Commodity: - NATURAL GAS
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Bullish ABC above 317, DBS at 312.35
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I have Back Tested Natural Gas past 1 Year Data both on 1-Min & Daily TF.
Number indicates, Trade Efficiency on 1-min TF increases when initiating trades in the direction of higher TF (Daily) Trend and Bullish/Bearish Trades when price in column of X or O respectively.
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Looks Interesting above 320 with an of SL 316
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Bullish Turtle FT @ 322 will be interesting with 318.5 as SL.
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View Negated
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Bullish Turtle FT will be Interesting and looks like above 321 pick momentum.
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Bullish Turtle FT above 317 looks interesting.
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Looks interesting below 306
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Charts in Hindsight looks beautiful and easier to trade. However, trade after recent range breakout proves fruitful.
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Bullish Turtle FT on Price Chart and Bullish Turtle FT on RS.
Looks interesting above 330 and SL 324.
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Turtle FT below D-Smart when RSI Avg. Sustain Below 50.
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This post is deleted!
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On Comparing manual Backtest test summary of Pullback and Breakout systems. It was found that there was no significant difference in the results. Hence, learnt that Focus should be on Execution. It is important, to materialize gains in actual.
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I'll be Observing Charts with newly learnt concept of observing RSI with Trend and RSI Range Shift
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Accept the Pros & Cons of the trading system and stick to it. This will reward in long term.
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Carrying short CE...but momentum is missing.
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In a hindsight, trend looks smooth and easier to ride. My system has experienced many whipsaws during this trending move, time to fine tune the system so to reduce number of trades by limiting frequent exits.
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@Shobhit Acharya currently NatGasMini at 362 so sl hit ? or am I reading it wrong as setup was good down trending and below D-smart
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What's your observation on the number of whipsaws before a trending move on 0.1%? And what's the average whipsaw and a trending move %?
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Positional Trade
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@Ravi Shinde I don't have the stats right now, but for sure it's not good. I'm experimenting with it to see whether the Intraday trading style suits my temperament or not. After practicing the setup for almost 2 and half months I have realized following things from my own experience.
- Lower the TF, Higher the Whipsaw's.
- Trading psychology plays a lot in short term trading. I have broken trading rules of position sizing, risk mgmt. etc. due to greed, to cover losses, revenge etc.
- Profits booking is another thing, I struggled with. As during consolidation, risk: reward is not favorable. I have observed it's less than 1R.
- With so many SL's hit, I lose confidence and struggled with trend riding and capturing trending moves as well, so probably a good trending move of 3R, I might have captured.
- Mistaken, intraday trading is easier to mint money from market using Algo. It requires a good amount of time, energy & emotions.
Thanks for asking the questions, I'll get back to you with the actual trade's stats.
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Sure. I am running a system on 0.15% tick tf with Dsmart. i could see that you have to take 6-8 whipsaws before a trending move. I think I have completed around 60-70 trades and the system is not profitable as of now. I have moved the TF to 1 min and will complete another 150 trades with it. Lets see.
