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N

Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

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Recent Best Controversial

    SHRIRAM FIN -Turtle Bullish Breakout
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Turtle Bullish Breakout
    SL 2836 on closing basis for 3900
    ee0f2b6b-224d-4069-a449-e9dfa5fe9dd1-SHRIRAMFIN.jpg


  • Add date in look back period
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    150b3aac-a704-4485-aad0-461a893f84d2-image.png

    that will be easy to select otherwise need to calculate the trading days were chance of miss calculations


  • New Indicator #Bull or #Bear
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    New Indicator

    #Bull or #Bear

    confuse over market phase ?

    weather bullish or bearish ?

    wants to ride the bullish momentum ?

    simply my indicator will guide you

    when Green line above Red line=>Bullish
    When Red line above Green line=>Bearish

    This is indicator where we relay on crossovers so it will have leg while generating signal but it will give good participation in market

    query/question mail me on [email protected]

    #AhmedabadNest #nseindia #analysis #StockMarketindia
    4820bdf0-156d-42fc-b6ec-a7a3e6e77147-image.png


  • Totally Shifted to Definedge Securities
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Since mid of 2020 i am using the Definedge Desk Top & Zone when i joined AhmedabadNest ,last year when Launched Securities at the event of Ahmedabad slowly i shift to Definedge Securities for my Trading -specially Nifty Spread under the guidance of @AP sir

    now Definedge has come with exiting Independence Day Offer with much cheaper price for DMAT account holder & the amount paid for software will be adjusted againt the brokerage which is win win for users like me -so i just renewed the Securities DeskTop & RZONE for one year

    i again thank you @Prashant-Shah sir @Definedge Team for creating such good software /Study at much affordable Price

    Thanks and Regards

    NishshKumar Jaani


  • #Nifty #bullish or #bearish ?
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #Nifty #bullish or #bearish ?

    Two pattern at same time

    Bullish-close above 19600 will have ascending triangle breakout can lead to 20300 with sl 19300

    Bearish-close below 19300 will activate Head & Shoulder pattern can lead towards 18600 sl 19500

    Hope both #Bulls & #Bears camp happy now

    without beaing biased to view play with levels

    #AhmedabadNest #Nifty #analysis #technical #StockMarket #India #pattern
    b5ecb012-a85d-41d8-9e47-1e51991b01c1-BULL AND BEARS.jpg


  • add each strategy in sample and on click button to start back testing by just simply changing the universe
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    d01b7f11-c5af-43fc-89cc-5205333a0a53-image.png

    add each strategy in sample and on click button to start back testing by just simply changing the universe


  • Another stock list which can be traded on #VGM
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    As you know i have made presentation on #VGM Concept which is to Ride momentum on Value Stock -Warren Buffett style -Parag Parikh Mutual Funds
    Growth Stock-Peter lynch style-Motilal oswal Funds

    now i like Hexashiled Frame work of stock selection so one can look to samco mutual funds Samco Flexicap fund

    currently adding screenshot of stock one can look their factsheet everymonth after 10th to keep updating the list

    read more about that concept at https://www.samcomf.com/hexaShield-tested-investments

    Liknk of #VGM Prsentation https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUEdH9dlSHg&t=1838s

    739e2205-c02c-4ca2-a140-dcf0781a0a6e-image.png


  • Exact Levels in Horizontal Line
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Team @Definedge kindly add facility to plot exat Horizontal levels by writing like trading view give option to both desktop and web version

    9e6cfe1c-6aba-435f-a693-b8796c9c0654-image.png


  • NIFTY 50 Fractle to lead all time high ?
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    NIFTY 50 Fractle to lead all time high ?

    Marked trendline with yellow box if hold 23500-23200 support zone and breakout from upper trendline will repeat fractle and possible to new all time high
    #Nifty50 #analysis #StockMarketIndia #candlestic #charts #nse
    6dfabb8f-7040-4fdf-b99b-4f2428f209b9-NIFTY 50 HISTORY.jpg


  • ADD Benchmark index return along with virtual and actual strategy on momentify platform
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    92e29a17-10c0-4fd8-a29b-59300a33ab42-image.png

    along with portfolio return calculation add Benchmark index return along with virtual and actual strategy on momentify platform


  • #Nifty 5% Correction ?
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #Nifty 5% Correction ?

    Turn Back Pattern on weekly chart

    After 3 Green candle now complete strong bearish candle

    looks Throw Back towards 18600 another 5 % Correction !

    #AhmedabadNest #nseindia #StockMarket #india #analysis #candlestic

    b89e1b31-6e07-4f02-b7ee-1c286f0fbb3c-image.png


  • Are you a trend follower ? if yes then this post is for you
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Are you a trend follower ? if yes then this post is for you

    as a trend follower traders buy and sell & trade every movements of index or stock particular to get maximum benefit of the every twist and turns of that particular security.

    like me you may have also face situation where trend following has extremely favourable time and extremely whipsaw phase

    in times of whipsaw phas trade loose two important thing
    A-> Capital
    B-> Mental fitness

    and due to both trader stop following strategy and step into finding another holy grail strategy and keep doing it

    The real problem is not in the strategy it has the characteristics of generating super return and whipsaw phase the real problem is to find out the most beneficial period where the strategy has high chance of generating return

    A->Fast
    B->Easy
    C-Consistance

    No security has constant trending move ever so as a trend follower one need to findout the

    TRENDING Moves where fast-easy-consitance move comes

    see attcahed image where i have marked T which is the phase where security has TRENDING move at that time run trendfollwing strategy to get benefit and where there no T this is the phase where stop taking trades

    Hope you love reading the article

    Thanks and Regards

    Nishshkumar Jaani
    bbfa2906-596f-4743-861a-faea14688057-image.png


  • NIFTY-Two Reversal pattern with one RARE pattern
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    NIFTY-Two Reversal pattern with one RARE pattern

    1->Probable Cup and Handle pattern breakout above 22720 will confirm the pattern can rally to 23300-23500

    2->ISLAND reversal -There is gap down open un filled gap between 22720-22668 if mkt open above both gap and remain unfilled then island reversal and this pattern has high accuracy of forming top and bottom because this is rare reversal pattern

    looking at three thing mkt is ready for forming bottom and reversal

    Breadth wise at covid levels
    Indicator wise near covid levels
    Valuation wise near covid levels

    Tarrif news is now old that will be sector specific event -if something new panic situation along with weak quarterly results then mkt will further go down

    inflation wise only concern is from the deperciation for USDINR that impact on imported food items

    my view point for bullishness and mkt bottoming out is 75 % and 25 % for further weakness

    accumalting ALPHA & MOMENTUM50 ETF6c0f652e-9e47-437d-856a-925a7afc8454-ISLAND REVERSAL IN NIFTY .jpg


  • How to shortlist stocks for intraday trading?
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    candle chart ATR scanner then as per your choice trade in p&f -candle whatever the system you like


  • Asian Paints -Ratio chart analysis
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Asian Paints -Ratio chart analysis

    Plotted against Nifty 500 with Triple Moving average

    Broken below large box
    Bearish Anchor Follow thru
    TMA negatively allinged

    so all in all it looks stock will underperform the market

    same thing has happen in reliance between 2008-2016 where it massively underperform the market

    if i have only two choice between Asian paints and Nifty 500 i will choose to invest my money in nifty 500 BEES or That index fund till ratio chart dosent turn in favour of asian paints so my pain area reduce and if mkt rise i earn returns

    #AhmedabadNest #stockmarkets #AsianPaints #analysis #ratiocharts
    71ea7008-e4cb-4a98-bb5d-643d38c14e11-image.png


  • Ready for 20 % Rally ?
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Ready for 20 % Rally ?

    Look at the attached chart of #Nifty #banknifty

    many open verticle counts of Point & Figure charting method -> suggesting another 20 % ++ Rally

    in months to come expect nifty 29000-31000 and bank nifty 66000-68000

    Negation levels For nifty 23000 and Bank nifty 50000 close below it Bears will control the market.

    This could be Starting / base formation phase of my favourite "HORNEY BULL MARKET "

    Find new leaders-> we have accumalted ALPHA & MOMENTUM50 ETF/BeeS

    NISHESH JANI,CFTe

    #AhmedabadNest #Nifty #banknifty #stockmarketsindia #analysis #opportunity #trading #investing #process #approach #nisheshjanide26095b-1732-434e-b196-bebb1a113c6b-COMBO.jpg


  • Distribution activity !
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Distribution activity !

    look at Nifty 500 price chart and my R GD Breadth chart

    same structure happening like 2021 top

    when mkt rising in one way this indicator has given golden cross in november 2021 and mkt suddenly made top -currently very close to give golden cross over

    #AhmedabadNest #breadth #divergence #analysis #StockMarketindia
    afb89f39-20d0-47f2-a7c1-b9747c3e524a-image.png
    4a607088-cc9b-4027-bc8b-ecdf38303f5a-image.png


  • #VGM-Trading & Investing | #EDECNOCH2021
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #VGM-Trading & Investing | #EDECNOCH2021

    Universe of stock Ready to upload in Desktop & Web version link of Presentation

    Ride the out performer and make your team strong Stay ahead with my VGM Setup

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUEdH9dlSHg&t=18s

    Those who need can mail me on [email protected]

    #AhmedabadNest #system #trading #investing #nseindia #RS #relativestrength #StockMarketindia
    @Definedge


  • Important question for Every trader-> Initial capital Requirment
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Important question for Every trader-> Initial capital Requirment

    Gone through many books / videos / course / connected traders and investors who presents excellent strategies but one important aspect about initial capital is not much talked about

    Veteran trader and author Ashwani Gujaral sir in his book says you can not control the price movement but you can always control the volume you trade,most traders go bust because of volume ,not price !

    For me I have identified few rules which might help you

    naked Fu or Hedged Fu keep 3 times margin what the exchange ask For 1 lot

    For spread in nifty keep 3 times of margin required by exchange For 1 lot

    For naked long options keep 1 lot of margin equvivant to what the margin required to short that option for 1 lot

    You can do anti martingale process where you reduce position sizing during drawdown and rising position sizing during favorable period

    After seeing this much of margin requirment you will say return will decrease yes it affect but you can use extra margin in other investment like equity portfolio or Instrument like Gold silver ETF if price is favorable and raise Return on investments

    Hope you like my words your suggestion / feedback kindly mail me [email protected]

    #AhmedabadNest
    #nseindia #stockmarkets #position #sizing


  • R GD-> Market timing Model
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    R GD-> Market timing Model

    Updated chart -> Generate exit signal on 23/02/2024 now continue in exit mode

    this suggest overall weak market structure

    Avoid leverage/Margin Funnding

    Tight Trailing stop losses

    Avoid buy on dips look for Gold/Silver as earlier indicated for breakout and entry into this asset class

    #AhmedaadNest #breadth #DataAnalytics #stockmarkets #India #analysis
    fce7d7e6-7474-427a-a014-8c3a768bfb9b-image.png


  • Welcome to the Team Mr. Brijesh Bhatia! 🚀
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    congrats from #AhmedabadNest


  • Momentum back Portfolio Update
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Momentum 15
    Momentum Dominators
    Focused momentum
    Value Dominators

    all are at fresh breakout so revise counts and revise stop loss

    all are weekly re balanced

    for referance again name given

    #AhmedabadNest #momentum #portfolios #trading #BREAKOUTSTOCKS #quant #DataAnalytics #nseindia #StockMarketindia
    3448d4de-108d-4ac1-9bc0-925b6123a83e-image.png
    2365e5b2-5633-4d6d-bd72-50dd16d8951c-image.png


  • NIFTY MONTHLY TOI & SPREAD UPDATE
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Currently allinged to bearish

    underlying index on 89 EMA High-low Channel which can act as Support /Reversal zone

    do light quantity

    df9679ba-1dea-40f4-b0d5-b47b31ea22fe-image.png


  • Portfolio for 2023
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    12 Stock equal weighted portfolio for 2023

    Idea is create equal weighted portfolio in software use your favourite pattern to trade the entire portfolio

    #AhmedabadNest

    @Prashant Shah

    3d7108fa-eafb-44c6-b7cf-4b17c6fa9877-OUT PERFROMING 12.png


  • #NIFTY-WEEKLY CHART OBSERVATION
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #nifty

    weekly chart observation

    at new 52 week high -trying to breakout from large consolidation

    RSI-Range shift above 60

    MACD-Bullish crossovers

    overall structure looks bullish after long consolidation post covid rally

    mkt preparing for another round of strong bullish trend

    yes ofcourse breadth goes to overbought -becomes normal -leadership changes

    pullback -Retracements are good to project upside and trail stop loss

    focus on the setup-Risk management-Follow the process

    #AhmedabadNest #nseindia #stockmarkets #analysis #BULLISH
    710f772d-99b6-41e3-8041-5612b8ea0208-image.png


  • ADD SUM Chart option in P&F Fusion Matrix
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    hello @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

    kindly add sum chart in P&F FUSION MATRIX SCANNER

    Thanks and Regards
    60a67afc-fed1-44da-96f7-26e08eb76e1a-image.png


  • Update On my Market Timing Model-16/06/2023
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Mkt has enterd into overbought /Euphoric Zone

    last time seen between 14/8/2020 to 26/11/2021 in this time nifty 500 Gain 59 %

    Average Return was 4.21 % Per Month

    Idea is to do momentum trading with Stop Loss & Risk Management

    5b2c4164-91bf-4fb8-bb1b-9bf1254452bf-image.png


  • #Nifty 50 -Ascending Triangle
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #Nifty 50

    Ascending Triangle

    Pattern has target of 22000 valid till lower blue trendline holds

    yes market will have overbought zone on indicators and breadth & disparity on moving average that will give retracements that is common so there will be no one way rally towards target zone

    a11a678b-ff12-49db-9f71-603aa03da3df-image.png

    #AhmedabadNest #NSE #analysis #StockMarketindia #breakout


  • Need detailed video on This table
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    2098c60b-5107-4185-8d91-d32e9bb63241-image.png


  • Update On my Market Timing Model-16/06/2023
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    to get this euphoric move need green line above red line -once that happen will update

    image.png


  • #PowerPortfolio #Breakout
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #PowerPortfolio #Breakout

    Anchor Follow Thru above Moving Average

    Breakout From Bearish 45 Degree Trendline=Bullish

    From current levels Double Bottom Sell is 3.5 % away while First count target is 12 % away

    #AhmedabadNest #nseindia #StockMarketindia #trading

    f2c02eab-eb49-45ad-b226-ca15e1c8f65a-image.png


  • PMOX Related
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Today shown Raju sir video on PMOX very good analysis

    Stock Gives Bullish Momentum & oversold in bullish momentum AND Bearish momentum & over bought in bearish momentum

    after that it goes into NETURAL zone between (75 to 25 )

    when i scan it will show me oversold-over bought & bearish bullish momentum but after that PMOX indicator will fall into netural zone now in that condition i have to manually go and check weather stock is in netural zone after bullish & bearish momentum that will be time consuming

    so my suggestion is that when PMOX is in netural zone put lable that this netural zone is followed by Bullish or bearish momentum so i can plan my entry

    see chart of BHEL currently in netural zone but that is after Bullish momentum that i have to check charts by charts
    @Prashant-Shah @@Definedge-Experts
    1ba9f460-42d5-4b2d-93a4-2b0990528bb4-image.png


  • Weekly Re balance Update for 26/06/2023
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Weekly Re balance Update for 26/06/2023

    Frontline Dominators
    Exit -Maruti-Bpcl
    add-LT-NTPC

    Focused Dominators
    Exit-VBL-HAVELLS-GODRJECP
    add-Indigo-icicipruli-bajaj holdings

    Momentum Dominators
    Exit-IDFCFIRSTB
    add -Cummins

    Value Dominators
    Exit-Maruti
    Add-Balkrishnaind

    Momentum 15
    Exit-IIFL-Indhotel
    Add-Tiindia-M&MFIN

    In case you missed full list of stock attached file

    incase in query/question mail me [email protected]

    Current Full list Updated

    Equity Curve Trading

    Edge is the key

    #AhmedabadNest #momentum #portfolios #trading #BREAKOUTSTOCKS #quant #DataAnalytics #nseindia #StockMarketindia
    4b506e94-8787-4320-88dd-2317332f779f-image.png


  • #Momentum 15 #portfolio
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #Momentum 15 #portfolio

    Fresh Multi column Bullish Breakout

    As long as it holds DBS as sl portfolio is bullish

    Weekly Re balanced on Rotational Momentum Logic again sharing the portfolio stock list

    Equity Curve Edge is the key

    #AhmedabadNest #nseindia #StockMarketindia #trading #investing

    PNB PFC JSL JINDALSTEL L&TFH M&M UNIONBANK IDFC NCC IDFCFIRSTB INDIANB HAL EQUITASBNK TIINDIA BHEL
    b8a91059-e724-4316-915e-e1f99cf84de2-image.png


  • Ultimate Matrix Look Period Related-Give Direct date landing & Increase the period
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    In Ultimate Matrix of P&F -Renko for look back period give date selection tab so one do not need to calculate how many days he needs to go back he just can select this dates like i run of may be thursday so i have to calculate past days from current and with this i need to remember the trading holidays also otherwise result will be wrong so give direct date

    plus rise the look back period from 100 as we are having the data with us ,if not possible on web version give in Desktop

    @Prashant-Shah @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

    92074a14-3248-4b01-b100-c1d73a0cce25-image.png


  • Weekly Re balance & PerformanceUpdate For 03/07/2023
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Weekly Re balance & PerformanceUpdate For 03/07/2023

    Nifty 500 Up by 2.61 % in last week

    Frontline Momentum + 2.75 %
    Exit-Apollo Hospitals/NTPC
    Add-Maruti/M&M

    Focused Momentum +3.54%
    Exit-BajajHoldings
    Add-GodrejCP

    Momentum Dominators +4.16%
    Exit-Cgpower/ITC/Cummins/PolyCab
    Add-Cyient/SonataSoftware/Fincables/EquitasBank

    Value Dominators +2%
    Exit-BalkrishnaInd
    Add-CMSINFO

    Value Rotational +2.69%
    Exit-MCX/ITC/HeroMoto
    Add-Zyduslife/UTI AMC/CDSL

    Momentum 15 +3.44%
    Exit-BEL/IDFC/ApolloTyre/TVS Motor/Phoenix
    Add-AB Cap/Cyient/Cummins/JSL/Zyduslife

    In case you missed full list of stock attached file

    incase in query/question mail me [email protected]

    Current Full list Updated

    Equity Curve Trading
    Edge is the key

    #AhmedabadNest #momentum #portfolios #trading #BREAKOUTSTOCKS #quant #DataAnalytics #nseindia #StockMarketindia
    483225cb-82cc-42e1-9b49-b7ff3f5effea-image.png


  • #nifty50
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #nifty50

    sharp correction below 19300 towards 18800-18700

    choice is yours give it H&S / Rounding Top Pattern

    why anticipating this move ? as my market timing model is in overbought zone and need some cool off

    This correction will not affect larger structure infact this is just Thrawback to the breakout point which

    in longer structure i am not in Bears camp

    #AhmedabadNest #nseindia #pattern #analysis #StockMarketindia
    9f5b8822-bcb0-49ed-98e4-1c129ecadcd0-image.png


  • BackTesting-Export facility
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    in back testing give export option so one can sort best stock based on many factors like

    Total minimum trades,ave return,success ratio,expetancy and make list to mimum

    @Prashant-Shah @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

    0e48b7d3-cf5e-4325-9e37-a979c117b276-image.png


  • Bull Markets Three Silent Killers
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    0cd53f36-9b4d-4c5b-af52-b1a761f235ec-image.png


  • Gold Glitters, Nifty Fizzles - Breakout on the Ratio chart
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    even internation GOLD is breakout after 12 years


  • Suggestion in ALPHA-BETA Scanner
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Give date selection tab also along with period that will help
    35ea198b-f77c-4d05-b8fd-e7d8bd5cadae-image.png


  • Importance of Market Timing
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Importance of Market Timing

    Taken KOTAKALPHA at 26.15 on 25/04/2023 as on today it is 30.80= 17.78 % Return

    in same duraion Nifty 500 deliver 10.88 %

    from 1st jan to Till date Nifty 500 deliver 7.28 %

    so in both case market timing model has helped to generate Alpha Return in very short duration

    now need follow thru above 45 degree bearish trendline to take this index to all time high

    stay tune for more updates if any query/question mail me on [email protected]

    #AhmedabadNest #nseindia #StockMarketindia #TradingSignals #analysis
    be6fb545-4b70-4a29-8166-d5298d084b49-image.png


  • KALYANKJIL Bullish ABC
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Close above 588 will trigger Bullish ABC can move to 885 with stop loss of 538 on closing basis
    55ed97f3-b80c-4edf-8935-903365970fac-KALYAN.jpg


  • Need Additional intraday data
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Hello Team @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts @Prashant-Shah sir

    Thank you for giving 1 year intra day data -> my suggestion is to create intraday data only portal where few years of data is available -> make it extra paid like Trading view-> as back testing on 1 year and taking trades is not viable where one wants to put serious amount of time & money -> we need larger data which has seen up-down-consolidation trend of various index and stock and across various events like geopolitical as well as local events like election-> so one can have in smaple and out of sample data analysis and know the exat results of the strategy that how it has performed across various market cycle

    Hopeing your favourable Response

    Thanks and Regards

    Nishshkumar Jaani


  • Weekly Rebalance & Performance Update for 10/07/2023
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Weekly Rebalance & Performance Update for 10/07/2023

    Nifty 500 + 0.82 %

    Value Rotational + 2.31%
    Exit Axis Bank & Bajaj-Auto
    Add HeroMoto & ICRA

    Value Dominators + 1.74%
    No Entry & Exit stock Remains same

    Frontline Momentum +2.23%
    Exit Maruti
    Add BPCL

    Focused Momentum -0.21%
    Exit Zomato/BEL/Godrejcp
    Add-IOC-BajajHolding/VBL

    Momentum Dominators +0.38%
    Exit-HAL & LTFH
    Add-JSL &NCC

    Momentum 15 +0.82%
    Exit -AplApollo/ABCap/Cummins/Zyduslife/ABB
    Add-PNB/M&M/Jindalsteel/IDFC/Bankbaroda

    in case you missed full list of stock attached file

    incase in query/question mail me [email protected]

    Equity Curve Trading Edge is the key

    #AhmedabadNest #momentum #portfolios #trading #BREAKOUTSTOCKS #quant #DataAnalytics #nseindia #StockMarketindia
    77f26eeb-7ffc-459e-b18f-8d8b96f19c5a-image.png


  • TCS-Proper ditribution happen !
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe
    • TCS-Proper ditribution happen !

    Bearish view

    resistance 4000 lower levels 3200

    #tcs #pattern #breakout #analysis #stockmarketsindia #itindex #bearish
    588b1e1a-7479-4131-9dcf-a88a4a4a397a-image.png


  • P&L Insight
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Hello @Prashant-Shah sir Team @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

    very good tool P&L Insight

    my suggestion is to make segment wise seperate p&l insight that will show true picture of that particular segment efficiency of that trader & investor

    Thanks and Regards


  • Conterian Indicator
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    58e9e054-4dc6-4edd-aecc-4d0c8aa5517a-image.png

    on twitter & definedge noiseless telegram i ahve updated on 24/3/2023 that mkt is going to hit bottom and it did

    see various diversifed index generated return from 16.48 % to 27.76 %

    one can participate market via ETFs & divicerified mutual funds

    choice is your edge is the key
    #AhmedabadNest #quant #DataAnalytics #NSE #StockMarketindia
    0af91972-2938-4de4-9c2a-a7f496288811-image.png


  • M&M-6 month consolidation over
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    M&M -Box breakdown !

    look at 6 month of consolidation getting breakdown possible to test 2200 !

    if you are momentum follower focuse on exiting stocks which are loosing strength and focuse on getting stong positive momentum

    #mnm #analysis #stockmarketscrash #India #pattern #NSE
    88b01d63-4fa2-4695-8988-69eca0636f7c-image.png


  • Feature Request
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    yes much needed even we need to add trendline also


  • Important Indicator which answer ..........when everyone is greedy be fearful & when everyone is fearful be greedy
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    i understand your concern but i cant disclose the full details currently but yes time to time i will update so members can be on alert what i can say is that this is based on fundamental factors in case query/question mail me [email protected]


  • End of Horny bull market ?
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    End of Horny bull market ?

    look at the chart setup DMI turned bearish and chart below MAST indicator

    whenever this happen you will see

    No strong positive momentum
    Momentum Strategy will not work easily
    Buy & Hold will not work
    Easy system will not generate returns
    Leverage/MTF will not have Favourable Time
    High P/E & High leverage stock will be punished
    Fundamentally strong/sustainable stock will show positive momentum

    traders and investors lower down your expectations
    Rate of Change-Speed of momentum will be slowdown

    This phase is nothing new which has seen earlier this shall pass and new leaaders will emerge

    at some point of time market will find buying intrest from value investors that will halt the fall -look for next strong sector-stocks- Find your setup-Follow charts-Have Proper Risk management & Position Sizing
    6c61a612-f90d-48b6-b5f9-31a8af460986-END.jpg


  • Feature Request : Range in Look-Back Period
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    yes need much larger look back period and date specification


  • NIFTY
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #Nifty

    weekly charts with some channels

    #AhmedabadNest #analysis #technical
    e138f9a3-aabc-414b-9e25-47ef4dc3192f-image.png


  • Quarterly re balanced query
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    created strategy on quarterly re balance - i saved but it is showing re balance on august actual should be in july-if i add 78 daya from tomorrow it will re balance in august while as per quarterly basis it should do in july

    057a327e-f25e-4150-ba51-fcfb8b109454-image.png


  • End of Horny bull market ?
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    calculate the portfolio correction and all index correction after this post and re read the post is the written things happening or not
    No strong positive momentum
    Momentum Strategy will not work easily
    Buy & Hold will not work
    Easy system will not generate returns
    Leverage/MTF will not have Favourable Time
    High P/E & High leverage stock will be punished
    Fundamentally strong/sustainable stock will show positive momentum

    traders and investors lower down your expectations
    Rate of Change-Speed of momentum will be slowdown


  • Nifty towards 19200-18800 ?
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #Nifty

    my market timing model is in overbought zone expecting correction towards 19200-18800 that will help to cool of the model and will give another opportunity to participate in next big rally

    #AhmedabadNest #nseindia #StockMarket #India #analysis #correction #retracement
    1c7678dd-3589-4c8a-a3c8-66ff781eb065-image.png


  • Mkt at near bottom !
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Mkt at near bottom !

    look at the two conterian signal chart

    first chart when cross 300 mkt finds bottom

    Second chart when it falls below 70 mkt find bottom

    Covid and 2022 both time when this signals reached it has reversed

    Bottoms are more orderly than tops

    indicator & breadth wise mkt is oversold and tend to find bottoms and valuations are relatively cheaper and this is the reasons why i recommand to accumlate two ETF

    ALPHA

    MOMENTUM50

    when mkt is in down trend i avoid picking stock let mkt to find proper bottom and bullish structure and then find leaders

    #nseindia #NSE #stockmarketcrash #stockmarketsindia #breadth #oversold #sentiments #passimistic
    e0e2a519-11bd-45a1-8e75-12daf24185b6-C1.jpg
    6396143c-c49f-410a-a352-743f63ebde81-C2.jpg


  • 6 Do It Your Self Portfolios are in Buy Mode
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    all my momentum back portfolio are in buy mode

    Below is the list of stocks with their current weight for referance purpose

    Re balancing activity at every 15 days -next re balance on 15/09/2023

    Equity curve Trading Edge is the key

    #AhmedabadNest #nseindia #StockMarket #analysis

    c9ed35da-6698-4aa8-ad0d-91fb43fe6813-image.png


  • #Bhartiartl
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #Bhartiartl

    in structural long term up trend->Breakout from consolidation

    Trail SL 1812 on closing basis for target 2619

    Entry ->1% EOD Bullish Column Reversal

    Stop loss-> DBS

    will continue to trail the stop loss as and when required

    Nishesh Jani,CFTe

    #AhmedabadNest #longterm #Breakout #pattern #NSE #StockMarketIndia62c31726-1674-475b-8af7-4b3dbf49c31c-image.png


  • How to find Lion Stocks
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    look for Ratio trend matrix


  • 82 Days Time Cycle for Nifty 50
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    82 Days Time Cycle for Nifty 50

    Nifty has wonderful ups & down based on 82 days fixed time interval

    As J M Hurts principal of Variation -> Financial market dosent repeat exat cycle ,it has its own variation

    so i have put 21 days EMA to follow bullish & bearish cycle

    If bullish period & Price Below 21 EMA then ignore bullish phase
    If bearish period & Price Above 21 EMA then ignore bearish phase

    Currently in bullish cycle which is going to mature around 16th november 2023 as long as holds 21 EMA i am bullish

    #AhmedabadNest #Cycle #analysis #StockMarket #NSE

    a873933b-4117-40b4-b852-8da18b92168d-image.png


  • 3 Dominators Portfolio given Exit Signal
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    3 Dominators Portfolio given Exit Signal

    Focused Momentum
    Value Dominators
    Momentum Dominators -100 % Bearish Pole & Double Bottom sell

    when momentum dominators gives such signal in backtesting we have observed fast correction in market so be careful in longs now as momentum has loose its charm so dont focus on breakouts chances are high that it fails now

    in week end will study my market timing model if given sell signal from highly overbought zone will allocate equity to Gold

    Equity Curve Trading Edge is the key

    #AhmedabadNest #dominators #Portfolio #nse #StockMarket #india #analysis
    72f24d9e-f735-4554-a858-38ee82a29b87-image.png


  • #Nifty (Trendline + 50 EMA )
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #Nifty

    cluster of support

    Trendline + 50 EMA

    If both dosent respect then correction towards 100 & 150 EMA (19200-18900)

    My market timing model is 94 %

    #AhmedabadNest #nseindia #StockMarket #india #analysis
    c2833403-6ddf-4ddd-8f56-24bffc6a8862-image.png


  • #INDIA #VIX
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #INDIA #VIX

    at important levels of 45 degree trendline -if sustain above trendline be ready to quick correction in #Nifty

    #AhmedabadNest #NSE #StockMarket #india #analysis
    3f273dbf-cd1e-40e9-b03c-25c3a5524c35-image.png


  • Momentum Dominator Portfolio ->Bearish Anchor Follow thru
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Momentum Dominator Portfolio

    Bearish Anchor Follow thru suggest soft landing for bears going ahead

    along with this still my market timing model is highly overbought above 90% which suggest cool off required in market

    Equity Curve Trading

    Edge is the key

    #AhmedabadNest #momentum #dominators #Portfolio #pattern #analysis
    1a86a484-e255-4311-b9ed-3fc4469d1fba-image.png


  • Power Portfolio RS & Price Analysis
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Power Portfolio RS & Price Analysis

    Left side chart is of Price chart which is in Double Bottom sell after anchor column so probably forming bullish ABC

    Right side chart is Relative Strength chart against Nifty 500 which is above super trend means its relatively strong

    as long as price chart dosent give buy signal no commitment into the market

    Equity curve Trading

    Edge is the key

    #AhmedabadNest #power #portfolio #stockmarkets #nseindia #analysis
    310d0557-a431-4445-9bea-f12dbb202391-image.png


  • #GOLDBEES
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #GOLDBEES

    Currently my Power Portfolio is in Double Bottom sell so i have another option to park my money in GoldBees

    which is currently below super trend so have to park money in LiquidBees

    attaching BackTesting Data & GoldBees chart for referance

    #AhmedabadNest #goldbees #gold #analysis #DataAnalytics #backtesting
    97001c58-aa88-4821-91fc-19d8b1535393-image.png
    e91f564b-d814-4b85-916e-463d75ad953c-image.png


  • Nifty Alpha 50-Bull trap or Euphoric move ?
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Nifty Alpha 50-Bull trap or Euphoric move ?

    Double Top buy active with T-20 pattern

    Two probability either bull trap or Euphoric move

    why Bull trap-> Breadth is in over bought zone

    Why euphoric move-> In strong market breadth can remain overheated longer then one can expect

    #AhmedabadNest #Nifty #analysis #StockMarket #india #momentum
    6b738670-c61c-4411-b638-cbec7c31e4c8-image.png


  • Nifty-bear attack ?
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Nifty-bear attack ?

    Nifty not able to cross the gap down gap

    ADX falling has taken whipsaws in trend following system

    if ADX cross both DMI then bears ko control karna muskil hoga

    #AhmedabadNest #analysis #StockMarket #india #nseindia
    f93881b4-71f3-471a-979e-b74bcfbae8e8-image.png


  • #PowerPortfolio
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    #PowerPortfolio

    Price and Ratio wise below Super Trend means no scope for Equity for me.

    if you remeber i was updating my market timing model reading was above 90% in fcat reached 94 % at its peak and this is highly overbought zone

    Always do check the Health of market along with price action

    50% work is done if you can save drawdown in correction

    Equity Curve Trading

    Edge is the key

    #AhmedabadNest #nseindia #StockMarket #india #analysis
    932be055-f7cb-41fa-8463-70f9b3597ef3-image.png


  • Asian Paints -Ratio chart analysis
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Those who are holding stocks equivivalant to future lot size can do covered call strategy in Asian paints


  • Nifty 500
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Nifty 500

    Break below Super Trend indicator =>Bearish

    ADX works very good for buy sell,now near to give sell signal if that happen then expect further downside move

    for me as a momentum trader no scope for equity

    #AhmedabadNest #nseindia #stockmarkets #analysis

    462edb79-a2c4-49ac-8efe-e3093a2c9cf7-image.png


  • Portfolio for 2024
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Portfolio for 2024

    20 stock equal weightage 2 model portfolios

    No re balance required -will remove if significant event like merger or serious corporate governance issue happen

    #AhmedabadNest #2024 #yearly #portfolio #StockMarketindia #nseindia #Quant #DataScience #DataAnalytics
    4d411839-5a43-4aeb-b256-d3f9ddb41d11-image.png


  • Conterian Indicator R GD flashed Exit Mode
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Conterian Indicator R GD flashed Exit Mode

    Last time on 17/3/2023- This indicator flashed Entry Mode (check tweet )

    When ever Indicator in Death cross and Below Zero-Entry Point into market

    When ever Indicator in Golden cross and above Zero-Exit point from market

    See how various Index has delivered Return weekly and monthly basis and net basis

    Now based on my experience Few point to kept in mind

    1-Long only apparoch will have little difficult time
    2-Stop leverage Trading
    3-Stop Marging Funding
    4-High P/E stock will have more correction
    5-Valuation will back to mean

    "Will Feel it was market that it wants to give you Returns "
    Also find image in which index i see more correction

    attached image-R GD/ Return of various index/List of index where i see more correction

    #AhmedabadNest #conterian #nseindia #StockMarketindia #Indicator #analysis #index

    Thanks and Regards

    Nishshkumar Jaani
    82e1553f-d33d-4b6b-a56c-9f158826dff9-image.png
    3ec472cc-dbe5-41ce-a0da-6da1261b17f8-image.png
    21e2ce2c-3084-4c3b-b460-516970b34801-image.png


  • Ratio chart of GOLDBEES/NIFTY 500
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Ratio chart of GOLDBEES/NIFTY 500

    Now trading at 2008 levels

    Look for Bullish Setup to enter into Goldbees

    Look For bearish Setup to Exit from market

    #AhmedabadNest #nseindia #StockMarketindia #nifty #gold #rotation #assetclass
    f740aec0-26b8-4337-b5e0-bc59beba4b75-image.png


  • LIQUIDCASE FROM ZERODHA AMC
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    It is the first Liquid ETF in India that provides convenience of Growth NAV (Net Asset Value), thus making it easier to track and maintain by eliminating dividend tracking. Additionally, the returns are taxed only when the ETF is sold, unlike other ETFs that pay dividends and are taxed continuously.

    So no problem of fraction Units and its calculation

    133a8996-1fbf-4840-b244-295de952bb5c-image.png


  • Silver towards 121000
  • N Nishshkumar Jaani,CFTe

    Silver

    Mcx silver is trying to breakout after long consolidation

    expecting 121000

    Retailers can have an option on NSE-SILVERBEES

    #AhmedabadNest #silversqueeze #analysis #India #mcx #nseindia #bees #ETFs
    fb52fa72-6b4e-4638-b20c-634e7a34cb57-image.png

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