Currently allinged to bearish

underlying index on 89 EMA High-low Channel which can act as Support /Reversal zone

do light quantity

Nifty is currently in Golden Cross over-Bullish ,key levels to watch out that may act as possible reversal/zupport zone on closing basis

24400-24100-23800

we are accumlating two ETF/BEES-ALPHA & MOMENTUM50

Remember the "HORNEY BULL MARKET " is not strated yet -till that no oneway clear rally in market

Nishesh Jani,CFTe

#AhmedabadNest #Nifty #levels #keylevels #ZONE #reversal #stockmarketsindia #analysis #nisheshjani

created strategy on quarterly re balance - i saved but it is showing re balance on august actual should be in july-if i add 78 daya from tomorrow it will re balance in august while as per quarterly basis it should do in july

when we scan ultimate matrix with look back period kindly add that date also that will help in future when we are saving the data

make this table as downloadable

Ready for 20 % Rally ?

Look at the attached chart of #Nifty #banknifty

many open verticle counts of Point & Figure charting method -> suggesting another 20 % ++ Rally

in months to come expect nifty 29000-31000 and bank nifty 66000-68000

Negation levels For nifty 23000 and Bank nifty 50000 close below it Bears will control the market.

This could be Starting / base formation phase of my favourite "HORNEY BULL MARKET "

Find new leaders-> we have accumalted ALPHA & MOMENTUM50 ETF/BeeS

NISHESH JANI,CFTe

#AhmedabadNest #Nifty #banknifty #stockmarketsindia #analysis #opportunity #trading #investing #process #approach #nisheshjani

at 52 week high

yes sir

#GOLD

Below $3200 expecting $3000

weekly + monthly close below $3000 will have bearish reversal candlestic

#AhmedabadNest #nisheshjani #GOLD #reversal #bearish #Patterns

#Bhartiartl

in structural long term up trend->Breakout from consolidation

Trail SL 1812 on closing basis for target 2619

Entry ->1% EOD Bullish Column Reversal

Stop loss-> DBS

will continue to trail the stop loss as and when required

Nishesh Jani,CFTe

#AhmedabadNest #longterm #Breakout #pattern #NSE #StockMarketIndia

add each strategy in sample and on click button to start back testing by just simply changing the universe

along with portfolio return calculation add Benchmark index return along with virtual and actual strategy on momentify platform

that will be easy to select otherwise need to calculate the trading days were chance of miss calculations

first tgt done

NASDAQ-Case for Pullback for indian IT stocks !

looks at the weekly chart after 3 Red candle which is know as Crows and now formed Hammer-any close above hammer will halt the correction and pullback to IT stocks in US and across the globe

we may witness recovery in indian IT stocks also

#Nasdaq #NASDAQ100 #IT #pullback #analysis #StockMarket #global

5000 point rally in Nifty ?

Remember the 5th march post with titled Mkt at near Bottom !

Again posted on 13th march with titled Two reversal pattern with one RARE pattern- close above 22720 will have 23300 now heading towards it

looks at the chart today is the third consequtive day clsoe above lower trendline and close above 23100 will trigger close above upper trendline,gone below lower trendline but smartly bounced-> when mkt is oversold and attractive majority of the time false breakdown happens

on 5th march posted chart with custom breadth indicator that bottom is not far away along with this written that we are at covid lows in terms of Breadth-Indicator and valuation wise

now pattern will unfold on close above 23100 with 22000 as strong support levels for 28000

keep accumlating ALPHA & MOMENTUM50 BEES

BAJAJ HOLDING

VALUE-GROWTH MOMENTUM Strategy

Find good Value or Growth oriented stocks and time with momentum

#VGM #setup #Breakout #NSE #StockMarketIndia

this is breadth data i personally make -can be feed in to my mkt and plot-can contact definedge team for it but you will not get data which is personally made

bullish

NIFTY-Two Reversal pattern with one RARE pattern

1->Probable Cup and Handle pattern breakout above 22720 will confirm the pattern can rally to 23300-23500

2->ISLAND reversal -There is gap down open un filled gap between 22720-22668 if mkt open above both gap and remain unfilled then island reversal and this pattern has high accuracy of forming top and bottom because this is rare reversal pattern

looking at three thing mkt is ready for forming bottom and reversal

Breadth wise at covid levels
Indicator wise near covid levels
Valuation wise near covid levels

Tarrif news is now old that will be sector specific event -if something new panic situation along with weak quarterly results then mkt will further go down

inflation wise only concern is from the deperciation for USDINR that impact on imported food items

my view point for bullishness and mkt bottoming out is 75 % and 25 % for further weakness

accumalting ALPHA & MOMENTUM50 ETF

sir add D MOMENTUM score in lower panel of stock that will help how the stock has moved in past and if we get pattern breakout along with momentum score that will provide very good timing tool

candle chart ATR scanner then as per your choice trade in p&f -candle whatever the system you like

scan stocks which has ATR>3 they give good directional move when gives breakouts

Mkt at near bottom !

look at the two conterian signal chart

first chart when cross 300 mkt finds bottom

Second chart when it falls below 70 mkt find bottom

Covid and 2022 both time when this signals reached it has reversed

Bottoms are more orderly than tops

indicator & breadth wise mkt is oversold and tend to find bottoms and valuations are relatively cheaper and this is the reasons why i recommand to accumlate two ETF

ALPHA

MOMENTUM50

when mkt is in down trend i avoid picking stock let mkt to find proper bottom and bullish structure and then find leaders

#nseindia #NSE #stockmarketcrash #stockmarketsindia #breadth #oversold #sentiments #passimistic

calculate the portfolio correction and all index correction after this post and re read the post is the written things happening or not
No strong positive momentum
Momentum Strategy will not work easily
Buy & Hold will not work
Easy system will not generate returns
Leverage/MTF will not have Favourable Time
High P/E & High leverage stock will be punished
Fundamentally strong/sustainable stock will show positive momentum

traders and investors lower down your expectations
Rate of Change-Speed of momentum will be slowdown

hello team kindly add sector and mcap in scanner-> 52 week and n period high low retracments that will help to easy spot which sector and mcap is leading and lagging in an easy view

EID PARRY-another 25% correction

quality company down from almost 1000 to below 700,very good distribution has been done expecting price toward 500 another 25% correction

my view is purely based on charts and technical analysis

as a momentum traders i need to keep watching where leadership is changing

#eidparry #stockmarketscrash #StockMarketIndia #StockMarket #NSE #analysis #india

M&M -Box breakdown !

look at 6 month of consolidation getting breakdown possible to test 2200 !

if you are momentum follower focuse on exiting stocks which are loosing strength and focuse on getting stong positive momentum

#mnm #analysis #stockmarketscrash #India #pattern #NSE

can you add D MOMENTUM score arrow direcly on chart with user defined momentum score as it will be good to see how historical the stock performed above below specific levels

or add in study in lower panel with levels

plus give look back period

please allow to select which camrilla levels we can plot lets say i am intrested in H5 AND L5 only so give this facility

• TCS-Proper ditribution happen !

Bearish view

resistance 4000 lower levels 3200

#tcs #pattern #breakout #analysis #stockmarketsindia #itindex #bearish

yes need much larger look back period and date specification

Recently released raju sir and ap sir video on anchor support resistance kindly add levels of that anchor support and resistance for easy

sir can we have number of days count above/below specific moving average ?

sir can we have number of days count above/below specific moving average ?

Record more practicle aspect video on D Pivot & give in table formate like other pivot and also give option to plot onlt T line & also connect this T line like Super Trend or any other indicator

if possible give condition Long above T with sl and backtesting of it

hello team give option to select and display choosen window -every time aall charts are not necessary to have on screen

#NIFTY-will history repeat again ?

in recent times tow times nifty has 4 consequtive negative monthly closing and now 3rd happen

in past first in 2015 when nifty down by 14.2% and rallied#17.7% in next 4 month

second time in 2023 it fell by 8.25% and rallied 13.13% in next 4 month

now again this happen with 7.49% loss with doji finger crossed now will history repeate over next 4 month with good recovery or not

#NIFTY #StockMarketIndia #seasonality #Patterns #analysis

yes much needed even we need to add trendline also

kindly add BETA like ALPHA RS in lowerr panel that will help to understand the volatility pattern of the stock across market cycle and range that will help to select stcoks based on range

low beta or we need to define upper and lower barrier of beta so smooth re balanced happen ?

hello sir

lets say i am running a portfolio of bullish stock and on periodic basis i am re balancing keeping top 20 stock based on ultimate matrix ranking so my question is how much BETA of stock affect the rebalancing

Hello team in previous version of definedge desktop there was multileg chart option with plotting fu & option leg kindly add it back to see how my position is performing

Hello team in previous version of definedge desktop there was multileg chart option with plotting fu & option leg kindly add it back to see how my position is performing

Hello sir

kindly add or give option that only provide T Line -the idea is if somone is loking at larger picture based on weekly-monthly trend and wants to trade based on Trend that single line for long term will help to look back and if possible give scanner condition to back test

Thanks and Regards

kindly add look back period on VCP templet that will help to back test and see how stock has in and out over period of time and one more rquest keep look back period mimum 5 year or higher that will help meaningful data

• Nifty optimistic view 29000!

If the lower trendline hold and breakout above upper trendline could trigger nifty rally towards 29000

#Nifty50 #NSE #StockMarketIndia #analysis #candlestic #keepitsimple

adequate divercified portoflio with proper position sizing (minimum 2%,maximum 5% allocation),follow backtestd model,follow proper entry exits,have diverified stock universe which gives good stocks -as every market will have both kind of stcoks up-down and expect old leaders will loose their leadership and new leaders will appear

End of Horny bull market ?

look at the chart setup DMI turned bearish and chart below MAST indicator

whenever this happen you will see

No strong positive momentum
Momentum Strategy will not work easily
Buy & Hold will not work
Easy system will not generate returns
Leverage/MTF will not have Favourable Time
High P/E & High leverage stock will be punished
Fundamentally strong/sustainable stock will show positive momentum

traders and investors lower down your expectations
Rate of Change-Speed of momentum will be slowdown

This phase is nothing new which has seen earlier this shall pass and new leaaders will emerge

at some point of time market will find buying intrest from value investors that will halt the fall -look for next strong sector-stocks- Find your setup-Follow charts-Have Proper Risk management & Position Sizing

END OF HORNY BULL MARKET

share link of laid back strategy videos link

Death of Long only Momentum Portfolio Strategy ?

when the levels is above Super trend with positive DMI it is best time to ride the long only momentum portfolio strategy

now we are at last stage confirmation DMI has turned negative and waiting for it to fall below super trend and break of bullish trendline

if this happen expect further Time and Price wise correction and in this scenerio long only momentum portfolio strategy will face rough periods

the easy money era will be over but yes in every phase select seectors and stocks which have negative correlation will shine well like IT-PHARMA and up to certain extend PVT banks can relatively outperform and help market to stablelize

NIFTY 50 Fractle to lead all time high ?

Marked trendline with yellow box if hold 23500-23200 support zone and breakout from upper trendline will repeat fractle and possible to new all time high
#Nifty50 #analysis #StockMarketIndia #candlestic #charts #nse

NIFTY 50

Support zone 23500-23200
Breakout from black trendline will be trending moves
#Nifty50 #analysis #StockMarketIndia #candlestic #charts #nse

Bullish ABC
SL 401 on closing basis
Target 490

Bullish ABC Breakout
SL 12246 on closing basis
Target 17874

Turtle Bullish Breakout
SL 2836 on closing basis for 3900

Close above 588 will trigger Bullish ABC can move to 885 with stop loss of 538 on closing basis

hello @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

kindly add sum chart in P&F FUSION MATRIX SCANNER

Thanks and Regards

@Prashant-Shah sir @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

in back test report please add two more function

1-Buy and hold return for the backtested period
2-cummelative return of the strategy for back test period

that two figure will help weather to execute the strategy or not as by doing all the backtest and finding good strategy at the end if the strategy is not able to bear the buy and hold approach its not good partucular index and mutual funds strategy

Thanks And Regards

NISHSHKUMAR JAANI

Hello @Prashant-Shah sir
team @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

kindly add Dynamic Ultimate Matrix in Desktop version also -> all my scanning is done on desktop and need further ranking i need to take all the data to zone to scan that is time consuming so it will be batter to have on dekstop also

Thanks and Regards

@Prashant-Shah @@Definedge-Experts

can we have Congestion index in our softwares and with condition to back test ?

That will help to lot of traders where to apply trend following and mean reverting trading style

CONGESTION INDEX
Market movements can be characterized by two distinct types or phases. In the first, the market shows trending movements which have a directional bias over a period of time. The second type of market behavior is periodic or cyclic motion, where the market shows no consistent directional bias and trades between two levels. This type of market results in the failure of trend-following indicators and the success of overbought/oversold oscillators. Both phases of the market require the use of different types of indicator. Trending markets need trend-following indicators such as moving averages, moving average convergence/divergence (MACD), and so on. Trading range markets need oscillators such as the relative strength index (RSI) and stochastics, which use overbought and oversold levels. The age-old problem for many trading systems is their inability to determine if a trending or trading range market is at hand. Trend-following indicators, such as the MACD or moving averages, tend to be whipsawed as markets enter a nontrending congestion phase. On the other hand, oscillators (which work well during trading range markets) are often too early to buy or sell in a trending market. Thus, identifying the market phase and selecting the appropriate indicators is critical to a system’s success. The congestion index attempts to identify the market’s character by dividing the actual percentage that the market has changed in the past x days by the extreme range according to the following formula:

Readings between+20 and−20indicate congestion or oscillating mode. Crossing over the 20 line from below indicates the start of a rising trend. Conversely, the start of a down turn is indicated by crossing under−20 from above. The CI can also be used as an overbought/oversold oscillator.

It was taken from İntermarket Trading Strategies book of by Markos Katsanos.Read the book.

Hello @Prashant-Shah sir @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

please add scanning condition like P&F score of 2 & 1 in Renko bullish continuation and when in retracement

P&F we have Easy DTB continuation and when goes into Bullish retracements it immediately removed from DTB condition even DBS is not active

same kind of scanning condition or give matrix like P&F Fusion matrix

attaching charts

in trade point desktop version ther is available but i need to work in Mutual funds

@Prashant-Shah sir @@Definedge-Experts @Definedge

few months back there was SUM chart option along with RS in P&F + RENKO charts

please enable it

currently to plot i have to run scanner

INDIA VIX P&F Analysis

Before COVID 19 it breakout from T-20 pattern and all the way hit 82.3

Now before election it breakout from Super Pattern and its target is 82.3 which is called cluster count

Negation of pattern will be when it close below 19.79

Dara nahi rahe dikha rahe hai

#AhmedabadNest #india #vix #greed #fear #index #analysis #nseindia #stockmarket

GOLDBEES

Super Pattern Breakout

SL 59.72 on closing basis for 74.33

Good RR

#AhmedabadNest #gold #goldbees #pattern #breakout #nse #stockmarket #india

GOLDBEES/NIFTY 500 Pattern update

look at the weekly chart its forming Inv Head and shoulder pattern confirmation on close and follow thru above 93 currently stand at 90

if happen expecting major out performance of Gold since long time i am advocating allocation to gold

if pattern breakout will have good momentum

#AhmedabadNest #gold #nseindia #stockmarket #pattern #analysis #rotation #breakout

see both charts which is of my own index /equity curve of my strategy

Good Morning
@Prashant-Shah sir @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

In the zone i can select any denominator from any segment like
stock/mutual fund

in Desk top kindly add this one also like i can add denominator from my market selected data as i maitain my own index so would like to plot various RS charts and Run fusion matrix by selecting denominator from my market which is out perfoming many broad based index like nifty 500

Thanks and Regards

Good Morning

@Prashant-Shah sir @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts @AP sir

make Table where every security shows MAX OI just by clicking only select all F&O stocks/index wise or selected stock wise with desired expiry

Thanks and Regards

Nifty Spot

Trendlines + Probable H&S Top Pattern

Confirmation below 21700 only but right now looking at Rise of VIX & Divergences probable Right shoulder top has been formed

below 21700 and drag below 21000

#nifty #pattern #StockMarket #analysis #nseindia

Hello @Prashant-Shah sir team @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

Long pending request by when we will have Renko fusion matrix ?

various stat is missing like in segment wise P&L insight various data points

#ipcalab

T-20 Pattern breakout

CMP 1338 SL 1102 On closing Basis Target 2241

Good RR

#AhmedabadNest #stock #analysis #StockMarket #India #NSE #quality

Hello @Prashant-Shah sir Team @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

very good tool P&L Insight

my suggestion is to make segment wise seperate p&l insight that will show true picture of that particular segment efficiency of that trader & investor

Thanks and Regards

US DOLLAR INDEX-DXY-Monthly

Breakout from falling trendline can hit blue trendline between 110-112

That will put more pressure on

Emerging market like india

That will help to gain

GOLD

#AhmedabadNest #DXY #NSE #StockMarketindia #analysis #GOLD

GOLD MCX-Repeting Pattern ! GOLD USD-Pattern Breakout

weekly chart

getting some similiar pattern breakout

consolidation between 2016-2019 then all the way 34000 to 54000 ->Even dosent came to test breakout levels

Now consoldation between 2020-2023 now breakout

expecting positive momentum for long time as USD Gold has broken very large Cup & Handle pattern which will be failed only below 1600

Keep watching Ratio charts of GOLD VS EQUITY to get more insight and where to be aggrasive

#AhmedabadNest #GOLD #MCX #USDollar #pattern #Breakout #analysis #relativestrength #allocation #rotation

Multiple Time well alerted that gold will out perform check my posts

@Prashant-Shah sir if i wants to build stock portfolio based on sharp ratio then what is the minimum time period based on that i need to calculate the sharp ratio and what will be the minimum and maximum range i can select for sharp ratio (my goal is for long term only )

target abhi dur hai

even internation GOLD is breakout after 12 years

abhi to party shuru hu hai

please push update in system as early as possible as wants to re balance many portfolio based on it & wants to calculate breadth data -otherwise i have to cerate group manually buy using the NSE re balance files @Prashant-Shah @Definedge @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts pleas look into it

only nifty 50 & nifty 500 re balanced pushed into system rest not pushed by when all will be updated in web ?

The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee (Equity) of NSE Indices Limited has decided to make the
replacement of stocks in various indices as part of its periodic review as listed hereunder. These
changes shall become effective from March 28, 2024 (close of March 27, 2024)

when this re balance will be reflected in web & desk top version ? as i take breadth data so for me it becomes important

@Definedge @@Definedge-Experts @Prashant-Shah

basically its breadth based model-contterian in nature when in Golden cross mkt will see correction when in death cross mkt will see rally -weekly updated

yes this is highly needed

ok but on what basis this line plots -whats calculation behind it ?

22-03-2024 RGD Conterian indicator Remain on Exit mode since 23-02-2024

Hello prashant Sir & Team definedge

we have facility to plot Sum chart in desk top (P&F /RENKO ) kindly add this zone

@Prashant-Shah @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

Hello prashant sir and Team definedge

my suggestion is that the way we have pivot levels based on yesterdays close can we have levels based on VIX

1 SD Up & Down levels (68.2 % probability that instrument remain in this range )

2 SD Up & Down levels (95.40 % probability that instrument remain in this range )

3 SD Up & Down levels (99.70 % probability that instrument remain in this range )

That will help to find good support resistance-strangle writing for intraday etc

@Prashant-Shah @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

Thanks and Regards

Nishesh Jani

also gives option to analyze last 10-20-30-50 trades

Good feature

give option to select own dates that will help more

@Prashant-Shah @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

Hello friends

started Telegram Channel dedicated to #VGM Setup

https://t.me/+CwZgjOIvOdViYmU1

Thanks and Regards

Nishshkumar Jaani

GOLDBEES/Nifty 500-Ratio Chart Breakout

Expecting further out performance in Gold

Super Pattern above Super Trend so dont expect immediate down turn in gold

#AhmedabadNest #GOLD #outperformance #relativestrength #nseindia #ETFs #PassiveIncome

yes @Brijesh-Bhatia sir

GOLDBEES-Breakout

keep DBS 52.07 on closing basis as SL For 60 & 64 TGT

As per my market timing model we are holding GOLDBEES

#AhmedabadNest #GOLD #breakout #nseindia #stockmarkets #ETFs #passiveearnings

Thanks

Hello

@Prashant-Shah sir @AP sir @@Definedge-Experts @Definedge

kindly add study option in Opstra TOI

I wanted to check some historical charts of TOI where i wants to change the EMA value but i cant do that

Thanks and Regards

Bull-Bear Momentum Indicator-Turn Bearish

Another Market timing model turn bearish by giving swing bearish signal hinting more weakness in broder market going ahead

as long as dosent turn swing bullish market is weak

#AhmedabadNest #conterian #nseindia #StockMarketindia #Indicator #analysis #index

R GD Conterian Market Timing Model update 18/03/2024

Continue in Exit mode and even Rising means broder market to see more tough time ahead

Now based on my experience Few point to kept in mind

1-Long only apparoch will have little difficult time

2-Stop leverage Trading

3-Stop Marging Funding

4-High P/E stock will have more correction

5-Valuation will back to mean

"Will Feel it was market that it wants to give you Returns "

#AhmedabadNest #conterian #nseindia #StockMarketindia #Indicator #analysis #index

Market Trend & Your System Analysis

As prashant sir says 3 M Matrix are important

Method
Market Trend
Me

as per my observation and RGD indicator data Any system generates smooth return when Market trend is favourable in this period relaively easy money comes

i have done back test on simple P&F chart with 3 *3 Box size on Nifty 500 stocks

Entry DTB
Exit DBS

see how results dramatically changes

Sell Mode date 22-10-2021 to 17-03-2023
Buy Mode date 17-03-2023 to 23-02-2024

Notice in image when in sell and buy mode Average return per trade-success ratio-Risk Reward-Exepectancy Ratio all drametically changes

Do backtest what ever the strategy you are doing between buy and sell mode date and see the difference

Will Feel it was market that it wants to give you Returns

your feedback/query kindly send me mail at [email protected]

#AhmedabadNest #analysis #StockMarketindia #system #DataAnalytics #nseindia #breadth #Indicator
@Definedge

Silver

Mcx silver is trying to breakout after long consolidation

expecting 121000

Retailers can have an option on NSE-SILVERBEES

#AhmedabadNest #silversqueeze #analysis #India #mcx #nseindia #bees #ETFs

@Prashant-Shah @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts @Prasiddh-Shroff

can you add look back period in marketcap ranking scanner -> that will help while building dynamic breadth data -when ever you add please add at least 1000 days

Nifty Bank

Be careful

Psu banks are weak and PVT bank index probable H&S

Expecting 10 % correction

#AhmedabadNest #pattern #failure #analysis #StockMarketindia #nseindia #nifty50 #niftybank

Failure of Inv H&S in Nifty ?

Look at yellow trendline and marked Inv H&S pattern
close below 22100 can be failure

Chart patterns are subject to failure. When a chart pattern fails, that is a more reliable signal than the chart pattern itself
@PeterLBrandt

@jackschwager

#AhmedabadNest #pattern #failure #analysis #StockMarketindia #nseindia #Nifty

Kindly add MACD indicator in Study list of TOI-Total Open Interest

@AP @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts @Prashant-Shah

Performance of various index after Market timing model RGD generates Exit signal

no where

R GD-> Market timing Model

Updated chart -> Generate exit signal on 23/02/2024 now continue in exit mode

this suggest overall weak market structure

Avoid leverage/Margin Funnding

Tight Trailing stop losses

Avoid buy on dips look for Gold/Silver as earlier indicated for breakout and entry into this asset class

#AhmedaadNest #breadth #DataAnalytics #stockmarkets #India #analysis

Hello Friends

Latet #VGM stock list is prepared which was presented at EDECNOCH 2021 in case you have missed or wants to revise the presentation sharing the link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUEdH9dlSHg&t=19s

Full list and seperate list of Motilal oswal & Parag parikh is available on Telegram channel of definedge or you can mail me at [email protected] i will send

Thanks and Regards

Nishshkumar Jaani

Nifty PVT Bank

probable Right shoulder ? till it dosent close above head it could be the H&S Top pattern

on RS charts its is taking support but need to cautious till it dosent cross previous high

once it negate H&S pvt bank again will lead the bank index with my favourite HDFC -ICICI-AXIS-KOTAK

#AhmedabadNest #NSE #pattern #CHARTS #analysis #stockmarkets #India #pvtbank #bank

Important question for Every trader-> Initial capital Requirment

Gone through many books / videos / course / connected traders and investors who presents excellent strategies but one important aspect about initial capital is not much talked about

Veteran trader and author Ashwani Gujaral sir in his book says you can not control the price movement but you can always control the volume you trade,most traders go bust because of volume ,not price !

For me I have identified few rules which might help you

naked Fu or Hedged Fu keep 3 times margin what the exchange ask For 1 lot

For spread in nifty keep 3 times of margin required by exchange For 1 lot

For naked long options keep 1 lot of margin equvivant to what the margin required to short that option for 1 lot

You can do anti martingale process where you reduce position sizing during drawdown and rising position sizing during favorable period

After seeing this much of margin requirment you will say return will decrease yes it affect but you can use extra margin in other investment like equity portfolio or Instrument like Gold silver ETF if price is favorable and raise Return on investments

Hope you like my words your suggestion / feedback kindly mail me [email protected]

#AhmedabadNest
#nseindia #stockmarkets #position #sizing

It is the first Liquid ETF in India that provides convenience of Growth NAV (Net Asset Value), thus making it easier to track and maintain by eliminating dividend tracking. Additionally, the returns are taxed only when the ETF is sold, unlike other ETFs that pay dividends and are taxed continuously.

So no problem of fraction Units and its calculation

Snapshot of March 2024 Portfolio
An equal weightage of 20 stock portfolio which covers large-mid-small caps across various sectors

Irrespective of market movement it holds 20 stock and re balanced every month

its for passive investors index who dont have time to look for day to day market movements and can follow for long time

Happy for your feedback/suggestions/query at [email protected]

#AhmedabadNest #2024 #yearly #portfolio #StockMarketindia #nseindia #Quant #DataScience #DataAnalytics

Ratio chart of GOLDBEES/NIFTY 500

Now trading at 2008 levels

Look for Bullish Setup to enter into Goldbees

Look For bearish Setup to Exit from market

#AhmedabadNest #nseindia #StockMarketindia #nifty #gold #rotation #assetclass

Hello prashan sir

Capture ratio measures the performance of an investment (like mutual funds) during upward and downward market trends with respect to its benchmark index.

Ratio Rank i think dose the same thing ?

@Prashant-Shah @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

Thanks and Regards

Nishshkumar Jaani

add from (date ) in ratio rank indicator like RS

@Definedge @@Definedge-Experts @Prashant-Shah

no video or any details

Conterian Indicator R GD flashed Exit Mode

Last time on 17/3/2023- This indicator flashed Entry Mode (check tweet )

When ever Indicator in Death cross and Below Zero-Entry Point into market

When ever Indicator in Golden cross and above Zero-Exit point from market

See how various Index has delivered Return weekly and monthly basis and net basis

Now based on my experience Few point to kept in mind

1-Long only apparoch will have little difficult time
2-Stop leverage Trading
3-Stop Marging Funding
4-High P/E stock will have more correction
5-Valuation will back to mean

"Will Feel it was market that it wants to give you Returns "
Also find image in which index i see more correction

attached image-R GD/ Return of various index/List of index where i see more correction

#AhmedabadNest #conterian #nseindia #StockMarketindia #Indicator #analysis #index

Thanks and Regards

Nishshkumar Jaani

Hello Team @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts @Prashant-Shah

add Fusion matrix like P&F charts

Thanks and Regards

Nishshkumar Jaani

Are you a trend follower ? if yes then this post is for you

as a trend follower traders buy and sell & trade every movements of index or stock particular to get maximum benefit of the every twist and turns of that particular security.

like me you may have also face situation where trend following has extremely favourable time and extremely whipsaw phase

in times of whipsaw phas trade loose two important thing
A-> Capital
B-> Mental fitness

and due to both trader stop following strategy and step into finding another holy grail strategy and keep doing it

The real problem is not in the strategy it has the characteristics of generating super return and whipsaw phase the real problem is to find out the most beneficial period where the strategy has high chance of generating return

A->Fast
B->Easy
C-Consistance

No security has constant trending move ever so as a trend follower one need to findout the

TRENDING Moves where fast-easy-consitance move comes

see attcahed image where i have marked T which is the phase where security has TRENDING move at that time run trendfollwing strategy to get benefit and where there no T this is the phase where stop taking trades

Hope you love reading the article

Thanks and Regards

Nishshkumar Jaani

@Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

Hello Team @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts @Prashant-Shah sir

Thank you for giving 1 year intra day data -> my suggestion is to create intraday data only portal where few years of data is available -> make it extra paid like Trading view-> as back testing on 1 year and taking trades is not viable where one wants to put serious amount of time & money -> we need larger data which has seen up-down-consolidation trend of various index and stock and across various events like geopolitical as well as local events like election-> so one can have in smaple and out of sample data analysis and know the exat results of the strategy that how it has performed across various market cycle

Hopeing your favourable Response

Thanks and Regards

Nishshkumar Jaani

add all study in weighted avaerage index @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts @Prashant-Shah

yes they have contacted and solve as it is below for those who dont know like me

An answer Where to invest

Stay Tune more update soon .....................

#AhmedabadNest #opportunity #ETFs #index #nse #StockMarketindia #index

Team @Definedge kindly add facility to plot exat Horizontal levels by writing like trading view give option to both desktop and web version

ready made available

#VGM-Trading & Investing | #EDECNOCH2021

Universe of stock Ready to upload in Desktop & Web version link of Presentation

Ride the out performer and make your team strong Stay ahead with my VGM Setup

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUEdH9dlSHg&t=18s

Those who need can mail me on [email protected]

#AhmedabadNest #system #trading #investing #nseindia #RS #relativestrength #StockMarketindia
@Definedge

yes thanks team definedge

when we scan P&F -RENKO chart we have facility to save group based on performance & ranking score total

i rquest to add box size & brick size based score save option currenty i have to scan first then download pick my filtered stock into CSV and upload

@Prashant-Shah @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

yes

#VGM #Paytm

On Ratio chart since mid of November 2023 it was in Double Bottom Sell now in Bearish anchor Follow Thru

Ride the out performer and make your team strong Stay ahead with my VGM Setup discussed in E-DECNOCH 2021 Sharing link

https://youtube.com/watch?v=yUEdH9dlSHg&t=17s

your feed back /suggestion are welcome at [email protected]

@Definedge

#AhmedabadNest #VGM #SETUP #StockMarketindia #nseindia

Snapshot of February 2024 Portfolio

An equal weightage of 20 stock portfolio which covers large-mid-small caps across various sectors

Irrespective of market movement it holds 20 stock and re balanced every month

its for passive investors index who dont have time to look for day to day market movements and can follow for long time

Happy for your feedback/suggestions/query at [email protected]

#AhmedabadNest #2024 #yearly #portfolio #StockMarketindia #nseindia #Quant #DataScience #DataAnalytics

Quarterly Re Balanced Portfolio Series

Sharing 2 portfolios of 20 stock equal weightage-> Next Re balance in April 2024 -> Under serious problem of corporate governance stock will be removed on immediate effect to protect value.

from April 2024 will share the Equity curve of both portfolio and regular analysis of that equity curve on various charting techniques like Candlestic /Ratio/P&F/Renko etc

will be happy to address your valuable feedback/suggestions and query on [email protected]

#AhmedabadNest #portfolio #factor #Momentum #DataAnalytics #nseindia #StockMarketindia #India

Helllo @Prashant-Shah sir @@Definedge-Experts @Definedge

can we ROC in RS ALPHA Indicator ?

#VGM #Hindunilever

As per Value Growth Momentum concept it was in Bearish anchor Follow Thru sell and below MAST indicator since 2021

Ride the out performer and make your team strong Stay ahead with my VGM Setup discussed in E-DECNOCH 2021 Sharing link https://youtube.com/watch?v=yUEdH9dlSHg&t=1s

your feed back /suggestion are welcome at [email protected]

@Definedge

#AhmedabadNest #VGM #SETUP #StockMarketindia #nseindia

Not available anywhere -in forum and various social media platform i will update time to time

Simple -> is conterian indicator

when R GD Breadth is in Golden crossover->Mkt is bearish

When R GD Breadth is in Death Crossover->Mkt is bullish

the way its is diverging seems in next 2/3 week it may have Golden cross over and mkt top

when this indicator is bearish look for shortning

when this indicator is bearish look for long opportunities as per the owns setups weather in candle/P&F/Renko This is the condition where system has high success ratio

soon will share the dates and can see the various sectors perform in Death & Golden cross over so can have idea

Distribution activity !

look at Nifty 500 price chart and my R GD Breadth chart

same structure happening like 2021 top

when mkt rising in one way this indicator has given golden cross in november 2021 and mkt suddenly made top -currently very close to give golden cross over

#AhmedabadNest #breadth #divergence #analysis #StockMarketindia

Nifty Spot

There is negative divergence on RSI now break below the Rising trendline with big bearish candle can create havoc and can fill the gap of 20300

#AhmedabadNest #Nifty #StockMarket #analysis #StockMarket #india

@Prashant-Shah @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts make dedicated portal where number of years intra day data available and one can do back test -make it chargable so those who wants it can have that data lets say i wants to back test P&F 0.25% entry exit based on MAST indicator for last 10 years then i dont have the data and based on its performance i can manage my position sizing like kellys formula also Thanks

Snapshot of January 2024 Portfolio

An equal weightage of 20 stock portfolio

Irrespective of market movement it holds 20 stock and re balanced every month

its for passive investors index who dont have time to look for day to day market movements and can follow for long time

#AhmedabadNest #2024 #yearly #portfolio #StockMarketindia #nseindia #Quant #DataScience #DataAnalytics

Portfolio for 2024

20 stock equal weightage 2 model portfolios

No re balance required -will remove if significant event like merger or serious corporate governance issue happen

#AhmedabadNest #2024 #yearly #portfolio #StockMarketindia #nseindia #Quant #DataScience #DataAnalytics

Hello @Prashant-Shah sir @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

i request you to increase the no of bars to 50 in ratio trend matrix from current 30

kindly check there is serious problem in web version compare to desktop of securities

see the attached image-in last year there is both pattern Lion & Flying as per rule only one can happen either lio or flying as per RS book when Denominator is same, last year denominator was Up so two condition can happen Flying or bearish star but lion can not happen when deniominator is up ,lion happen when denominator is down and numerator is up

in current year all MF which i selected are out performing but showing bearish star example

nippon india growth has generated 42 % return against nifty 500 of 21 % still showing bearish star instead of flying

kindly look into it @Prashant-Shah @@Definedge-Experts @Definedge

Hello team definedge we have very goof facility of backtesting in software -very intresting position sizing calculator also which helps a lot

currently we have only BSE-NSE stock only please add Mutual fund also as we have back testing facility there also so we can have position sizing there also

@Prashant-Shah @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

Give date selection tab also along with period that will help

Some tiem ago there was Multi denominator RS scanner but i am not able to find out

kindly help me @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

congrats from #AhmedabadNest

in back testing give export option so one can sort best stock based on many factors like

Total minimum trades,ave return,success ratio,expetancy and make list to mimum

@Prashant-Shah @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

In Ultimate Matrix of P&F -Renko for look back period give date selection tab so one do not need to calculate how many days he needs to go back he just can select this dates like i run of may be thursday so i have to calculate past days from current and with this i need to remember the trading holidays also otherwise result will be wrong so give direct date

plus rise the look back period from 100 as we are having the data with us ,if not possible on web version give in Desktop

@Prashant-Shah @Definedge @@Definedge-Experts

please add save option in back testing feature-lets say i wants to crete group with X% success ratio,minimum expetancy ration,RR etc @Prashant-Shah @@Definedge-Experts @Definedge

in multi chart scanner add Renko RS also ,like P&F RS @Prashant-Shah @@Definedge-Experts

ALERT -Pullback Complete ?

on 26th October alerted Dead cat Bounce

https://x.com/Nishshkumar/status/1717419973067329676?s=20

Nifty 19250 Bank Nifty 43000 (Spot)

close below will confirm the pullback seems over and will head lower to respect H&S and Double Top pattern and probable targets are 18400-40000

#AhmedabadNest #nseindia #nifty50 #bank #analysis #patterns

#SPX -LT LB Formation

S&P 500-US Mkt

observe Dow theory lower top lower bottom formation resistance placed at 4390 on closing basis

as long as this pattern is valid in simple term its is in downtrend

last time H&S Pattern from top achieved targets and now bounced

#AhmedabadNest #spx #USA #market #analysis

Pattern observation Analysis

Bank nifty-Double Top formation trading below neckline

Nifty active Head & shoulder pattern trading below neckline

This rounding pattern have tendancy to test the neckline which is know as pullback

as long as not getting any bullish pattern we have to respect current pattern

#AhmedabadNest #Nifty #banknifty #StockMarket #analysis #india #patterns

Nifty Bank & Nifty analysis

Common for Both -Trading below 10 SMA,Both have formed large bearish anchor,Both trading below Anchor points,Both has not got bullish follow thru above anchor column and in correction

Level wise analysis

Bank nifty -Anchor point resistance
@43850
,Bearish anchor column negation
@44650
Bearish breakout follow thru below 422235 for 40136-38085

Nifty-Anchor point resistance
@19420
,Bearish anchor column negation
@19813
Bearish breakout follow thru below 18846 for 17981-17139

No biasness Only levels to act upon

Be open minded & adaptive

#AhmedabadNest #analysis #StockMarketindia #Nifty #banknifty

yes that possible but u need to scan another thing that can be incoporated in same scan for faster analysis

yes thanks a lot

and based on that i can have breadth data bullish PMOX(stock above 75 + Netural zone ) -Bearish PMOX(stock below 25 + Netural zone )

Today shown Raju sir video on PMOX very good analysis

Stock Gives Bullish Momentum & oversold in bullish momentum AND Bearish momentum & over bought in bearish momentum

after that it goes into NETURAL zone between (75 to 25 )

when i scan it will show me oversold-over bought & bearish bullish momentum but after that PMOX indicator will fall into netural zone now in that condition i have to manually go and check weather stock is in netural zone after bullish & bearish momentum that will be time consuming

so my suggestion is that when PMOX is in netural zone put lable that this netural zone is followed by Bullish or bearish momentum so i can plan my entry

see chart of BHEL currently in netural zone but that is after Bullish momentum that i have to check charts by charts
@Prashant-Shah @@Definedge-Experts

Those who are holding stocks equivivalant to future lot size can do covered call strategy in Asian paints

Asian Paints -Ratio chart analysis

Plotted against Nifty 500 with Triple Moving average

Broken below large box
Bearish Anchor Follow thru
TMA negatively allinged

so all in all it looks stock will underperform the market

same thing has happen in reliance between 2008-2016 where it massively underperform the market

if i have only two choice between Asian paints and Nifty 500 i will choose to invest my money in nifty 500 BEES or That index fund till ratio chart dosent turn in favour of asian paints so my pain area reduce and if mkt rise i earn returns

#AhmedabadNest #stockmarkets #AsianPaints #analysis #ratiocharts

Nifty 500

Break below Super Trend indicator =>Bearish

ADX works very good for buy sell,now near to give sell signal if that happen then expect further downside move

for me as a momentum trader no scope for equity

#AhmedabadNest #nseindia #stockmarkets #analysis

#PowerPortfolio

Price and Ratio wise below Super Trend means no scope for Equity for me.

if you remeber i was updating my market timing model reading was above 90% in fcat reached 94 % at its peak and this is highly overbought zone

Always do check the Health of market along with price action

50% work is done if you can save drawdown in correction

Equity Curve Trading

Edge is the key

#AhmedabadNest #nseindia #StockMarket #india #analysis

#AhmedabadNest #index #analysis #StockMarket #india

Fake News Low is getting broken

Midcap 150 -Microcap 250

on 12th september fake news came of front running done by one of society generally fund managers and that day is now getting broken

on Rumours some inteligent investors/trader likely to offload in big chunk

attchaing boths charts for referance lets see where the correction ends on Fibo Retracements

India VIX

Double Triangle

along with probable H&S Pattern in Nifty & Bank nifty daily charts

Nifty-bear attack ?

Nifty not able to cross the gap down gap

ADX falling has taken whipsaws in trend following system

if ADX cross both DMI then bears ko control karna muskil hoga

#AhmedabadNest #analysis #StockMarket #india #nseindia

Nifty Alpha 50-Bull trap or Euphoric move ?

Double Top buy active with T-20 pattern

Two probability either bull trap or Euphoric move

why Bull trap-> Breadth is in over bought zone

Why euphoric move-> In strong market breadth can remain overheated longer then one can expect

#AhmedabadNest #Nifty #analysis #StockMarket #india #momentum

Does all stock have liquidity?

Hello Team definedge and prashant sir

very good scanner in zone app now if possible enable user definedge group for scanning

@Shashank Jain This i have request to @Prashant-Shah sir when we meet at ahmedabad this year to allow with user define weighted portfolio charts

my re balance is on every 15 days so on add or exit stock with my pre defined rules with cash allocation as well -as per your allocation /entry exit rule u can maintain them and take daily NAV data into CSV file and save in my market folder then u can plot your charts according to your allocation

for that on daily basis u need to maintain its NAV like mutual fund does consider cash addition/deletion/stock entry exit etc in xl sheet or 365 refer attached photo

#GOLDBEES

Currently my Power Portfolio is in Double Bottom sell so i have another option to park my money in GoldBees

which is currently below super trend so have to park money in LiquidBees

attaching BackTesting Data & GoldBees chart for referance

#AhmedabadNest #goldbees #gold #analysis #DataAnalytics #backtesting

Power Portfolio RS & Price Analysis

Left side chart is of Price chart which is in Double Bottom sell after anchor column so probably forming bullish ABC

Right side chart is Relative Strength chart against Nifty 500 which is above super trend means its relatively strong

as long as price chart dosent give buy signal no commitment into the market

Equity curve Trading

Edge is the key

#AhmedabadNest #power #portfolio #stockmarkets #nseindia #analysis

Momentum Dominator Portfolio

Bearish Anchor Follow thru suggest soft landing for bears going ahead

along with this still my market timing model is highly overbought above 90% which suggest cool off required in market

Equity Curve Trading

Edge is the key

#AhmedabadNest #momentum #dominators #Portfolio #pattern #analysis

i wants to create scanner for Renko & PNF ->

Brick & coulum was below super trend indicator now it cross super trend this condition i need

Thanks

since many days i raised my query that weighted avaerage index is not properly plotting kindly solve it as fast as possible @Definedge
@Prashant-Shah

Validity of Bearish Divergence

Nifty has shown bearish divergence on Daily RSI but with that we need firm pattern breakout to validate it

attached chart of nifty 50 with Dicergence & trying to break the trendline

one that happen divergence will show its power

#AhmedabadNest #nifty50 #bearish #divergence #analysis #StockMarketindia

Thanks @The-Wealth-Vriksh

#Nifty

Ganpati bappa kal friday hai sambhal lena

#INDIA #VIX

at important levels of 45 degree trendline -if sustain above trendline be ready to quick correction in #Nifty

#AhmedabadNest #NSE #StockMarket #india #analysis

P&F Ratio chart of Mutual Funds/Index is not plotting

In many cases we need NAV to dowwnload and compare against own index

hello @Prasiddh-Shroff sir build such scanner which shows red flags that will help to eliminate junk companies once this criteria is pass half work is done in that case people dosent looses much even if prices dosent rise or fall example like castrol since many years not generated any return but not loosesn its value

overbought reading (My breadth indicator)

#Nifty

cluster of support

Trendline + 50 EMA

If both dosent respect then correction towards 100 & 150 EMA (19200-18900)

My market timing model is 94 %

#AhmedabadNest #nseindia #StockMarket #india #analysis

#Nifty 5% Correction ?

Turn Back Pattern on weekly chart

After 3 Green candle now complete strong bearish candle

looks Throw Back towards 18600 another 5 % Correction !

#AhmedabadNest #nseindia #StockMarket #india #analysis #candlestic

3 Dominators Portfolio given Exit Signal

Focused Momentum
Value Dominators
Momentum Dominators -100 % Bearish Pole & Double Bottom sell

when momentum dominators gives such signal in backtesting we have observed fast correction in market so be careful in longs now as momentum has loose its charm so dont focus on breakouts chances are high that it fails now

in week end will study my market timing model if given sell signal from highly overbought zone will allocate equity to Gold

Equity Curve Trading Edge is the key

#AhmedabadNest #dominators #Portfolio #nse #StockMarket #india #analysis

#Nifty

Break below Rising Red trendline will confirm bull trap

Need more confirmation from Indicators & Breadth data

can have some good correction if get all confirmation

once connfirmation comes can look to GOLDBEES

#AhmedabadNest #nifty #nseindia #StockMarket #india #analysis