

Definedge Securities is pleased to provide our customers with a platform that facilitates thorough research and informed decision-making. To seize this opportunity in the healthcare sector, investors can consider the Kotak Healthcare Fund NFO. Click here to explore and invest.

*Note: Investors are advised to conduct their due diligence and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

Overbought? Oversold? Forget It! Use RSI as Market Breadth NOW.

Think you know RSI? Think again!

This video will forever change how you see this popular indicator.

Unlocking a new dimension for smarter trading decisions.

With the power of the RZone scanner by Definedge to reveal hidden trends and understand the true participation of the market in significant moves.

Whether you're an experienced trader or starting out, this video is a must-watch!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0gwoeTchxVI

Re: Vriddhi Strategy {Long Only}

As promised, we have added Vriddhi Scanner to our Candlestick Scanners in RZone.

“Insan ka kartavya hota hai koshish karna. Kamyabi, nakamyabi sab uske hath me hai” – the best dialogue from the movie Zindagi Na Mile Doobara.

On a relaxing Sunday, I watched the Zindagi Na Mile Dobara movie and simultaneously browsed my last week's trades. I suddenly realised after the volatile market that you need a break for yourself with your friends.

The Bollywood movie "Zindagi Na Mile Dobara" is one of the iconic movies of Friends and is an inspiration for many as the three friends, Arjun (Hrithik Roshan), Kabir (Abhay Deol) and Imraan (Farhan Akhtar). Little did they know that the film's journey of self-discovery and camaraderie would hold valuable lessons for their expedition in the unpredictable realm of stocks.

In the stock market, much like the characters in the movie, traders embark on a journey filled with ups and downs, joys and sorrows. At the centre of their story is a unique character named Bagwati (a bag); let's make it a symbol of their investments and the market itself.

In the movie, Bagwati is a funny and expensive travel companion. Similarly, in the stock market, stocks become the Bagwati of traders – each with its personality, quirks, and potential for adventure. Just as Arjun, Imran, and Kabir learned to embrace the uncertainties of life, traders must learn to be profitable with the unpredictable nature of the market.

Lesson 1: Risk and Adventure
In "Zindagi Na Mile Dobara," the characters plan a road trip challenging their comfort zones. Similarly, in the stock market, traders must take risks and enjoy adventure. Like the road trip, the market is full of uncertainties, and success often lies in the ability to face challenges head-on.

Lesson 2: Diversify Your Portfolio, Diversify Your Experiences
As Arjun, Imran, and Kabir explore different facets of life, traders should diversify their portfolios to minimise risks. Bagwati, with its mix of colour and design, represents the importance of a diversified approach. In the stock market, spreading investments across various sectors can help traders weather the storms and ensure a smoother journey.

Lesson 3: Learn from Mistakes and Adapt
As the movie characters learn from their mistakes, stock market traders must adapt and evolve. Traders should analyse past decisions, learn from their mistakes, and adjust their strategies to the changing market conditions.

Lesson 4: Cherish Friendships and Mentorships
In "Zindagi Na Mile Dobara," the friendship bond is a cornerstone of the narrative. Similarly, in the stock market, traders should value the importance of friendships and mentorships. Learning from experienced traders and sharing insights with peers can provide an invaluable support system in times of uncertainty. In the forum, we are here to create a bond of friendship and mentorship to shorten your learning curve.

Lesson 5: Enjoy the Journey, Not Just the Destination
The movie teaches us that life is about the journey, not just the destination. Similarly, in the stock market, traders should enjoy the process of trading/investing and not just focus on the result. Celebrate small victories, learn from failures, and savour the moments that make the journey worthwhile.

Zindagi Na Mile Dobara and the stock market share common threads of unpredictability, risk, and self-discovery. Traders who learn the lessons from this Bollywood masterpiece will find themselves better equipped to drive the twists and turns of the stock market journey, much like the characters who discovered the true meaning of life in Spain.

Good Morning Readers!

As I sat sipping my morning tea and being a trader, you tend look at charts searching for potential momentum opportunities for the day.

In the bullish trending markets, I always prefer the Ladder Bottom Candlestick Pattern.

The Ladder Bottom Candlestick Pattern is a compelling indicator used in technical analysis to identify potential bullish reversals. This pattern usually emerges after a downtrend and signifies a shift in market sentiment, suggesting that buyers are gaining control.

Characterized by a series of candlesticks with small real bodies and long lower shadows, the Ladder Bottom Pattern visually resembles a ladder, with each candlestick forming a distinct rung.

In the stock trading, having tools that can swiftly analyze and present data is invaluable. Personally, I use the Zone Mobile App to effortlessly scan through stocks and identify potential opportunities. With just a click of a button, I can access a curated list of stocks, making my morning routine more efficient.

As of the closing on December 22nd, 2023, here is a list of stocks were the pattern exists.

Have a Great Trading Day!

Since my school days, I've had a habit of reading newspapers, and one column that always caught my eye was Today's Horoscope or Horoscope of the Day. Do you have the habit of this?

Over time, my fascination with horoscopes grew, leading me to get deeper into the subject by reading books dedicated to astrology. During my college days, I used to buy books and read them.

Back in 2024, as I was browsing articles online, I recently stumbled upon one focused on Taurus predictions for 2024, my zodiac sign. Intrigued by the idea, I felt compelled to explore how the characteristics associated with each zodiac sign might intersect with the stock market traders.

In the stock market, every decision is analysed, but it is a surprise that some traders turn to the stars for guidance. Yes, you read that right—zodiac signs, those celestial symbols that supposedly dictate our personalities and destinies, have found their way into stock market trading.

Can your astrological sign really influence your success in the stock market?

Let's explore this intriguing intersection of mysticism and finance.

Aries (March 21 - April 19): The Trailblazer
Aries are known for their boldness and competitive spirit, traits that can serve them well in the fast-paced world of stock trading. Their impulsive nature might lead to quick decision-making, resulting in significant gains or losses.
Aries traders thrive on taking risks and are unafraid to jump into new ventures. However, they must be cautious not to let their impatience lead to hasty decisions that could backfire.

Taurus (April 20 - May 20): The Patient Strategist
Taureans are known for their patience and practicality, making them well-suited for the unpredictable nature of the stock market. They prefer stability and reliability, often opting for long-term investments rather than risky ventures. Taurus traders carefully analyse market trends and economic indicators before making decisions, ensuring they are well-informed. While their cautious approach may sometimes result in missed opportunities, it protects them from unnecessary losses.

Gemini (May 21 - June 20): The Versatile Trader
Geminis are characterised by their adaptability and curiosity, traits that can make them skilled traders in the stock market. They thrive in dynamic environments and constantly seek new opportunities to capitalise on. Gemini traders are quick thinkers and adept at analysing market trends, allowing them to make informed decisions on the fly. However, their tendency to be indecisive can sometimes lead to missed opportunities or impulsive trades.

Cancer (June 21 - July 22): The Intuitive Trader
Cancerians are known for their intuition and emotional intelligence, qualities that can be beneficial in navigating the complexities of the stock market. They have a keen sense of empathy, allowing them to understand market sentiment and anticipate fluctuations. Cancer traders trust their instincts and often rely on gut feelings when making investment decisions. While their emotional approach can sometimes cloud their judgment, it also enables them to connect with market trends on a deeper level.

Leo (July 23 - August 22): The Confident Risk-Taker
Leos are natural-born leaders with an innate sense of confidence, traits that can make them fearless traders in the stock market. They thrive on taking risks and are unafraid to pursue what they want. Leo traders are self-assured and decisive, often making bold moves that set them apart from the crowd. However, their tendency to be overly optimistic can sometimes lead to reckless behaviour and significant losses if not tempered with caution.

Virgo (August 23 - September 22): The Analytical Perfectionist
Virgos are known for their attention to detail and analytical mindset, making them meticulous traders in the stock market. They excel at conducting thorough research and meticulously analysing data before making investment decisions. Virgo traders are disciplined and methodical, often following a strict set of criteria when evaluating potential opportunities. While their analytical approach can sometimes lead to overthinking, it also ensures that they make well-informed decisions based on sound reasoning.

Libra (September 23 - October 22): The Balanced Trader
Libras are known for their diplomacy and sense of balance, qualities that can serve them well in the unpredictable world of stock trading. They weigh their options carefully and strive to maintain harmony in their investment portfolio. Libra traders are adept at identifying opportunities that offer a good risk-reward balance and are skilled negotiators in making deals. However, their indecisiveness can sometimes hinder their ability to act swiftly in fast-moving markets.

Scorpio (October 23 - November 21): The Strategic Trader
Scorpios are known for their passion and determination, making them formidable stock market traders. They possess an instinct for spotting opportunities and are not afraid to delve into the depths of the market to uncover hidden gems. Scorpio traders are strategic and calculated, often employing tactics such as diversification and hedging to mitigate risks. However, their intensity and penchant for secrecy can sometimes lead to suspicion among other traders.

Sagittarius (November 22 - December 21): The Adventurous Speculator
Sagittarians are known for their optimism and adventurous spirit, which can make them bold speculators in the stock market. They thrive on taking risks and always seek new opportunities to explore. Sagittarius traders are optimistic about the future and are willing to take chances on emerging trends and technologies. However, their tendency to be overconfident can sometimes lead to reckless behaviour and significant losses.

Capricorn (December 22 - January 19): The Disciplined Planner
Capricorns are known for their ambition and discipline, qualities that can make them disciplined planners in stock trading. They set clear goals for themselves and work tirelessly to achieve them, often adopting a long-term approach to investing. Capricorn traders are patient and methodical, carefully weighing each investment opportunity's potential risks and rewards. However, their conservative nature sometimes keeps them from taking advantage of more lucrative but riskier ventures.

Aquarius (January 20 - February 18): The Visionary Innovator
Aquarians are known for their innovation and forward-thinking mindset, traits that can make them visionary traders in the stock market. They are always on the lookout for disruptive technologies and revolutionary ideas that have the potential to shape the future. Aquarius traders are not afraid to think outside the box and are willing to take calculated risks on unconventional opportunities. However, their tendency to be idealistic can sometimes cloud their judgment and lead to impulsive decisions.

Pisces (February 19 - March 20): The Intuitive Dreamer
Pisceans are known for their intuition and creativity, qualities that can make them intuitive traders in the stock market. They possess a deep understanding of human nature and are adept at sensing market trends before they become apparent to others. Pisces traders trust their instincts and are often guided by their dreams and aspirations. However, their idealistic nature can sometimes lead to impractical decisions and financial losses if not grounded in reality.

While using astrology to guide investment decisions may seem far-fetched to some, many traders believe there is a correlation between zodiac signs and trading tendencies.

Whether you believe in the power of the stars or not, there's no denying that understanding your personality traits and tendencies can help you become a more self-aware and disciplined trader. So, the next time you're pondering your investment strategy, perhaps it's worth looking at the stars for cosmic guidance. Who knows? The universe might have some investment tips up its sleeve.

The Vriddhi strategy suggests a bullish momentum for ITC, with the Adaptive RSI providing a perspective on the stock's strength. However, the optimism generated by this signal is tempered by the stock's current trading pattern—a falling channel.

A falling channel typically indicates a downtrend consolidation, with the stock moving between two downward-sloping trendlines. The breakout level, set at Rs. 461 could potentially signify a shift in the prevailing trend. If the stock manages to surpass this level, it may resume the bullish momentum for ITC.

Happy Trading!

Stock List - 30th December 2023

In the ancient philosophy of Yin-Yang, the concept of duality teaches that within every bad, there is something good, and within every good, there is something bad. This dynamic balance is not just a mystical idea; it has practical applications in various aspects of life, including investing.

Looking at the present market momentum, we see a classic example of the Yin-Yang principle in action. The Nifty50 and Nifty500 indices are both down more than 10% from their respective highs, signalling a bearish phase. Yet, despite the broad market pullback, some stocks continue to show outperformance, trading at or near their 52-week or all-time highs.

The Skyline Strategy
For traders with a Long-Only Strategy, focusing on stocks that are holding up well despite a broader market decline can be a smart strategy in challenging market conditions. We call this approach the Skyline Strategy. The idea is simple - identify stocks within a 10% range of their 52-week or all-time highs. These are stocks that have shown strong relative strength compared to the broader market and may continue to perform well, even as the rest of the market is struggling.

However, finding stocks near their highs alone is not enough to form a reliable trading strategy. To refine the approach further, we add a layer of volume-based filter. Specifically, we look for stocks where the trading volume is at its 10-week high. The rationale behind this is simple - strong volume at or near highs is often a sign of institutional interest and indicates that the stock has the necessary momentum to continue moving upward.

When using this strategy, it's important to scan for stocks using a weekly chart, as the 10-week volume criterion applies to weekly trading data. For traders using RZone, we have made the scanner for this strategy available in the public library, so you can quickly implement it and start identifying stocks that meet the criteria.

Backtesting and Risk Management
As with any trading strategy, it’s essential to backtest the Skyline Strategy to ensure it aligns with your risk tolerance and trading goals. We recommend a risk management approach where the stop loss is set at 10% below the entry price while the target is set at a 25% gain. This risk-to-reward ratio ensures that the potential reward justifies the risk even if a trade doesn’t work out.

In the latest edition of the weekly newsletter dated December 30, 2023, significant attention was drawn to the emergence of multiple Bearish Harmonic patterns within the price reversal zones of 21,700 and 22,135 for Nifty. As predicted, the index peaked at 22,124 before undergoing a reversal, aligning precisely with the outlined harmonic patterns.

A closer look at Nifty's daily chart reveals the presence of the Bear Sash candlestick pattern at its recent high. For those unfamiliar with this pattern, a comprehensive explanation can be found in the accompanying video linked here.

Adding to the cautionary signals, the possibility of a Bearish Island formation is looming, contingent on today's closing performance. A Bearish Island pattern occurs when an isolated price gap up is followed by a gap down formed at the same levels, typically indicating a shift in market sentiment, which forms between two sessions.

What is your trading plan?

Stock List 10th Feb 2024

The market is at an all-time high, and investors are understandably confused about where to put their money.
If you've been following the "Laidback" strategy, congratulations! This is the market phase exactly when it shines.

For the past few months, I have been exploring the DONSHI strategy, which shares similarities with Laidback but utilizes a combination of two indicators to define the entries.

Let's understand how DONSHI can help you trade and invest in these high markets.

DONSHI: A Blend of Donchian Channels and RSI

DONSHI combines two popular technical indicators: the Donchian Channel and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).

Donchian Channel (DC): This indicator creates a dynamic upper, middle and lower band based on the recent highs and lows in price.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI measures the momentum of price movements, indicating potential buying and selling opportunities.

Entering and Exiting the Market with DONSHI

The DONSHI strategy employs these indicators to determine entry and exit points:

Entry: Buy when the price closes above the middle line of the DC (20), and the RSI (14) should be above 60. This confluence of signals suggests a potential uptrend with strong momentum.

Exit: Sell when the price hits the lower line of the DC (20).

Using DONSHI with RZONE
You have an advantage if you're a Definedge Securities client using RZONE! I've already published the DONSHI strategy in the Public System Builder, making it readily available for you to implement.

I have recorded a video on this setup with back-testing results on various sectors and stocks. Click here to watch the video

Good morning, traders. Do you begin each day by checking the Gift Nifty and planning your trading strategy accordingly?

If so, you are not alone.

Many traders rely on the Gift Nifty overview to make informed decisions about their trades.

Now, with the Zone Mobile App, you can have the Nifty overview right at your fingertips and plan your trades a day prior.

Read all the analysis on Nifty with few clicks.

Open Zone Mobile 》Go to Scanner 》 Nifty Analysis

Here is Nifty Analysis for you.

The SPEED of a trend in the stock market refers to the rate at which the price of an instrument moves in a specific direction.

A high speed in a trend indicates strong momentum, often driven by robust market sentiment, significant news, or macroeconomic factors and an active participations indicated by volumes.

When a trend's speed diminishes, it can signal weakening momentum, suggesting that the driving forces behind the trend are losing strength. This deceleration often precedes a trend reversal, as market participants start to doubt the sustainability of the movement, leading to increased profit-taking and the entry of contrarian traders.

In the book "How to Trade Financial Markets Logically" by Ruben Chaves, he explains the theory of Speed.

The above is a snapshot about the Speed from his book, but he has highlighted in-depth information about Speed and the strength of the trend.

While reviewing the chart of Maruti, I recalled this theory and thought to share it with our readers.

Here is the chart of Maruti.

Source: Zone Mobile App

The speed of the trend has been followed by an even stronger trend after a retracement.

However, the stock's recent lackluster momentum in the past few months is concerning as it lacks the speed of the trend.

Is this sign of the reversal?

In light of the Wyckoff pattern, the structure appears to indicate a distribution phase.

Fingers crossed for the investors in Maruti.

@Kamal Arora Do check Laidback stock which I keep sharing every week.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a key benchmark that tracks the performance of large and mid-cap companies across 24 emerging economies. Representing countries like China, India, Brazil, and South Africa, the index offers emerging markets shaping the global economy's future.

Investors look to this index for exposure to economies that often offer higher growth potential than developed markets, albeit with increased risk.

On the P&F chart, the Triple Top Breakout (TTB) indicates that it is time for EEMs to shine against developed countries.

India's private banking sector is again in the spotlight as major players such as Axis Bank, ICICI Bank, Kotak Bank, IndusInd Bank, and HDFC Bank are witnessing strong bullish momentum. As the Nifty index surges to new all-time highs, market analysts and traders are closely watching whether these banking giants can push the Bank Nifty index to its own record levels, given that it's just a few percentage points away.

What is DeMap by Definedge?
DeMap, an advanced analytical tool developed by Definedge, offers traders and investors a unique approach to market analysis using multiple charting methods and indicators.
DeMap stands out by providing market participants with in-depth insights into sectoral trends, helping them identify emerging opportunities in various sectors. Through its price patterns and trend identification tools, DeMap is a guiding torch for traders to stay ahead of market movements and align their strategies with real-time data. You can watch this video to learn about DeMap. Click here

Bank Nifty: Poised for a Breakout?
The Bank Nifty index, comprising the largest banks in India, has been a key driver of market movements. While Nifty has already hit an all-time high, It is trailing slightly behind, just a few percentage points away from its peak. The question remains: Can these private banking giants propel Bank Nifty to new highs?

According to technical analysis from DeMap, these banks exhibit strong chart patterns that indicate further upside potential. The Point & Figure charts for ICICI Bank and Axis Bank show clear breakouts above key resistance levels, signalling a continued bullish trend.

As the Nifty soars to a new all-time high, the Bank Nifty following suit to an all-time high may witness a short-covering rally to achieve new highs.

Nifty 500

Nifty Midcap150

Nifty SMLCAP250

Stocklist 30th November 2024

Options trading involves buying and selling financial contracts known as options. Options give you the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset (such as stocks) at a predetermined price before a specified expiration date. There are two main types of options: call options and put options.

With more than 180 million users, ChatGPT is valuable for theoretical knowledge. However, when engaged in trading, practical knowledge holds equal significance. Let's begin by examining the information provided by ChatGPT.

Here's a basic overview of how options trading works:

1. Understand the Basics:
   Call Option: This gives you the right to buy the underlying asset at a specified price (strike price) before the expiration date.
   Put Option: This gives you the right to sell the underlying asset at a specified price (strike price) before the expiration date.

2. Learn Key Terms:
   Strike Price: The price at which the option can be exercised.
   Expiration Date: The date when the option contract expires.
   Premium: The price you pay to buy an option contract.
   Option Holder (Buyer): The person who buys the option.
   Option Writer (Seller): The person who sells the option.

3. Choose a Brokerage:
   You need to open an options trading account with a brokerage that offers options trading. Make sure to choose a reputable and reliable broker. At Definedge Securities, we care for our clients.

4. Educate Yourself:
   Before you start trading options, it's essential to educate yourself. There are numerous resources, including online courses, books, and tutorials, that can help you understand the complexities of options trading.

5. Risk Management:
   Options trading can be risky, and managing your risks is crucial. Set a budget for your options trades, use stop-loss orders, and diversify your portfolio.

Remember, options trading involves significant risk, and it's important to only invest money you can afford to lose. If you're unsure or new to options trading, consider consulting with a financial advisor or mentor for guidance.

That’s interesting points to learn THEORITICALLY. What about practical stuff?

At Definedge, our emphasis lies in imparting both theoretical and practical knowledge. While ChatGPT can provide extensive academic education akin to a bookworm, venturing into the trading realm demands a reasonable understanding.

Recently, our Options Mentor, Abhijit Phatak, wrapped up a session on Options Trading during the weekend. We're pleased to note that participants express satisfaction and actively share charts within our WhatsApp group.

To enhance your learning experience, you can access insightful videos from our mentors at https://www.definedgesecurities.com/products/insight/.

For exclusive insights, kindly login using your Definedge Securities client code.

Combining theoretical knowledge with practical insights is vital to empowering individuals on their trading journeys.

Do share your experience with trading options?

This week, the stock market lacks strength ahead of a long weekend on account of Guru Nanak Jayanti on Monday. The Indian benchmark index Nifty and Sensex stay within a narrow range, concluding close to their previous closing value.

Attention and investments appear to be directed towards Tata Technologies, the latest IPO from the Tata Group, drawing funds from the secondary markets.

Following our Fundamental expert's @Prasiddh-Shroff in-depth analysis of the ongoing IPO, Technical expert @Mangesh-Joglekar emphasized the chart setup of the Tata Group 25 Cap, suggesting a breakout. The Definedge post seems to have gained significant traction , evidenced by the 53 times subscription by 3 pm today.

Source: [https://www.chittorgarh.com/ipo_subscription/tata-technologies-ipo/1418/](link url)

Are you still planning to subscribe?

If you wish to subscribe, click on https://ipo.definedgesecurities.com/ongoingipo

Read the detailed report by Prasiddh here: https://insight.definedgesecurities.com/research/tata-technologies-ipo-notes/

To refer chart by Mangesh, Click here https://forum.definedgesecurities.com/topic/1112/tata-25-cap-index

The Nifty SmallCap/Nifty Midcap Ratio Chart is currently trending at the support level of an all-time low. This may indicate a potential opportunity to consider shifting investments from small-cap stocks to mid-cap stocks.

The Nifty SmallCap/Nifty Midcap Ratio Chart tracks the relative performance of small-cap stocks compared to mid-cap stocks. When the ratio is at an all-time low and reaches a support level, it suggests that small-cap stocks may be underperforming compared to their mid-cap counterparts.

The breakdown on the above chart means shifting from small-cap to mid-cap stocks at this juncture could potentially offer advantages to traders and investors.

While stock-specific actions may occur, it is important to note that the overall trend of the ratio chart is often influenced by the direction of the index.

Mid-cap stocks often exhibit a balance between growth potential and stability. Investing in mid-cap companies can provide diversified exposure to sectors and industries while aiming for potential capital appreciation.

Small-cap stocks, on the other hand, may face higher volatility and liquidity risks. Shifting to mid-cap stocks could help mitigate these risks while still offering opportunities for growth.

Stay informed, stay cautious, and make investment decisions that align with your financial goals and risk tolerance.

#RatioChart #MarketAnalysis #SmallCap #MidCap

Unusual Volumes - Cash Chart

Unusual Volumes - Futures

Unusual Options Activity

ITC 420PE Chart - Entry @ 9.70

ITC415PE Chart - Entry @ 7.50

Explore the Latest Buzz with Definedge Securities on the "What's Trending" Page!

We're thrilled to announce the launch of our brand-new "What's Trending" page, your go-to destination for the hottest market trends and insights!

Make sure to add this page to your daily routine because you want to experience everything interesting happening in the dynamic world of finance. Stay ahead of the curve, discover emerging opportunities, and keep your finger on the market pulse.

https://www.definedgesecurities.com/blog/category/whats-trending/

The early signs of TCS outperforming HDFCBANK are on the cards, and indications suggest that this trend might persist for the upcoming quarters. As market dynamics evolve, it becomes crucial for investors to adapt and align their portfolios with emerging trends.

Source: TradePoint

A notable observation from the ratio chart update is the likelihood of the banking sector lagging while the IT sector takes the lead in performance. This paradigm shift prompts investors to reevaluate their holdings and consider a realignment towards sectors exhibiting more robust growth prospects.

Considering the emerging trends, investors are urged to turn their attention to TCS over HDFCBANK.

Are You Ready to Make the Swap?

Euphoria markets, characterised by exuberant investor sentiment and soaring prices, can be a double-edged sword for traders and investors. While these markets offer the potential for significant gains, the challenges of finding the right stocks on the chart become increasingly pronounced.

1. Technical Overextension:
   One of the primary challenges in identifying stocks on the chart during the euphoric phases is the potential for technical overextension. Price movements may deviate significantly from historical patterns and indicators, challenging relying on traditional chart analysis techniques. Traders accustomed to technical signals may grapple with distorted patterns and false signals, complicating their decision-making process.

2. Irrational Exuberance:
   Euphoria markets are often marked by irrational exuberance, where market participants become overly optimistic and speculative. This exuberance can result in exaggerated price movements that do not align with the stock's underlying fundamentals. Do traders bother about fundamentals?
   Traders relying on technical analysis may struggle to make sense of the disconnect between price action and the actual health of the companies.

3. Herd Behaviour:
   The psychological phenomenon of herd behaviour is amplified during euphoric markets. Traders may be swayed by the collective actions of the crowd rather than relying on individual chart analysis. This herding behaviour can lead to crowded buses, as referred by @AP , making it difficult for traders to identify stocks with genuine technical strength amidst the noise of mass market movements.

4. Increased Volatility:
   Euphoria markets are notorious for heightened volatility. While volatility can present trading opportunities, it also introduces challenges for chart analysis. Sharp price fluctuations and sudden reversals can invalidate technical patterns, causing frustration for traders who rely on historical price data to make informed decisions.

5. Emotional Rollercoaster (FOMO):
   The psychological impact of trying to identify stocks on the chart during euphoric markets can be profound. The fear of missing out (FOMO) may drive impulsive decisions, and the constant pressure to stay ahead of rapidly changing trends can lead to emotional exhaustion.
   Traders may experience anxiety, stress, and emotional fatigue as they navigate the intense highs and lows of euphoric market conditions.

6. Risk of Correction:
   Euphoria markets are susceptible to corrections, where prices may experience a sharp decline after reaching unsustainable levels. Traders relying solely on technical analysis may find it challenging to anticipate these corrections, leading to unexpected losses.
   The fear of a sudden market reversal can further amplify the psychological stress associated with identifying stocks on the chart during the euphoric phases.

As the curtains draw on 2023 with 35 days to go, the stock market arena has witnessed a riveting performance, with PSU Banks emerging as the unsung heroes on D-Street.

The Performance in 2023, so far...
The twists and turns with the impressive gains of 15% on the Nifty PSU Bank Index leave its counterpart the Nifty Private Bank in the dust with a mere 4% gain.

Buckle up as we dissect the trendline breakout on the Nifty Private Bank/Nifty PSU Bank ratio chart and uncover the potential for short-term reversals as the year concludes.

Investors and traders should keep an eye on the ratio chart of Nifty Private Bank/Nifty PSU Bank, showcased in the chart section of TradePoint, to decipher the potential market shifts.

Trendline Breakout: A Game-Changer in the Making
The ratio chart doesn't lie, and a conspicuous trendline breakout signals a potential reversal in the short-term trend.

As we approach the tail end of 2023, this breakout becomes a critical focal point for investors looking to capitalize on evolving market dynamics. The breakout means the Nifty Private Bank will likely outperform Nifty PSU Bank.

Market Elephants vs. Tom and Jerry: A Metaphor for Movement
In finance, the analogy of market elephants and nimble midcap/small-cap players as Tom and Jerry holds when the trend begins. Larger market-cap Private Banks as elephants here, exhibit a slower pace of movement than their more agile counterparts like PSU Banks, who are into midcaps and small-cap baskets. Midcap and Small Cap Bank's Performance in 2023 has surprised many investors.

The Green Line Conundrum: Short-Term Surge or Long-Term Victory?
A green line on the ratio chart marks the initial level where Private Banks could potentially take the lead. However, it's crucial to understand that this scenario is a short-term view. Meanwhile, the long-term chart continues to favour PSU Banks, indicating a sustained trend of outperformance.

TradePoint: Your Gateway to Market Insights
For those eager to dive deeper into the numbers, TradePoint emerges as the go-to platform. The chart section on TradePoint hosts the ratio chart, offering a visual representation of the market tides and helping traders make informed decisions based on real-time data.

Trividh - The Options Strategy highlights the Federal Bank 173CE in today's trading session at 11:15am (attached image).

Many traders have doubts about when to enter the trade. I always suggest waiting for the follow-up breakout above the Anchor Col.

I have considered 175CE, which had a similar setup to 173CE but much higher volumes (liquidity) and lower spreads (Bid-Ask).

In the above chart, the Anchor Col follow-through is also supported by a triangle breakout confirming the setup.

Remember the idea of the hourly chart - the momentum should not fizzle out in the first hour, and if it continues after 10:15 am, you get good momentum trades in options.

It's all about timing the trades in Options buying.

New to Trividh - Check out the system, Click here

A stock market enthusiast has heard the name Harshad Mehta. Recently, a movie was made about his life, and the dialogue was very popular. One such dialogue is “Kam bolna, zyada kaam karna” which means talk less and work more.

In the stock market, where fortunes are made and lost in the blink of an eye, stock market dealers play a crucial role in executing trades on behalf of clients. Often unseen and unheard, these individuals are the unsung heroes behind the scenes of the bustling financial markets.

As you may have seen in the movies, the dealers in the ring trading are the ones who buy and sell on behalf of clients.

However, with the evolution of technology and the changing landscape of investing, the role of the traditional stock market dealer is transforming, leaving some to wonder about the future of this once indispensable profession.

I recall the early days of my career when I entered the fast-paced world of commodity trading. The trading floor was chaotic with ringing phones, shouting traders, and the constant hum of financial news updates. As a young and eager commodity dealer, my days were to bridge clients and the research desk, make split-second decisions, and field countless calls from anxious clients seeking advice on their next move.

However, the winds of change were blowing even then. The advent of online trading platforms, algorithmic trading, and the democratisation of financial information meant that investors were gaining more control over their trades. The shift was palpable; investors were turning into executors of their trades, armed with real-time market data and the ability to execute orders at the click of a button.

The COVID-19 pandemic further accelerated this trend. As the world grappled with the challenges posed by the virus, technology emerged as a saviour. Online communication platforms became the new norm and the vaccine incorporated immunity into our blood and embedded technology into our minds. Virtual meetings and digital transactions became the lifeline for businesses, including those in the financial sector.

With its rapidly growing tech-savvy population, India embraced this change with open arms. The traditional stock market dealer found themselves in a new era where their once indispensable role was questioned. The phone, which used to ring incessantly with clients seeking advice, was now silent, replaced by the constant hum of servers and algorithms executing trades in milliseconds.

Trading, once seen as a dynamic and social business, took on a new dimension of solitude. The camaraderie among traders, the banter on the trading floor, and the shared adrenaline rush were replaced by the sterile glow of computer screens in empty rooms. The art of negotiation and persuasion, skills honed by veteran dealers, seemed to be fading into obsolescence.

The loneliness of the modern trader became evident. The personal touch, the reassurance in the voice of a seasoned dealer during turbulent market times, was replaced by automated responses and pre-programmed algorithms. The human element, it seemed, was being slowly edged out by the relentless march of technology.

For those nostalgic for the days of broker-client relationships and the reassuring voice of a stock market dealer, the iconic movie "The Wolf of Wall Street" serves as a reminder of a bygone era. The days of pen-and-paper transactions, aggressive sales pitches, and charismatic brokers seem like a distant memory in today's digital age.

Yet, amidst this technological upheaval, some clients still find solace in speaking to a human dealer. The comfort derived from a personal connection, the ability to seek advice from a knowledgeable professional, and the assurance that someone is at the other end of the line during tumultuous market conditions are irreplaceable for some investors.

The days of a bustling trading floor may be fading, but the human touch in trading is not entirely lost. It may be via a digital chat on WhatsApp, Telegram, Twitter or even here at our forum.

I request a few minutes of your to write about your experience on dealer-client relationships.

@Neha V Video will be out soon....Stay Tuned

Learn how to read and analyze the Open Interest (OI) chain to create effective trading strategies. Discover the impact of the highest OI on strike prices and how advanced tools like RZone and Opstra by Definedge can help you analyze key option Greeks—Gamma, Vega, Theta, and Delta. Enhance your trading performance by understanding market sentiment and making informed decisions based on detailed OI data.

Click here to read more

Do you know about the Equal-Weighted Index?

Watch the video and learn about the Equal Weighted Index (EQW).

Index are readily available in #Definedge #TradePoint and #RZone

https://youtu.be/Hc4DhNA_vGE

As we are on the last day of November, the Nifty has experienced a gradual reversal, moving from 19,000 to 20,000. The monthly high and low levels are crucial from a chartist's perspective.

Technical analysis is an influential tool traders use to make informed decisions based on historical price data and market trends.

While daily and weekly charts are commonly used, monthly charts have a special significance, providing a broader perspective for traders and investors.

Let’s understand the importance of monthly closing prices and chart patterns, exploring how they can be leveraged for effective decision-making.

Importance of Monthly Closing Prices:
Monthly closing prices play a pivotal role in technical analysis as they offer a longer-term view of market trends, helping traders identify significant price levels and potential reversal points. The closing price reflects the consensus of market participants over an entire month, smoothing out short-term fluctuations and noise. This provides a more reliable signal for traders looking to make strategic decisions.

Chart Patterns on Monthly Charts:
Chart patterns on monthly charts can offer valuable insights into the market's overall direction. Identifying the patterns on a monthly chart provides a more reliable signal due to the extended timeframe, reducing the impact of random price movements.

Traders suited for Monthly Charts:
Monthly charts are particularly beneficial for long-term investors, position traders, and those looking to ride major trends. Swing traders can also use monthly charts to confirm the broader trend before executing shorter-term trades. The monthly perspective helps filter out noise and focus on the primary market direction.

Interpreting Support and Resistance with Monthly Highs and Lows:
Support and resistance levels are critical in technical analysis, indicating potential turning points in the market. Monthly highs and lows offer robust support and resistance levels due to the extended timeframe. Here's how to interpret them:

1. Monthly Highs as Resistance: If the price struggles to surpass a previous monthly high, it indicates strong resistance. Traders should watch for potential reversals or corrections when approaching these levels.

2. Monthly Lows as Support: Conversely, if the price consistently bounces off a previous monthly low, it suggests strong support. Traders can look for buying opportunities when prices approach these levels.

3. Breakouts and Breakdowns: A breakout above a significant monthly high or a breakdown below a monthly low can signal a change in trend. This is a powerful indication for traders looking to capitalise on significant market movements.

To sum up, incorporating monthly closing prices and chart patterns into technical analysis provides traders with a more comprehensive and reliable perspective on market trends. The extended timeframe of monthly charts is especially valuable for long-term investors and position traders. By interpreting support and resistance levels using monthly highs and lows, traders can make well-informed decisions and navigate the markets more confidently.

If you are trading by looking at the monthly levels on charts, write about the strategy in the comment section so like-minded traders can benefit from it. If you are uncomfortable to write, we can write for you. You need to DM me in the chat section.

Forget Western Candlestick Pattern, Learn a pattern by #Gujju #Trader

Kanti Kaka Ni Chavi - #Kudko #Bhusko #CandlestickPattern

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EvkllXz4Qb8&t=78s

It’s jashan on D-street as the Nifty achieved an all-time high, hitting records of 20,291 that have left many traders optimistic.

According to my trading system, the level of 20,366 might pose a significant hurdle in the upcoming week.

For Trend Traders, the Super Trend indicator is an indispensable tool in their arsenal. What sets it apart is its ability to factor in market volatility when determining trends. This results in a smoother and more effective trend-following indicator than traditional methods.

To read more about Super Trend, Click here https://www.definedgesecurities.com/library/super-trend/

Let’s understand how the Super Trend works in the current Nifty scenario

Source: TradePoint

The default period for Super Trend is set at 10 periods. However, my preference leans towards a 13-period setting for medium-term analysis and a 5-period setting for short-term insights.

Why these specific numbers? The rationale is quite simple – both 13 and 5 are Fibonacci numbers, chosen for their unique mathematical properties that align well with market dynamics.

As of now, the 13-period Super Trend is highlighting a bullish trend, signalling positive sentiments in the medium term. But, the 5-period Super Trend is pointing to a potential resistance level at 20,366. If bulls manage to breach this level, it could trigger a rapid and forceful rally in the market during the upcoming week.

Ending the Year on a High Note:
The indication of a potential breakout above 20,366 implies that the Nifty might be wrapping up the year on a high note. The market's reaction to this resistance level will likely set the tone for the beginning of the new year, shaping trading strategies for the months ahead.

As we are in the last month of 2023, What levels can we expect on Nifty?
Share your predictions in the comments below.

READ ONLY IF YOU WISH TO RIDE A bull BEAR

In the stock market, where participants vie for profits amidst the volatile waves of economic tides, one strategy stands out as both feared and revered: short selling. Often considered an art form rather than a mere trading technique, short selling involves selling borrowed securities to buy them back at a lower price, thus profiting from the price decline. While some view it with scepticism due to its association with market downturns, others recognise its strategic complexity and potential for profit generation when executed precisely. Indeed, short selling can be likened to an art requiring skill, foresight, and a deep understanding of market dynamics.

At its core, short selling involves defying the traditional notion of buying low and selling high. Instead, practitioners of this art form seek to profit from a market downturn by identifying overvalued or overbought shares and predicting their decline. This requires a keen eye for spotting trends, analysing financial data, and interpreting market sentiment. Successful short sellers possess a contrarian mindset, daring to swim against the current of optimism that often pervades financial markets.

Much like a painter carefully selects their palette of colours, a skilled short seller meticulously researches potential targets. They scrutinise financial statements, assess industry trends, and even chart patterns. Through thorough analysis, they identify vulnerabilities others may overlook, such as deteriorating earnings, excessive leverage, or market saturation. By understanding the underlying weaknesses of a company, they can anticipate future challenges and position themselves accordingly.

Timing is crucial in short selling, akin to capturing the perfect moment in a photograph. Short sellers must gauge when to enter a trade and when to exit. Unlike long positions, where losses are capped at the initial investment, short positions carry unlimited risk, as prices can theoretically rise indefinitely. Therefore, short sellers must remain vigilant, ready to cut their losses if the market turns against them. Discipline and emotional resilience are paramount, as the temptation to abandon a losing position can be strong.

Moreover, short selling requires a profound understanding of market psychology. Fear and greed often drive investor behaviour, leading to periods of irrational exuberance and abrupt reversals. Skilled short sellers capitalise on these emotional swings, exploiting market inefficiencies and capitalising on mispriced assets. They can anticipate momentum shifts and adjust their strategies by staying attuned to market sentiment and behavioural biases.

Short selling is vital in markets despite its reputation as a risky endeavour. By providing liquidity and price discovery, short sellers contribute to market efficiency, helping to prevent asset bubbles and excess speculation. Furthermore, they check corporate misconduct, uncovering fraud and malfeasance that may otherwise go unnoticed. In this sense, short selling can be seen as market regulation, promoting transparency and accountability.

In conclusion, short selling is not merely a speculative gamble but a nuanced art form that requires skill, discipline, and a deep understanding of market dynamics. Like a master painter wielding a brush, successful short sellers navigate the complexities of financial markets with precision and foresight. While it may not be suitable for all investors, those who master the art of short selling can unlock opportunities for profit generation in both bull and bear markets. As with any art form, practice, patience, and perseverance are essential for those seeking to excel in short selling.

Stock List - 2nd December 2023

I spent the last 15 years mastering the art of Harmonic Trading Patterns. I witnessed the bullish and bearish cycles of equities and commodities and learned from his experiences.

For weeks, I worked tirelessly, recording videos, writing scripts, and creating strategies to help traders understand the nuances of trading with harmonic patterns. I did not want to make another course; I just wanted to create a course that would be a game-changer for anyone who took it. Finally, after months of hard work, the course is LIVE.

I had poured my heart and soul into it and was proud of our creation at Definedge. The Harmonic Trading Course will be available at an unbeatable price of just Rs. 5999, and it would be an excellent value for anyone who wants to add a valuable strategy to his trading kitty and master the art of trading.

I am happy to make a difference in the lives of so many traders. Trading is challenging, but anyone can succeed with proper guidance and strategies.

Enrol Now on gurukul.definedgesecurities.com

Re: My Indicator Signals Hurdle at 20366 on Nifty

Human psychology is inherently inclined to adapt to acquired knowledge, and this inclination is equally applicable to traders.

In my 17 years of engagement with thousands of traders, each on their quest for the holy grail. If you're one of those traders relentlessly looking for that perfect strategy, then DON'T READ THIS ARTICLE.

The technical analysis arsenal is vast, comprising thousands of patterns and hundreds of indicators. Over the years, I've learned that the key to success lies not in mastering every tool available but in carefully selecting a few that align with your unique trading style.

Before filtering through indicators, it's imperative to grasp the fundamental aspects of each. This foundational knowledge serves as the bedrock upon which successful trading strategies are built. Read for free on pattern and indicators here

On the weekend, I shared insights into the modification of the Super-Trend indicator's period, pinpointing a resistance zone at 20,366. You might have been intrigued by the seemingly arbitrary numbers 5 and 13. I addressed the 'why' behind these choices, but the true beauty of the Super Trend lies in its remarkable adaptability to ever-changing market conditions.

Here is an updated chart of Nifty - Weekly.

Reflecting on the past week, which concluded on a high note with Mumbai's bars abuzz with stock market traders, I was celebrating too .

The 5-week Super Trend prominently signalled resistance at an all-time high (ATH). Did you sense something suspicious in the air?

We humans always love the good things, but sometimes the role of devil's advocate is important too and that was played by my 5-week Super Trend.

Historically, whenever the index breaches the 5-week and 13-week Super Trend range, the ensuing trend mirrors the intensity of Vin Diesel driving in Fast & Furious.

The journey through the complexities of trading has taught me the importance of adaptability and the selective mastery of tools. Instead of chasing the unattainable holy grail, focus on understanding the fundamentals of indicators and customizing them to suit your individual preferences.

Volumes are key important tool in technical analysis to identify the participation in the trend.

Read the conversation between Sachin and Raj and learn about the Volume parameters.

Click here to Read more.

How do you find trading stocks when markets are trending at an all-time high?

A trader is constantly in fear of the downside when the market is trading at an all-time high, like the rally we witnessed this week.

There are a few questions in his mind:

1. The market is overheated, should I buy now?
2. What if the market retraces or reverses from the current level?
3. The stop-losses are deep, is it the right time to enter the market?

All these questions might be in your mind too, right?

It's always difficult to catch the running markets, be it bullish or bearish. As Paul Tudor Jones said, “The meat is not in the middle of the trend but it is when you catch tops and bottoms.”

He is Paul Tudor Jones - a successful trader, but catching tops and bottoms is not everyone’s cup of tea.

Some traders wish to play the momentum and catch the trend as much as they can.
For them, this is one study you should look at – it is Darvas Box.

The Darvas Box is a technical analysis tool used in stock trading by Nicolas Darvas, a dancer turned self-taught investor. Darvas achieved significant success in the stock market during the 1950s, and he detailed his trading methods in his book, "How I Made $2,000,000 in the Stock Market."

The Darvas Box visually represents price movements and helps traders identify potential breakout and breakdown points. The method is based on the idea that stocks tend to trade within a specific range before making a significant move. The key components of the Darvas Box include:

1. Box Formation:
Darvas identified a stock trading in a narrow price range, forming a box on the price chart. This box is created by drawing horizontal lines at the upper and lower boundaries of the recent trading range.

2. Volume Confirmation:
Darvas also paid attention to the volume associated with the stock's price movements. He believed that a breakout or breakdown from the box should be accompanied by increased volume, confirming the move's strength.

3. Buy Signal:
Darvas would initiate a buy position when the stock's price broke out above the upper boundary of the box, and this breakout was confirmed by higher-than-average trading volume.

4. Stop-Loss Placement:
To manage risk, Darvas set a stop-loss just below the lower boundary of the box. He would exit the trade to limit losses if the price fell back into the box, indicating a potential false breakout.

5. Trailing the Box:
As the stock price continued to rise, Darvas would adjust the upper boundary of the box to capture the ongoing trend. This allowed him to ride the upward momentum while protecting profits by adjusting the stop-loss.

6. Sell Signal:
Darvas would sell his position when the price fell below the lower boundary of the box on increased volume, signalling a potential reversal or breakdown.

It's important to note that while the Darvas Box method gained popularity and has been used by some traders, it is not foolproof. Like any trading strategy, it comes with risks, and market conditions can change.

Traders should consider using the Darvas Box as part of a comprehensive trading plan and incorporate risk management techniques to enhance their chances of success.

At Definedge, we believe in simplifying the trading experience with our unique trading platforms, Trade Point and RZone.

We have an inbuilt Smart Scanner to filter the stocks at the ceiling or break out of the Darvas Box.

Ceiling:
The ceiling, also known as the "top" or "upper boundary," is the highest price level a stock reaches within a specific period. In the context of the Darvas Box, the upper limit of the price range forms a box on the chart.

Breakout:
The breakout occurs when the stock's price moves above the upper boundary or ceiling of the Darvas Box. This is a crucial event for traders following the Darvas method, as it signals a potential upward trend and an opportunity to enter a long (buy) position.
While using a scanner, the user needs to select the breakout stocks or stocks on the verge of breakout (ceiling).

Here is how you can go to the Darvas Box scanner.

The sample result from the scanner is attached from the group of NSE All Indices.

Source: Tradepoint, Definedge Securities

If you use the Darvas Box scanner, share your experience in the comment below.

In the digital era, where convenience and accessibility are paramount, Zone Mobile App presents a cutting-edge solution that empowers users with the ability to access ready-to-use scanners with just a few simple clicks on their mobile devices.

One such scanner is Golden-Cross.

The Golden Cross is a popular technical analysis pattern that occurs when a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term moving average, signaling a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish market trend. Typically, the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day moving average is used to identify a Golden Cross. This pattern is seen as a strong bullish signal, indicating that the stock's price is gaining upward momentum. Traders can comsider this a sign to enter or increase positions, anticipating continued price growth.

The Golden Cross is widely followed in various markets, including stocks, commodities, and forex, due to its historical reliability in predicting upward market movements.

On Zone Mobile App, you can check the stock's that qualifies this pattern.

In the raging bull market, everyone is eager to make money. The pigs are always on their toes to gain while the sheep will use all their contacts to get the stock tips.

But which stocks should you buy? Bluechips, midcaps, or smallcaps?

The recent market dynamics have seen an extraordinary surge, with every dip being aggressively bought by both Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) and retail investors.

The paradox lies in the fact that blue-chip stocks have not performed as anticipated despite the Nifty reaching all-time highs.

Let’s get into the ratio analysis of Nifty50, Midcap100, and SmallCap100 and compare them with the broader market index, Nifty500.

Source: Zone Web, Definedge

Nifty50 vs. Nifty500
If you want to make it big, forget the bluechips or Nifty50 stocks. The Nifty50/Nifty500 ratio chart shows that bluechips have underperformed the broader market.

Nifty Midcap100 vs. Nifty500
The Nifty Midcap100/Nifty500 ratio chart is trending at an all-time high. This means that midcap stocks are outperforming the broader market. Midcap stocks current trend is like Virat Kohli hitting a cover drive - they are offering a lot of opportunities for growth.

Nifty SmallCap100 vs. Nifty500
The Nifty SmallCap100/Nifty500 ratio chart has just broken out from its technical resistance. This means that smallcap stocks are poised for a rally. However, smallcap stocks are also more volatile than midcap and bluechip stocks.

So, what should you buy?

It depends on your risk tolerance. If you are risk-averse, you should stick to bluechip stocks. If willing to take on more risk, you could consider midcap or smallcap stocks.

The comment section awaits your insights – what segment are you favoring in this dynamic market? Share your thoughts below.

This indicator is designed for daily analysis, not intraday trading. I used data from the previous day (value of 1) for this example. You can use a value of 0 to analyze current day data. However, it's important to remember that this analysis isn't suitable for making intraday trading decisions and may not be ideal for the Trividh strategy.

In India, gold has long been regarded as many investors' first preference over equity. The cultural significance attached to gold and its historic role as a store of value has ingrained a deep-seated trust in the precious metal among Indian households.

Traditionally, gold has been perceived as a symbol of wealth and security, often passed down through generations as a form of inheritance. Additionally, the stability and tangible nature of gold investments resonates well with the risk-averse nature of a significant portion of the Indian investor base.

While equity markets offer the potential for higher returns, the allure of gold persists due to its perceived safety and enduring value, making it the cornerstone of investment portfolios for many Indian investors.

With the evolving investment options in Gold, Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGBs) have emerged as a compelling choice for investors, especially in the Indian market.

With the current price of Rs. 6,149 per gram, the question arises: Should you invest in Sovereign Gold Bonds?

Let's look into the advantages of Sovereign Gold Bonds, considering the prevailing price and associated features.

1. Interest-Earning Potential:
   One of the primary attractions of Sovereign Gold Bonds is their interest rate. At 2.5%, this rate is higher than physical gold investments typically provide. In a scenario where gold prices may change, the interest earnings act as a buffer, ensuring investors gain even if the gold prices remain stagnant or experience a moderate rise.

2. Hedge Against Inflation:
   Gold has historically been considered a hedge against inflation. By investing in Sovereign Gold Bonds, investors gain exposure to the price movements of gold and secure an additional 2.5% interest. This dual benefit can be advantageous in maintaining the actual value of the investment in the face of inflationary pressures.

3. Lock-in Period and Future Planning:
   The locking period of 5 years for Sovereign Gold Bonds encourages a long-term investment horizon. This feature aligns with the traditional role of gold in preserving wealth over time. Investors looking to hedge against future uncertainties or those with a strategic perspective on gold prices may find this locking period advantageous. It provides a stable foundation for financial planning, especially for long-term goals.

4. Capital Gains Tax Exemption:
   Sovereign Gold Bonds offer a tax advantage over physical gold. The capital gains arising from the redemption of these bonds are exempted if held until maturity. This exemption adds a layer of tax efficiency to the investment, making it an attractive option for those mindful of tax implications.

5. No Storage Hassles:
   Unlike physical gold, Sovereign Gold Bonds eliminate the need for safe storage arrangements. Investors can participate in the gold market without worrying about the security and insurance costs of storing physical gold. This feature adds to the convenience of investing in gold through bonds.

These are the few advantages to investing in Sovereign Gold Bonds, but does the long-term trend look promising to invest?

Let’s look at the medium to long-term chart of MCX Gold price which are related to the spot prices.

MCX Gold Price Chart

Source: TradePoint

The Point and Figure (P&F) weekly chart for Gold is currently exhibiting a bullish trend, having successfully breached the resistance zone delineated by two black horizontal lines.

The breakout is further supported by a succession of Double Top Buy signals, signalling the potential for a sustained upward trajectory. This chart pattern strongly indicates that the price of gold is on an upward trend, with the Double Top Buy signals suggesting a continuation of the bullish momentum.

The positive outlook on the P&F chart augurs well for investors, implying that there may be more favourable opportunities and potential gains in store for those involved in the gold market.

In conclusion, investing in Sovereign Gold Bonds at the current price of Rs. 6,149/gm presents a compelling opportunity for investors in the Indian market. The 2.5% interest rate and the 5-year locking period are a strategic hedge against potential gold price fluctuations. Additionally, the tax benefits and the absence of storage concerns make SGBs attractive for those seeking exposure to gold while optimising their investment portfolio.

Hey @Vishal Shah

It won't be long now, just a few more weeks and we will be Live!

We are combining the best features of TradePoint and Tradingview to give you the best trading experience. But you know, good things take time, right?

The bulls have a ray of hope on Nifty and Bank Nifty as the indices have multiple support areas at 10DEMA and the gaps.

The levels of 20,900-20,950 on Nifty and 46,700-46,900 on Bank Nifty will be crucial. If bears take control below these levels, the bearish momentum may accelerate.

Nifty Daily Chart

Bank Nifty Daily Chart

Happy Trading!

ధన్యవాదాలు హైదరాబాద్ - Thank You Hyderabad!

On Saturday, 16th December 2023, Hyderabad witnessed a financial extravaganza as over 100 participants gathered for the much-anticipated Manthan event. Interestingly, we had participants from cities like Delhi, Bangalore, Jalna and many more.

The overwhelming response resulted in a fully booked venue, leaving us with sincere apologies to those who missed out on this enriching experience. The success of the event was owed entirely to the enthusiastic participation of our attendees, and we extend our gratitude to each one of them.

Event Highlights:

1. Options Greeks Unveiled by Raghunath Reddy:
   The event commenced with an insightful session by Raghunath Reddy on Options Greeks and various strategic approaches. A notable highlight was the participant's extensive use of the Options Strategy Builder in Opstra. To know more about Opstra's features, Click here.
   The engagement and interest in these advanced strategies showcased the participant's dedication to mastering the intricacies of options trading.

2. P&F Charting Essentials with Prashant Shah:
   Prashant Shah, CEO of Definedge, took the stage to explain the basics of P&F charting and share insights into stock selection through the Relative Strength feature. The positive response indicated that many participants had already utilised P&F charts, while others found the subject intriguing.
   For those seeking free charts, a valuable resource awaits at www.definedgesecurities.com, where enthusiasts can sign up for access to comprehensive charting tools.

3. Abhijit Phatak's Insightful Session on TOI:
   The final session featured Abhijit Phatak, a renowned options trader known for using charts to identify trading opportunities. He emphasized the significance of understanding trends through the use of Straddles. The session gave participants a deeper understanding of practical trend analysis and options trading strategies.

At Definedge, we believe in empowering subscribers to be independent traders. The commitment to providing valuable insights showcased through videos and forums, was well-received by participants who expressed their appreciation during the event.

Once again, our heartfelt thanks to all the participants for their active involvement and contribution to Manthan's success. The event wouldn't have been as impactful without the enthusiasm and engagement of each attendee.

If you were among the attendees at Manthan, we invite you to share your experiences and insights in the comments below. Your feedback is valuable, and it will contribute to making future events even more enriching for the financial community.

Stock List - 6th Jan 2024

@Radhakanta-Samantara You can watch here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vk_jNaHwosI

HDFC Bank's share price traded strongly in the banking stock basket, forming the Bull Sash candlestick pattern on the daily chart.

But.......

An Adaptive RSI indicator has turned negative and the stock price have resisted at the signal line of the indicator.

The negative cross and resistance zone of 1,680-1,700 will be a decider for the further bullish momentum. If bulls fail to surpass with strong trend, that may be standing with the white flag.

Stock List - 21st Jan 2024

Coming Soon.....Stay Tuned

Stock List 27th Jan 2024

Re: The Strategy's Unbelievable Stats Revealed - Video Coming Soon...

You may have heard about this simple concept "Golden Cross" and "Death Cross".

But this stats are just unbelievable. Even I was so shocked when I saw this.

Watch video here: https://youtu.be/6312czWjTTE?si=Z58fn3Gf3sFR_yUg

#KeepItSimple

As highlighted in the weekly newsletter a couple of weeks ago, according to Seasonality Analysis, February historically records the worst monthly performance for this sector. However, this dip typically signifies a bottoming-out process, setting the stage for a potential upward trend.

The chart for Nifty FMCG indicates a falling channel pattern, but signs are pointing towards an imminent breakout, particularly in the 54,300-54,400 zone. The sector presents lucrative opportunities in the near future.

The setup negates below 46,333

Stock List 24th Feb 2024

The Nifty IT Index is showing strong signs of a bullish trend as indicated by the formation of a Bullish Piercing Candlestick pattern within the demand zone.

The stochastic indicator has given a bullish crossover, further supporting the notion that bullish momentum may take the lead in the near future. These technical indicators collectively point towards a favorable outlook for the Nifty IT Index, suggesting potential opportunities for investors to capitalize on the upward movement in the market.

Pattern negates below 1,475

Definedge - Ship Building EQW Index

Cochin Shipyard

Dredeing Corp

GE Shipping

Mazgoan Dock

GRSE

SCI

Stocklist 25-05-2024

The Nifty witnessed a dip in the last few sessions from 23,110 to 22,417 ahead of the election results.

As of now, the medium-to-long-term trend remains bullish on the index, while short-term hiccups due to monthly expiry and fear amongst traders witnessed profit bookings.

If you are looking to buy the dip, here is a list of stocks filtered based on the following criteria.

1. Golden Cross - 50DEMA above 200DEMA
2. Stocks last close above 200DEMA
3. RSI below 40

Updated Chart:

A Close above 3,000 will confirm the Flag and Psychological level breakout.

On the Adani Ports, 0.15% X 3 Daily chart - the stock has just broken out of the follow-through anchor column (AFT) while on the 1420CE chart of 3% X 3 on 1min chart, the Bullish Bat Harmonic pattern is visible.

Adani Ports Daily Chart

Adani Ports 1420CE Chart

The Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern is visible on the Nifty 15mins (Spot) chart. The 200EMA Channel is placed below the reversal levels indicating the support zone.

As the giant HDFC Bank and Reliance are leading the fall in the first hour today, the risk is higher in the reversal setup. Hence, the stop-loss is a must for the setup, which is 24,170. (CMP-24250)

I have been regularly sharing insights about the Laidback Strategy on our forum. I would like to revisit an important example that underscores the power of sticking with a well-defined trading system.

Last year, I authored an article discussing how Suzlon Energy Ltd. triggered a buy signal in the Laidback Strategy after 15 years at a price of Rs. 14. Fast forward to today, Suzlon is trading at Rs. 64.98 and still going strong, marking an impressive increase of over four times in just a year. Read here

The primary purpose of this note is to underscore the critical importance of patience and consistency in following a trading system. Many traders often get disheartened or lose faith in their strategies when immediate results are not evident. However, as Suzlon's example illustrates, a well-crafted strategy can yield significant returns, potentially even fourfold, if given the time to mature through various market phases.

Here are some key takeaways from this experience:

1. Patience is Key: The Laidback Strategy identified a buying opportunity in Suzlon after a long period of dormancy. This underscores the importance of waiting for the right conditions and signals, even if it takes years.

2. Trust the System: The remarkable growth in Suzlon's stock price over a year, from Rs. 14 to Rs. 64.98, demonstrates the power of a systematic approach. Had we not adhered to the strategy, we might have missed out on this substantial gain. This should reassure you of the effectiveness of a well-defined trading system.

3. Market Phases: Every trading system will encounter different market phases, from bullish to bearish trends. Observing how your system performs across these varying conditions is crucial to truly understand its potential and limitations.

4. Conviction Through Experience: The real test of a trading system's efficacy comes through prolonged usage. Until you've applied your system for an extended period and seen how it navigates different market environments, you won't fully grasp its strengths and weaknesses.

Below is Suzlon's chart, highlighting its significant rise from Rs. 14 to Rs. 64.98, as identified by the Laidback Strategy.

The Suzlon example should serve as a reminder and motivation to all of us to stay committed to our trading strategies. Consistency and a long-term perspective are essential in reaping the benefits of a well-designed trading system.

Are you thinking of Yes Bank and Idea whether they are a buy in Laidback?

Stocklist - 3rd August 2024

Stocklist - 17th August 2024

Seasonality analysis is a method for identifying recurring patterns or trends based on specific times of the year. This approach examines how certain periods, such as months, quarters, or even specific dates, historically affect the performance of stocks, commodities, or other assets.

To check the Seasonality Analysis, log into RZone > Click on Seasonality Analysis > Seasonality Index.

Here is the result for Nifty550 - September month.

Stocklist 7th Sept 2024

If you are interested in learning "how to find these stocks," please comment below.

It's Do or Die for Nifty at 200DEMA Channel, Will History Repeat?

Re: Nifty - Bullish Harmonic

As highlighted by the Bullish Harmonic, the Nifty has reversed, and GIF Nifty indicates an opening of around 24,300. I will book profits at the open because of...

Nifty will now enter the major resistance zone of 24,327-24,600 at 62DEMA Channel, sloping downwards.

The Bulls must cross 24,360-24,370 to be convinced to look for an expiry around 24,500.

It seems to be the range-bound day if 24,100-24,370 is not breached.

Bank Nifty can be the one that can lead the Nifty higher as HDFCBANK closed above Rs.1,800.

Good Morning Siddharthji,
You can watch this video on TOI explained by @AP and @Raghunath-Reddy
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MRZ8epTK-PY

@Radhakanta Samantara Feedback appreciated. We will work on it.

I have highlighted "a breakdown means a shift from Smallcap to Midcap investments."

GM Sir, there has been a lot of spam recently. Our team is working to stop such activities.

Infosys, a market leader, has lagged in the recent rally of Nifty and Sensex.
Once an esteemed blue-chip of the stock market has lost its allure for investors, but the technical chart structure indicates...

Bullish Breakout Patterns on P&F Chart:
The P&F 0.25% X 3 chart for Infosys reveals the presence of multiple bullish breakout patterns. These patterns indicate a strong upward momentum in the stock price and suggest the potential for further gains. Traders may consider these breakout patterns as positive signals, indicating a bullish trend in the stock.

The Bar Chart - Gap and Resistance Zone:
The major hurdle at the gap area of Rs.1,365 and the resistance zone at Rs.1,400 levels may act as significant barriers to the stock's upward movement.
If the stock manages to overcome this hurdle successfully, it could signify a robust breakout and reinforce the bullish sentiment surrounding Infosys.
A weekly close above Rs.1,412 holds considerable significance for the stock confirming a potential bottom formation and suggesting an upward reversal.

Can Infosys be the Next Reliance for Nifty50's rally towards 20,000?

Investing in equity markets can be a rewarding endeavour, but it's essential to navigate with caution. Timing the market and identifying the peak, commonly referred to as "calling the top," is an elusive feat for even the most seasoned investors.

While there is no foolproof method to predict market tops consistently, understanding key parameters can provide valuable insights. In this blog, we will explore some essential parameters to consider when attempting to call the top in equity markets.

1. Market Valuation:
One of the critical parameters to monitor is market valuation. Generally, when valuations are high, it indicates that the market might be approaching its peak.

Metrics like the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, or cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio can offer insights into whether stocks are overvalued. Comparing these ratios to historical averages can help identify potential market tops.

2. Investor Sentiment:
Investor sentiment plays a crucial role in market movements. When investors become overly optimistic, it can be a warning sign of a market top. Indicators like the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the put/call ratio, or surveys measuring investor sentiment can help gauge the prevailing market sentiment.

Excessive bullishness and complacency may suggest that the market is nearing a top, while extreme fear may indicate an oversold market ripe for a rebound.

3. Technical Analysis:
Technical analysis involves studying price patterns, chart patterns, and various indicators to predict market trends. While not foolproof, technical analysis can provide insights into potential turning points.

Key indicators like moving averages, trendlines, relative strength index (RSI), or MACD (moving average convergence divergence) can help identify overbought conditions or bearish divergences, potentially signaling an approaching market top.

4. Economic Indicators:
Monitoring economic indicators can provide valuable clues about the overall health of the economy and its impact on equity markets. Indicators such as GDP growth, employment data, inflation rates, interest rates, and consumer confidence can influence market sentiment and performance.

Economic indicators that suggest a slowdown or potential recession may indicate a market top.

5. Corporate Earnings:
Corporate earnings are the backbone of stock valuations. Strong and consistent earnings growth typically drives market rallies. However, when earnings growth starts to slow or miss expectations, it can be an early warning sign of a market top.

Paying close attention to company earnings reports, revenue growth, and forward guidance can help identify potential turning points in the equity markets.

6. Geopolitical and Macro Factors:
Geopolitical events and macroeconomic factors can significantly impact equity markets. Events such as trade tensions, political instability, currency fluctuations, or global economic slowdowns can create headwinds for equity markets.

Staying informed about geopolitical developments and macroeconomic trends can provide valuable context when assessing the potential for a market top.

Calling the top in equity markets is a challenging task, as it requires a deep understanding of multiple parameters and a comprehensive analysis of various indicators.

While no method can consistently predict market tops, being aware of key parameters can help investors make more informed decisions. By combining fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and a holistic view of the broader economic and geopolitical landscape, investors can enhance their ability to identify potential market tops and adjust their investment strategies accordingly.
Remember, patience and a long-term perspective are vital for successful investing, regardless of market conditions.

**Considering the parameters discussed above, "Is this a time to Call-A-Top in the Nifty?"
Mention Yes or No in the comment below.

Hey everyone, as you have probably seen, I recently covered the concept of Moving Average channels in my latest video (Click here for Video).

I wanted to open up this discussion to our FORUM users, inviting any questions or doubts you might have about the topic.

Feel free to ask away, and I'll do my best to provide clear explanations and solutions to any queries you may have. Post your queries in the comment below.

*Please read the questions and answer before posting as the same question may be answered in the discussion.

The stock price of CDSL (Central Depository Services Limited) has shown a significant breakthrough in its chart, signalling a potential shift in market sentiment.

The price action has successfully breached the falling trendline that had been exerting downward pressure on the stock.
Moreover, after the breakout, the price has retraced and retested the trendline, suggesting a possible continuation of the bullish momentum.

The breakout of a falling trendline is often regarded as a bullish signal in technical analysis. It suggests that the stock's downtrend may be losing strength and that a reversal or a period of consolidation could be imminent.

A crucial aspect of breakout confirmation is the retesting of the broken trendline. After the initial breakout, it is common for the price to retrace and revisit the trendline to validate the strength of the breakout. In this case, the stock price has successfully retested the trendline, confirming its newfound support level. This retest reinforces the notion that the breakout is not a false signal but rather a genuine shift in market dynamics.

Great Work.

The VOLAR score, or Volatility-Adjusted Return, is a metric used to evaluate the performance of an investment by adjusting its returns for volatility. This score helps investors compare the risk-adjusted performance of different assets or portfolios.

The VOLAR score is calculated by dividing the return of an investment by its volatility, which is typically measured as the standard deviation of returns.

Volar Score = Return/Volatility

A higher VOLAR score indicates better performance on a risk-adjusted basis, meaning the investment provides higher returns for a given level of risk.​

This metric is useful for investors who want to assess not just the absolute returns of an investment but how those returns compare to the risk taken to achieve them.

The bulls have made a strong comeback in the IT sector.

The charts show a breakout for Infosys, indicating a significant upward movement in its stock price.

As the bulls continue to dominate the IT sector, it will be interesting to see how Infosys capitalizes on this momentum.

@RAGUNATH_AG Thanks

Video will be out soon...Stay Tuned!

Asian Paints stock has rallied from Rs.2,700 to Rs.3,568 but showing signs of caution at higher levels.

The stock has shown resistance at the long-term resistance zone of Rs 3,600 and witnessed a bearish momentum.

Long-term Resistance at Rs 3,600:
Asian Paints stock has encountered resistance at the long-term price level of Rs 3,600. Historically, this level has acted as a significant barrier to upward price movement.

The inability of the stock to breach this resistance suggests that there is selling pressure in the market at this price level.

Breakdown from Rising Channel:
The recent price action of the stock indicates a breakdown from a rising channel pattern.

A rising channel is characterized by an upward-sloping support and resistance line, which confines the stock's price within a defined range.

The breakdown from this pattern suggests a weakening of the uptrend and the potential for a bearish move.

The critical price level to watch is Rs 3,350 for the channel breakdown. If the stock sustains below this level, it could trigger further bearish momentum.

The breach of this support level might attract more selling interest, leading to a decline in the stock's price.

Bearish Rangeshift on RSI:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements.

The bearish rangeshift on the RSI indicates a shift in momentum towards the bearish side. It suggests that the selling pressure is increasing, and bears are gaining control of the trend.

Implications of Sustainable Move Below Rs 3,350:
If Asian Paints stock continues to trade below the critical support level of the rising channel at Rs 3,350, it could accelerate the bearish momentum. This might lead to a further decline in the stock's price, potentially challenging additional support levels.

Traders should closely monitor the stock's price action around this level as it could offer valuable insights into the future direction of the stock.

Ah! Finally, the stock price reached my ENTRY-LEVELS AFTER YEARS.

Have you ever experienced this feeling and situation before?

Investors who initially buy stocks based on herd mentality often find themselves in a unique predicament when their short-term trades unexpectedly transform into long-term investments.

This is what most of the investors are experiencing in the PSU and PSE stocks.

Driven by the fear of missing out (FOMO) and influenced by the crowd's enthusiasm, these investors may hastily jump into stocks, only to discover that they are now stuck with them for years. This unintended shift from short-term speculation to long-term commitment can lead to a range of psychological and financial challenges, as they navigate the complexities of holding onto investments that were never intended for the long haul.

This brings me to explore the psychological impact on long-term investors when their stocks finally reach the buying prices after holding them for 3-5-7-10 years.

Let's jump into the emotional journey, behavioural patterns, and decision-making processes of investors in such situations. The insights are derived from general market dynamics and investor behaviour.

Buy and HOPE

Long-term investing is a strategy where investors buy stocks with the intention of holding them for an extended period, often years, with the hope of realizing substantial capital gains.

The journey of long-term investing can be chaotic, and investors often face significant psychological challenges along the way.

One of these challenges is the psychological impact when stocks finally reach the buying prices after an extended period.

Psychological Impact

Patience and Anxiety
Long-term investors often exhibit patience and resilience during prolonged periods of underperformance. However, as the stock price approaches their initial buying price, anxiety may set in.

The fear of losing gains, also known as "loss aversion," can make investors uneasy about whether to sell or continue holding.

Regret Aversion
Investors may experience "regret aversion" as the stock price nears their buying price. They might recall missed opportunities to invest elsewhere or regret not selling earlier during the holding period when the stock's value was lower. This regret can lead to a sense of hesitation and indecision.

Anchoring Bias
Anchoring bias is another psychological phenomenon where investors fixate on their initial buying price as a reference point.

When the stock price approaches this reference point, they may become overly focused on breaking even, even if the stock's fundamentals have improved significantly since their initial purchase.

Confirmation Bias
Confirmation bias can lead investors to seek out information that supports their decision to hold or sell when the stock approaches the buying price.

They may ignore negative news and disproportionately emphasize positive information to validate their choice.

Case Study (Hypothetical)

Consider an investor who purchased shares of XYZ Inc. at Rs.50 per share. The stock went through a roller-coaster ride, hitting a low of Rs.15 per share before gradually climbing back to Rs.50 after 7 years. During this time, the investor experienced a range of emotions, including anxiety, regret, and anchoring bias.

Initially, the investor was optimistic about XYZ Inc.'s potential and believed in its long-term prospects. However, as the stock price approached Rs.50, the investor started questioning their decision to hold, fearing they had missed better opportunities elsewhere. They also clung to the notion of breaking even, even though the company's fundamentals had improved.

Ultimately, the investor decided to hold onto their XYZ Inc. shares, partly due to confirmation bias, as they selectively focused on positive news about the company's future growth prospects.

What Should an Investor Do?

Diversification:
Investors should maintain diversified portfolios to mitigate the psychological impact of a single stock underperformance.

Emotional Awareness:
Self-awareness of emotional reactions and biases when stock prices approach buying levels. Investors should seek professional advice when needed.

Long-Term Perspective:
Emphasize the importance of a long-term perspective and the role of time in investment success. Highlight that short-term fluctuations are a natural part of the market.

Stress-Testing:
Investors should stress-test their investment decisions by considering various scenarios, including the possibility of the stock never reaching their buying price again.

Exit Strategy:
Investors should develop a clear exit strategy when their investments approach the buying price. This strategy should be based on a rational assessment of the stock's current fundamentals, technical and market conditions.

Summing-up

Long-term investors often face significant psychological challenges when their stocks finally reach their buying prices after holding them for years.

Understanding the emotional and behavioural aspects of such situations is crucial for investors to make informed decisions.

By promoting diversification, emotional awareness, and a long-term perspective, investors can better navigate the psychological impact of these scenarios and make more rational investment choices.

A Mumbaikar will never forget the night of the July 26, 2005 floods which is depicted in the second season of Mumbai Diaries on Amazon Prime. In this season, the doctors find themselves in a war room of their own, battling a relentless influx of patients.

Meanwhile, in the world of finance, traders are engaged in a different kind of war room, navigating the unpredictable seas of the stock market. Despite the apparent differences between these two professions, there are striking similarities that often go unnoticed.

Having spent 17 years as a Research Analyst in the retail broking industry, I've had the privilege of meeting numerous doctors who are actively engaged in trading equity and commodity derivatives.

As I immersed myself in the world of trading and observed their involvement, I couldn't help but draw parallels between these two seemingly distinct professions.

While opinions may vary, I firmly believe that doctors have the potential to excel as traders. The combination of their discipline, analytical mindset, and ability to make critical decisions under pressure positions them well to navigate the complexities of financial markets.

It's a convergence of skills and attributes that may surprise some, but in my experience, it's a path to success that can yield impressive results.

1. Dedication to Learning

One of the key similarities between traders and surgeons lies in their unwavering dedication to learning. Both professions require years of rigorous education and continuous training to stay at the top of their game.

Surgeons spend years in medical school followed by intensive residencies and fellowships. They are constantly updating their knowledge with the latest advancements in medicine and surgical techniques.

Similarly, successful traders invest time in studying financial markets, economic trends, and various trading strategies. They attend seminars, read research reports, and adapt to the ever-evolving landscape of the stock market.

2. Laser-Like Focus

In the world of trading, distractions can be costly. A successful trader must maintain a laser-like focus on market movements, news, and their own strategies. The same applies to surgeons who must concentrate entirely on the patient and the procedure at hand, often for long hours.

In both fields, split-second decisions can have life-changing consequences. A trader needs to make quick decisions about buying or selling stocks, just as a surgeon must make critical choices during surgery.

The ability to stay focused under pressure is a shared trait that sets apart the best in both professions.

3. Specialization of Knowledge

Both surgeons and traders understand the importance of specialization within their respective fields. Surgeons often choose to specialize in specific areas such as neurosurgery, orthopaedics, or cardiology. This specialization allows them to develop a deep understanding of a particular aspect of medicine, making them experts in their chosen field.

Similarly, traders often specialize in certain financial instruments or sectors. They may focus exclusively on stocks, commodities, or currencies. This specialization enables them to become specialists in a particular market or study niche, allowing for more in-depth analysis and a higher likelihood of success.

By the way, attendees of #DECMA2023 were fortunate to receive a valuable asset in the form of the book "Trading Options - The Definedge Way," highlighting the expertise and specialization that takes years to cultivate, thanks to the authors @Prashant-Shah @AP @Raghunath-Reddy @Raju-Ranjan

4. Managing Risk

Risk management is another fundamental aspect that traders and surgeons have in common. Surgeons are well aware of the risks associated with surgical procedures and take meticulous precautions to minimize them. Similarly, traders must assess and manage risks associated with their investments to protect their capital.

Both professionals understand that success does not mean eliminating risk entirely but rather managing it effectively. They use their expertise to make informed decisions that balance potential rewards with potential risks.

If you've watched this web series, you will encountered the crucial aspect of risk management as the doctors operated on the eight-year-old child.

While on the surface, trading and surgery may seem like entirely different worlds, the similarities between these two professions are remarkable. The dedication to learning, laser-like focus, specialization of knowledge, and risk management are shared traits that contribute to the success of both traders and surgeons.

If you are a doctor and reading this post, do share your experience.

Arvind, a prominent player in the textile and apparel industry, has been making waves in the financial markets as its stock price achieves an all-time high and breaks through a multiyear resistance zone.

Let's analyze both Point and Figure (P&F) chart and bar chart patterns to provide insights into the company's bullish momentum and potential implications for investors.

Point and Figure Chart Analysis (Left):
The Point and Figure chart for Arvind Fashion reflects a significant breakthrough. The stock's climb above the previous resistance zone is a noteworthy event that suggests a change in market sentiment.

Additionally, the recent continuation breakout from the double top buy (DTB) pattern indicates that the bulls are taking control of the price action. This pattern typically signals a continuation of a previous bullish trend, indicating an upward movement in the stock's price.

The P&F chart's observations align with the idea that Arvind Fashion is experiencing a strong bullish trend, with the potential for further price appreciation.

Bar Chart Analysis (Right):
On the bar chart, the stock has broken multiyear highs and ventured into uncharted territory. This achievement is significant as it indicates the stock's ability to overcome historical resistance levels and reach new price levels that were previously unseen.

Breaking into uncharted territory often suggests that the stock's momentum is strong and that investors have become increasingly optimistic about the company's future prospects.

Investing in the stock market can be a rewarding but a challenging journey. To make informed decisions, investors or traders often turn to various tools and methods, one of which is technical analysis.

Technical analysis involves studying historical price and volume data to forecast future price movements. One crucial aspect of this analysis is identifying rejection points, where stock prices show signs of resistance or reversal.

Understanding Technical Analysis

Before delving into spotting rejection, it's essential to understand the fundamentals of technical analysis:

1. Price Charts: Technical analysts use price charts, such as candlestick, bar, or line charts, to visualize historical price movements. These charts display price data over time, helping analysts identify patterns and trends.

2. Support and Resistance: Support represents price levels at which a stock tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further. Resistance, on the other hand, is where selling pressure emerges, preventing the stock from rising higher.

3. Indicators: Technical analysts employ various indicators like moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) to gain further insights into price trends and momentum.

Spotting Rejection Points:

1. Identify Support and Resistance Levels: The first step in spotting rejection is to identify support and resistance levels on the price chart. These levels are usually determined by previous price highs and lows or key psychological levels (e.g., round numbers like $50 or $100).

2. Patterns: Patterns provide valuable clues about market sentiment.
   For example reversal candlestick patterns, such as shooting stars, doji, or bearish engulfing patterns near resistance levels, and bullish patterns near support levels. These patterns often indicate potential rejection points.

3. Volume Analysis: Pay attention to trading volume at potential rejection points. A significant increase in volume as the price approaches resistance may signal a potential rejection. Conversely, a surge in volume near support could indicate a rejection of lower prices.

4. Overbought and Oversold Conditions: Use oscillators like RSI to gauge whether a stock is overbought (near resistance) or oversold (near support). An RSI above 70 suggests overbought conditions, while an RSI below 30 indicates oversold conditions. These extremes can signal potential reversals.

5. Trendlines: Simple and effective, draw trendlines on the price chart to visualize the stock's trend. When the price approaches an upward trendline in an uptrend or a downward trendline in a downtrend, it could act as a rejection point. A break of the trendline may signify a reversal.

6. Moving Averages: Moving averages can help smooth out price data and identify trends. The interaction between the stock's price and moving averages (such as the 50-day or 200-day) can indicate potential rejection points. A stock crossing below its moving average may face resistance at that level.

7. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Fibonacci retracement levels are ratios derived from the Fibonacci sequence. They are often used to identify potential support and resistance levels. Traders look for price reactions at these levels as potential rejection points.

Spotting rejection points in stock prices through technical analysis is a valuable skill for investors and traders. By identifying these points, you can make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit a position. However, it's important to remember that no analysis technique is foolproof, and it's crucial to combine technical analysis with other forms of research and risk management strategies.

Additionally, staying updated with market news and events can help you refine your rejection-spotting abilities and make more confident investment choices in the ever-changing world of the stock market.

@RAGUNATH_AG Thanks Sir.

Yes Sachinji.

We have created scanner of this system.

Second part of video will be out on 25th November, do watch that too.

@RAGUNATH_AG Gald you liked it.

@Ravi Shinde Well said sir.

The "Unusual Volume Activity" indicator is a tool used in trading to identify significant increases in trading volume for a particular financial instrument, such as stocks or options.

Trading volume refers to the total number of shares or contracts traded during a given period. Unusual volume typically occurs when there is an unexpected surge in trading activity, often indicating increased interest or attention from market participants.

Traders and investors pay attention to unusual volume because it can suggest potential changes in market sentiment or the initiation of a new trend. But it is difficult to check each and every stock and we at Definedge have solved this problem.

Before we explain how to find such stocks let's understand the "Unusual Volume Activity" indicator and how traders might use it:

Understanding Unusual Volume:

1. Baseline Volume:
   Before identifying unusual volume, traders establish a baseline or average trading volume for a particular asset. This baseline is usually determined over a specified time frame, such as a day, week, or month.

2. Detecting Deviations:
   Unusual volume is identified when the current trading volume deviates significantly from the established baseline. The magnitude of the deviation is subjective and depends on the trader's chosen parameters.

How to Trade Based on Unusual Volume:

1. Confirmation with Price Movement:
   Unusual volume is most meaningful when accompanied by a notable price movement. For example, a significant increase in volume coupled with an upward price movement may signal bullish sentiment. In contrast, the same volume increase with a downward price movement could indicate a bearish sentiment.

2. Breakout Confirmation: - Traders often use unusual volume as a breakout confirmation tool. If a stock breaks out of a key resistance level on high volume, it may suggest strong buying interest, reinforcing the likelihood of a sustained uptrend.

3. Contrarian Indicators:
   In some cases, extreme levels of unusual volume may be viewed as a contrarian indicator. For instance, a massive surge in volume after a prolonged uptrend could signal exhaustion and the possibility of a reversal.

4. Risk Management:
   Traders should implement proper risk management strategies when acting on unusual volume signals. Just because the high volume doesn't guarantee a particular price movement and unexpected events can occur.

5. Watch for News Catalysts:
   Significant news events, earnings releases, or other market-moving information may trigger unusual volume. Traders should be aware of potential catalysts driving the increased activity.

Scanner in Trade Point and Zone

Definedge Zone and TradePoint, traders can access a powerful tool through the OHLC Scanner. This versatile scanner caters to various timeframes such as Intraday, Daily, Monthly, and Weekly charts. The scanner provides a comprehensive view of Open, High, Low, and Close prices over these timeframes, allowing traders to assess price dynamics effectively.

For instance, the 60-minute scanner captures price movements within each hour. Combined with the Unusual Volume Activity indicator, it becomes a potent tool for identifying short to medium-term trading opportunities. Here is the stocklist from the scanner on the candle closed at 10:15 am.

Are you using this scanner? If yes, write your experience in the comment below.

Last weekend at our Manthan event in Hyderabad, we had a session on Options but uncovered some fascinating insights during our Trader's Meet.

Seeing how many traders, despite the recent market rally, found themselves held back by psychological barriers was eye-opening.

In this video, I share our candid discussions about the mental hurdles that often hinder trading success. Many admitted to missing out on the rally due to the recurring thought, "Isse Jyada Market Kya Jayega"

I explore the following crucial parameters that I believe every trader should pay attention to:

1. Fear, Greed, and Impatience
2. Unrealistic Turning Realistic
3. Patience and Discipline
4. Risk Management
5. Building a Support System of Traders

Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this video provides valuable insights to help you overcome psychological barriers and elevate your trading game. Don't let your mindset limit your potential profits!

Watch Video here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Se2FxzYU9HQ

@Shashank Jain There are many stocks; I just highlighted this to explain the system on how it performs on multiyear breakouts.

You have been following my Laidback Strategy on stocks for many months now.

In this video, I have explained the Laidback Strategy on ETFs, shedding light on how Definedge Securities clients can seamlessly analyse and trade in ETFs directly from their accounts.

Do share your feedback on the Laidback Strategy.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UNvRYNzTwV4

@Yogesh Vinayak Joshi Default - 3

As the stock markets soar to new heights, the minds of investors and traders are not solely focused on charts and portfolios. Instead, they are eagerly planning their holidays, seeking a reprieve from the hustle and bustle of daily life.

The year 2024 brings myriad choices, but one destination that has captured the attention of many is the enchanting beaches and sports adventure of Lakshadweep.

For those who revel in the soothing sound of waves and the warmth of golden sands, Lakshadweep emerges as the talk of the town. This idyllic destination boasts pristine beaches, crystal-clear waters, and vibrant coral reefs, making it a haven for beach lovers. The archipelago, consisting of 36 islands, offers a serene escape from the chaos of urban life, making it an ideal choice for those looking to unwind and rejuvenate.

As the weekends approach, families seek the perfect destination to spend quality time together. The upcoming long weekend around Republic Day on 26th January provides an excellent opportunity to embark on a memorable journey. With numerous diverse attractions across the country, the only dilemma is choosing the perfect destination.

With its rich cultural tapestry and diverse landscapes, India has become a magnet for tourists worldwide. The burgeoning tourism industry is a golden opportunity for locals to explore their backyard. From the snow-capped peaks of the Himalayas to the sun-kissed beaches of Goa, the choices are as varied as the country itself.

Where to Next? Deciding Your Ideal Destination?

With an array of options, the decision ultimately rests on personal preferences. If the idea of unwinding on secluded beaches is your dream holiday, then Lakshadweep beckons. For those seeking adventure amidst historical wonders or cultural richness, the vast canvas of India offers countless possibilities.

As India's tourism industry thrives in 2024, the country emerges as a prime destination for both domestic and international travellers.

Lakshadweep's pristine beauty and the upcoming long weekends present an enticing proposition for those yearning for a beach retreat. However, with India's diverse offerings, the decision on the next destination ultimately depends on individual preferences and interests.

Are you ready for your holidays?

Do share your recent holiday experience.

Market are opening with gap-up and you may be confused what to buy, right?

We at Definedge always streamline and ease trader's journey to find the stock. You can use this scanner to find the most outperforming Sector or Stocks. Let's understand about the scanner.

What is Eagle Price and RS Scanner?
Eagle scanner is a combination of multiple scanners related to P&F patterns, RS patterns and 52-week high low. Scanner output shows below mentioned things.

DTB and DBS levels as well as distance from current price. DTB stands for P&F Double top buy pattern and DBS stands for P&F Double bottom sell pattern.
P&F Setup and Pattern counter Trend ratio is calculated on 0.25%, 1% and 3% box-values.
Total price performance and ranking score of Fusion matrix (Calculated on default multiple box-values)
Total RS performance and ranking score of Fusion matrix (Calculated on default multiple box-values)
52-week high and low price of the security
Current retracement percentage from the 52-week high and low of the security

More bullish (positive) scores and near its 52-week high is a bullish pattern. More bearish (negative) scores and near its 52-week low is a bearish pattern.

I ran the scanner on NSE Sectors and found this result which will help me in identifying the sectors to invest. You can scan more on to the following sector to find the stocks.

*Data as per closing of 1st December 2023.

If you are the Definedge customer, you can find this scanner in our premium segment.

Dive into the promises, deals, and disruptions of the Vibrant Gujarat Global Summit and explore how it could paint a golden future for the Indian stock market.

Read article - https://www.definedgesecurities.com/blog/whats-trending/gateway-to-the-future-how-vibrant-gujarat-2024-illuminates-the-stock-market/

If you have read this, You didn't miss Adani

Re: Emerging Trend on Adani Stocks – Says our Exclusive Indicator

The performance of market indices gauges the stock market trend, the Nifty50. The movements within these indices reflect individual stock performances and are influenced by the weightage assigned to each constituent stock and the overall market breadth.

The Role of Weightage in Index Formation:
The Nifty50, a key benchmark index in India, comprises 50 actively traded stocks from various sectors. However, not all stocks carry the same weight in determining the index's value. The weightage assigned to a stock is based on its market capitalisation, essentially the total market value of its outstanding shares. This means that stocks with higher market capitalisation have a more significant impact on the index.

For instance, if a heavyweight stock like Reliance Industries experiences a substantial price movement, it will have a more pronounced effect on the Nifty50 than a smaller stock with a lower weightage. Investors closely monitor these weights as they can significantly influence index movements and individual portfolios.

Market Breadth:
While weightage focuses on the impact of individual stocks, market breadth provides a broader perspective on the market's overall health. Market breadth measures the number of advancing and declining stocks in the market. A strong market breadth occurs when many stocks participate in a market rally, indicating a broad-based uptrend. Conversely, a weak market breadth suggests that only a few stocks drive the market higher, and the overall strength may be limited.

Nifty50 Leadership Dynamics:
In the recent few weeks, the Nifty50 witnessed a change in leadership. HDFC Bank, TCS, and Infosys led the index, demonstrating the market's dynamic nature. However, the recent surge in Reliance Industries' stock has turned heads. As an elephant in the market with substantial weightage, its influence on the Nifty50 is undeniable.

Investor Dilemma: Single Stock Leadership vs. Weak Market Breadth
The question for investors is whether a single stock's leadership, despite its weightage, can indicate the broader market's health. Should one change their view on the Nifty50 based on the performance of a dominant stock while the market breadth remains weak? Or should investors stick to analysing the levels of the Nifty50 itself?

Balancing Act:
It is finding the right balance between individual stock movements and the overall market dynamics. While a single stock may dominate the headlines, a holistic approach to analysing market breadth and the overall composition of the index is essential. A narrow leadership with weak market breadth may indicate a less sustainable market rally, potentially leading to increased volatility.

Understanding the dynamics of index weightage and market breadth is essential for informed decision-making. Investors must evaluate the impact of individual stocks on indices like the Nifty50 while keeping an eye on broader market participation. Striking the right balance between these factors can help investors navigate the complex world of stock trading and make more informed decisions in pursuing long-term success.

@PRANAV GULABANI Yes they do.

Check ICICI Bank Weekly chart on the same Super Trend parameters. Also check similar structure on Axis Bank when it was around 930.

The technical analysis arena often buzzes with terms that capture the imagination of traders and analysts alike. Among these, "multi-timeframe analysis" (MTFA) is a captivating concept that intrigues and debates.

Traders often find themselves drawn to examining price movements across different timeframes, believing it is key to unlocking deeper insights into market dynamics.

The allure of MTFA lies in its potential to provide a more comprehensive understanding of trends and price action. Yet, as with any methodology, the question lingers: Is it necessary or merely a buzzword echoing through the trading community?

In this article, we unfold the essence of multi-timeframe analysis, examining its relevance and assessing whether it lives up to the fascination it commands among technical analysts.

Multi-Time Frame Analysis (MTFA) involves studying price action across different time frames to understand market dynamics comprehensively. It facilitates applying a top-down approach in technical analysis, allowing analysts to navigate from higher time frames to the most suitable lower time frame for their analysis.

Let’s explore the pros and cons of multi-timeframe analysis and why it has become an indispensable tool for traders worldwide.

Pros

1. Comprehensive Market Perspective: MTFA allows traders to view the market differently. By analysing multiple time frames, from shorter intraday periods to longer-term trends, traders gain a more comprehensive perspective on the overall market condition.

2. Enhanced Trend Identification: One of the primary benefits of MTFA is its ability to identify trends across various time frames. Short-term fluctuations may obscure the broader trend, but traders can confirm the prevailing market direction by assessing higher time frames and making more informed decisions.

3. Improved Entry and Exit Points: Multi-time frame analysis aids in pinpointing optimal entry and exit points. Traders can use shorter time frames for precision in timing their trades, while more extended time frames help confirm the overall trend's viability.

4. Reduced Noise and False Signals: Short-term price fluctuations, or 'market noise,' can mislead traders. MTFA helps filter out such noise by relying on the consensus of multiple time frames, reducing the likelihood of false signals and improving the accuracy of trade decisions.

5. Risk Management: By assessing different time frames, traders can better gauge the risk associated with a particular trade. This enables more effective risk management, including setting appropriate stop-loss levels and position sizes based on the broader market context.

Cons

1. Complexity and Learning Curve: MTFA requires a deep understanding of technical analysis and the ability to synthesise information across various time frames. This complexity can be overwhelming for novice traders and may lead to confusion.

2. Increased Workload: Analysing multiple time frames can be time-consuming. Traders employing MTFA may spend more time conducting analyses, which can be challenging for those with limited availability.

3. Conflicting Signals: Different time frames may sometimes provide conflicting signals. For example, a short-term chart may suggest a buy signal, while a longer-term chart indicates a sell signal. Traders must navigate these conflicting signals skillfully.

4. Over-Analysis Paralysis: The abundance of information from various time frames may lead to over-analysis, causing traders to hesitate or miss out on profitable opportunities. Striking the right balance between thorough analysis and decisive action is crucial.

Multi-Time Frame Analysis is a valuable tool in a trader's arsenal, providing a holistic view of market conditions.
While it offers numerous benefits, it's essential to be aware of the potential drawbacks and challenges. Traders must balance the thorough analysis of multiple time frames and the need for timely, decisive action. With a well-rounded approach, MTFA can significantly enhance a trader's ability to navigate the dynamic world of financial markets.

At Definedge, we take a proactive approach with Multi-Time Frame Analysis, setting ourselves apart in market analysis. Our commitment is reflected in developing multiple scanners tailored for Candlesticks and the P&F charting method. Leaving no stone unturned, we offer scanners equipped with ranking and scoring methodologies, empowering you to identify the best-performing stocks or sectors.

Here is an image for a quick look at the available Multi-Time Frame Analysis scanners:

Unlock the full potential of these features by opening an account with Definedge Securities. Sign Up here: https://www.definedgesecurities.com/

While some functionalities are available through our Zone and TradePoint apps with associated costs, fret not – you can explore them free of charge for an entire month before deciding to subscribe.

Stock List - 9th December 2023

An adroit trader manoeuvres through the intricate stock markets with exceptional expertise and finesse.

The term "adroit" implies high competence, agility, and cleverness in executing trading strategies effectively. An adroit trader demonstrates keen analytical abilities, adept risk management practices, and the capacity to adapt swiftly to changing market conditions. With a combination of strategic thinking, discipline, and emotional control, adroit traders consistently seek opportunities to capitalise on market movements while minimising risks.

In essence, an adroit trader is knowledgeable about the intricacies of trading and demonstrates the agility and finesse required to excel in trading

Here are some adroit traits of a trader:

1. Analytical Mindset: A skilled trader can analyse market trends, financial data, and news to make informed decisions.

2. Adaptability: Successful traders can swiftly adjust their strategies in response to changing market conditions, ensuring they stay ahead of the curve.

3. Discipline: Discipline is essential for sticking to trading plans, executing trades without emotion, and maintaining consistency in approach.

4. Patience: Patient traders understand that success in trading often requires waiting for the right opportunities and not succumbing to impulsive actions.

5. Emotional Control: Mastering emotions such as fear and greed is vital for making rational decisions and avoiding impulsive trading mistakes.

6. Continuous Learning: Adroit traders never stop learning. They stay updated on market developments, explore new strategies, and refine their skills to stay competitive.

7. Strategic Thinking: Successful traders think strategically, setting clear goals and developing well-thought-out plans to achieve them.

8. Confidence: Confidence in one's abilities and decisions is essential for navigating the market's uncertainties with conviction.

9. Resilience: Trading can be challenging, and adept traders demonstrate resilience by bouncing back from losses, learning from setbacks, and persisting in their pursuit of success.

In conclusion, being an adroit trader encompasses a combination of key traits and skills that enable individuals to make profitable journeys in the trading arena. By sharpening the above traits, traders can strive to embody the qualities of adroitness, ultimately enhancing their performance and prospects of building wealth.

@Sharad Girad Soon Sir....Patience is the key to ride the trade

In stock market trading, there's a perpetual quest for efficiency, accuracy, and profitability. Among traders, there's a prevailing debate between being a systematic trader versus a discretionary one. The former relies on predefined rules and algorithms to execute trades, while the latter depends on human intuition and judgment. In recent years, trader's interest in systematic trading has increased, driven by technological advancements and access to sophisticated tools and platforms.

A common sight in the trading community is traders spending countless hours crafting scripts and algorithms to automate their trading strategies. These scripts often involve complex combinations of technical indicators, statistical models, and machine learning algorithms aimed at generating profitable trades.

Last evening, I went for dinner with a friend who connected with me on Twitter. He is also a trader engrossed in developing a script based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Bollinger Bands. He had devoted five months to refining his system, tweaking parameters and fine-tuning the code to achieve optimal results.

However, amidst the fervour of script writing and system development, it's crucial to recognise the limitations inherent in this approach. No matter how diligently one fine-tunes a trading system, there's always an element of uncertainty and unpredictability in the markets that cannot be fully accounted for.

During a dinner conversation with him, I demonstrated an alternative approach to systematic trading that challenged his conventional mindset. Leveraging the tools and resources provided by Defiendge Securities, I swiftly recreated his trading system using the RZone platform. We replicated his strategy with just a few clicks and conducted backtesting to assess its performance. The results showed the power and efficiency of sophisticated trading platforms.

Although we achieved impressive results in backtesting, I advised him to conduct front testing with the data to validate the system's performance in real-time or simulated real-time market conditions.

In addition to backtesting, front testing is a crucial step in evaluating the effectiveness of system trading strategies. While backtesting involves analyzing historical data to assess how a trading system would have performed in the past, front testing allows traders to observe how the system performs in real-time or simulated real-time market conditions. Front testing also enables traders to identify any discrepancies between backtested results and actual real-time performance, allowing adjustments and refinements before committing capital to live trading. By incorporating front testing into the evaluation process, traders can enhance the robustness and reliability of their trading systems, ultimately increasing their chances of success.

It's 1 am, and our discussion deep-dived into systematic trading, exploring the trade-offs between DIY scripting and leveraging existing tools and technologies. While there's merit in customising trading systems to suit individual preferences and trading styles, there's also value in embracing pre-existing solutions that offer robust features and functionalities. As the night wore on, the trader realised that sometimes, the most prudent decision is to leverage the right tools rather than reinvent the wheel.

The key takeaway from our discussion is the importance of exploring the myriad tools and resources available for systematic trading. Whether utilising advanced trading platforms like RZone or accessing comprehensive guides and tutorials, traders can enhance their efficiency and effectiveness by leveraging existing solutions. While there's no one-size-fits-all approach to trading, being open-minded and adaptive to new technologies and methodologies can significantly elevate one's trading prowess.

In conclusion, while you can script the system, you cannot script a trade with absolute certainty. The uncertain nature of stock markets demands a flexible and adaptive approach to trading. By embracing the tools and technologies available, traders need to trade with confidence and agility. Whether you're a veteran or a novice trader, the key to the success of a trading system lies in continuously refining your strategies, leveraging available resources, and staying ahead of the curve in systematic trading.

Here is the list of stocks trending around the Ceiling of Darvas Box on an hourly chart. This is generated using Darvas Box scanner.

Superb follow-through after Fed...Expecting $2285-2360 this year.

@ASHISH MAURYA Ashishji, check the Definedge Media index, an equal-weighted media index because Nifty Media depends on the move of Zeel and SunTV due to their high weights. In contrast, equal-weighted will give you a clear picture.

A follow-through buy or sell signal confirms the significant patterns that were previously triggered.

To aid traders in identifying these follow-through signals, Definedge employs a specialised scanner in RZONE. This scanner displays a list of stocks generating bullish or bearish follow-through signals.

Click here to learn How to use Scanner

Here is the list of the F&O stocks ahead of Union Budget 2024.

*The stocks marked in red have met VC1 or VC2

In the aftermath of reaching an all-time high during the early hours of the trading session yesterday, the Indian equity markets experienced a notable shift in momentum as the day progressed. The latter half of the trading day was notably dominated by bears, with the market sentiment taking a downturn.

Amidst this bearish turn, one particular candlestick pattern that swiftly comes to mind, even without glancing at the charts, is the Bearish Engulfing pattern.

The Bearish Engulfing Candlestick pattern is a significant reversal pattern in technical analysis that often signals a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. This pattern consists of two candles, with the first being a smaller bullish candle followed by a larger bearish candle that completely engulfs the body of the preceding candle.

The practical aspect of the Bearish Engulfing pattern lies in its ability to reflect a shift in market sentiment. When this pattern occurs after a prolonged uptrend, it suggests that the bears have gained control, overpowering the bulls and potentially indicating a reversal in the prevailing trend. Traders consider selling or taking short positions, anticipating a downward price movement.

Here are some stats of sectorial indices and stocks were Bearish Engulfing pattern is visible.

Let's look at the stats on the number of stocks were this bearish pattern is visible.

I have scanned this pattern using the scanner feature of RZone.

You can find the stocks list by following this steps.

1. Go to Price Scanner
2. Select Candlestick Scanner
3. Select the Group
4. Under Condition, Select Engulfing Pattern Bearish
5. Finally, Click on Scan and you are ready with the stock list.

Have a Happy Trading Day!

When looking for value buys in fundamentally strong companies, it's often smart to purchase at lower levels, even when a stock is trading near its 52-week low. However, when it comes to trading in a bullish market, the strategy must shift.

In a market where the benchmark index is reaching all-time highs, you MUST avoid stocks that are trading at 52-week lows. These stocks often lack the momentum to benefit from the broader market trend and could potentially underperform.

How can you find these stocks?
It's simple. Open the Zone Mobile App, navigate to the Scanner Page, and select Breakout Scanners 》 At 52-Week Low.

As a trader, your focus should be on stocks that are in momentum and either in sync with or outperforming the benchmark index. This approach will align your trades with the market's bullish momentum, increasing the likelihood of profitable opportunities.

What is your STRATEGY?
Do comment below.

@Shyam S Sir, the platforms are separate, which makes it challenging to synchronize all the data between them.

Here is a screenshot of the system builder in case you wish to create the system in your login.

Stock List - 23rd December 2023

@Deepak Singla Thank you for your message.
Sir both the entities and the server are separate, which makes it challenging to synchronize all the data between them.

In case you wish to create the system in your login, here is the screenshot of the system builder.

Stock List - 16th December 2023

Mangesh Joglekar shares his Options Trading System for the chart he shares with the Definedge family.

@Rajeev Goyal Sure. How about a video on this pattern?

Re: Reliance - Breakout ABOVE 2640

Nifty reversed with the bear gap, forming the island reversal pattern on the daily charts, thanks to the HDFC Bank.

But I am not here to highlight the Nifty50 chart. Check my Nifty Chart analysis here.

For avid followers of RSI, the latest data reveals some intriguing statistics that warrant attention:

Source: RZone

1. Fresh Negative Crossovers: Today, 18 stocks exhibited a fresh negative crossover on the RSI, indicating a potential shift in momentum to the downside.

2. Existing Negative Crossovers: As of yesterday, 19 stocks were already in a negative crossover on the RSI, suggesting that these stocks might be facing a bearish trend.

3. Bullish Crossovers: Only 13 stocks are currently in a bullish crossover on the RSI, indicating a positive trend. However, if the bears continue to dominate the market, these stocks may also find themselves in a precarious position.

Though the setup does not indicate the trend reversal, it is a sign of caution on longs.

Is anything interesting in the #BudgetDay2024?

Let's focus on the Nifty chart here.

The potential for a bullish trend is evident by forming a Bullish or Inverted Head and Shoulder pattern, indicating a possible upward market move.

A significant obstacle lies in the form of a gap between 21,800 and 22,000, establishing a formidable resistance zone.

The presence of a Doji pattern, coupled with bearish momentum on the hourly chart, raises concerns about the weakening grip of the bulls on the market.

Should the bulls prove unable to breach the resistance, a looming threat emerges as a potential aggressive onslaught by the bears.

Traders must remain vigilant and watch the levels closely.

Stock List 3rd Feb 2024

@L M You can use vertical counts or trailing methods.